La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Fredrikstad FK v Lillestrom
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Fredrikstad FK (Local)
Predicción 30.35%3.29momio equitativo
EV +1.08%
Ventaja +0.323%
Kelly +0.462%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.14%30.42%30.32%31.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.043.053.3335.71%32.88%32.79%30.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Lillestrom (Visitante)
Predicción 42.85%2.33momio equitativo
EV -1.02%
Ventaja -0.442%
Kelly -0.780%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.83%42.81%42.83%44.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.152.162.3150.00%46.47%46.30%43.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.80%3.73momio equitativo
EV -0.843%
Ventaja -0.228%
Kelly -0.312%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.51%26.77%26.85%27.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.413.403.7031.25%29.36%29.41%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.14%EV +1.08%E +0.323%K +0.462%G +0.005% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.52%EV -4.45%E -2.00%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.34%EV -4.86%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-11 11:00 |
| Pinnacle | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.22%EV -2.87%E -0.897%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.36%EV -4.45%E -2.00%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.42%EV -1.91%E -0.523%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-11 11:55 |
| 1xBet | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.09%EV -3.78%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.97%EV -4.88%E -2.20%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.94%EV -5.13%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-11 11:54 |
| BetAnything | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -4.39%E -1.39%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -5.73%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-11 11:54 |
| Betsson | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -4.39%E -1.39%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.52%EV -9.16%E -4.32%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -0.843%E -0.228%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-11 11:55 |
| NordicBet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -4.39%E -1.39%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.52%EV -9.16%E -4.32%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -0.843%E -0.228%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-11 11:54 |
| BetRivers | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.39%E -1.39%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.91%EV -7.45%E -3.45%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-11 11:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.39%E -1.39%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.91%EV -7.45%E -3.45%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-11 11:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.39%E -1.39%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.91%EV -7.45%E -3.45%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-11 11:09 |
| Grosvenor | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.39%E -1.39%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.91%EV -7.45%E -3.45%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-11 11:09 |
| Casumo | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.39%E -1.39%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.91%EV -7.45%E -3.45%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-11 11:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.39%E -1.39%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.91%EV -7.45%E -3.45%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-11 11:09 |
| betPARX | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.39%E -1.39%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.91%EV -7.45%E -3.45%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-11 11:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.39%E -1.39%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.91%EV -7.45%E -3.45%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-11 11:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.39%E -1.39%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.91%EV -7.45%E -3.45%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-11 11:09 |
| Unibet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.39%E -1.39%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.91%EV -7.45%E -3.45%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-11 11:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.86%EV -5.30%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.13%EV -7.45%E -3.45%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.54%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-11 11:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -5.91%E -1.91%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.71%EV -4.88%E -2.20%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -4.86%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-11 11:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -5.91%E -1.91%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.71%EV -4.88%E -2.20%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -4.86%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-11 11:39 |
| BetUS | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -5.91%E -1.91%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.93%EV -5.73%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -4.86%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-11 11:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.91%E -1.91%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -3.59%E -1.60%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-11 11:04 |
| FanDuel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.91%E -1.91%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.73%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-11 11:48 |
| Betway | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.91%E -1.91%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.88%E -3.66%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-11 11:19 |
| BetMGM | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.91%E -1.91%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.88%E -3.66%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-11 11:19 |
| TABtouch | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -5.91%E -1.91%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -8.31%E -3.88%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-11 11:09 |
| DraftKings | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -7.42%E -2.43%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -5.73%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -3.52%E -0.978%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-11 11:44 |
| Bovada | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -7.42%E -2.43%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.95%EV -7.88%E -3.66%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -7.54%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-11 11:49 |
| SportsBet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -7.42%E -2.43%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -9.16%E -4.32%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.54%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-11 11:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -7.42%E -2.43%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -10.02%E -4.77%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-11 11:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -7.42%E -2.43%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -10.02%E -4.77%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-11 11:09 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.94%E -2.98%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.02%E -4.77%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-11 11:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.94%E -2.98%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.02%E -4.77%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-11 11:45 |
| PlayUp | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.94%E -2.98%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.02%E -4.77%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-11 11:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.94%E -2.98%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -10.02%E -4.77%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-11 11:24 |
| Neds | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.94%E -2.98%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -10.02%E -4.77%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-11 11:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.94%E -2.98%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -10.02%E -4.77%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-11 11:24 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.94%E -2.98%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -10.02%E -4.77%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-11 11:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -8.94%E -2.98%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.93%EV -13.45%E -6.66%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.49%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-11 11:34 |
| GTbets | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.76%EV -9.85%E -3.32%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.83%EV -1.02%E -0.442%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.42%EV -7.81%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-11 11:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -10.46%E -3.55%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.73%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.52%E -0.978%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-11 11:25 |
| LeoVegas | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -10.46%E -3.55%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.01%EV -6.59%E -3.02%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-11 11:39 |
| Everygame | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -10.46%E -3.55%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -7.88%E -3.66%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-11 11:44 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -10.46%E -3.55%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.67%EV -6.59%E -3.02%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-11 11:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.69%EV -10.46%E -3.55%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 42.94%EV -12.59%E -6.17%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -14.24%E -4.45%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-07-11 11:09 |
| Fanatics | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.98%E -4.13%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.73%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-11 11:44 |
| Bet Victor | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -11.98%E -4.13%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.88%E -3.66%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-11 11:53 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.98%E -4.13%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -5.73%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-11 11:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.98%E -4.13%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -7.88%E -3.66%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-11 11:04 |
| Sky Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.98%E -4.13%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.02%E -4.77%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-11 11:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -11.98%E -4.13%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -10.02%E -4.77%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -14.24%E -4.45%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-11 11:34 |
| betfred_uk | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -12.58%E -4.37%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -5.73%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-11 11:20 |
| Bet Right | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -15.01%E -5.36%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -7.88%E -3.66%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-11 11:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -15.01%E -5.36%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.73%EV -10.02%E -4.77%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-11 11:04 |
| BoyleSports | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -15.01%E -5.36%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -14.30%E -7.15%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-07-11 11:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.50% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45% | 0.8% | 2026-07-11 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.72% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35% | 1.2% | 2026-07-11 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.72% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35% | 1.2% | 2026-07-11 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.72% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35% | 1.2% | 2026-07-11 11:54 |
| Smarkets | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49% | 2.0% | 2026-07-11 11:55 |