StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Fredrikstad FK v Lillestrom

Matchstart: 2026-07-11 12:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Fredrikstad FK 0–2 Lillestrom

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

54 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Fredrikstad FK (Hemma)

Prognos 30.35%3.29rättvist odds
EV +1.08%
Fördel +0.323%
Kelly +0.462%
Tillväxt +0.005%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.33

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.14%30.42%30.32%31.99%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.803.043.053.3335.71%32.88%32.79%30.03%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Lillestrom (Borta)

Prognos 42.85%2.33rättvist odds
EV -1.02%
Fördel -0.442%
Kelly -0.780%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.31

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
40.83%42.81%42.83%44.52%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.002.152.162.3150.00%46.47%46.30%43.29%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 26.80%3.73rättvist odds
EV -0.843%
Fördel -0.228%
Kelly -0.312%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.70

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.51%26.77%26.85%27.72%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.203.413.403.7031.25%29.36%29.41%27.03%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Fredrikstad FK (Hemma): 30.35%; Lillestrom (Borta): 42.85%; Oavgjort: 26.80%. För Fredrikstad FK (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.29. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.33, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.08%.

Spelbolagsodds (54 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Coolbet🎯3.33I 30.03%NM 29.14%EV +1.08%E +0.323%K +0.462%G +0.005%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.52%EV -4.45%E -2.00%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.34%EV -4.86%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-11 11:00
Pinnacle🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.22%EV -2.87%E -0.897%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.36%EV -4.45%E -2.00%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.42%EV -1.91%E -0.523%K -0.720%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-11 11:55
1xBet🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 30.09%EV -3.78%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.97%EV -4.88%E -2.20%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.94%EV -5.13%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 11:54
BetAnything🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -4.39%E -1.39%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -5.73%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 11:54
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -4.39%E -1.39%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.52%EV -9.16%E -4.32%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -0.843%E -0.228%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 11:55
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -4.39%E -1.39%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.52%EV -9.16%E -4.32%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -0.843%E -0.228%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 11:54
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.39%E -1.39%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.91%EV -7.45%E -3.45%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 11:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.39%E -1.39%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.91%EV -7.45%E -3.45%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 11:09
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.39%E -1.39%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.91%EV -7.45%E -3.45%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 11:09
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.39%E -1.39%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.91%EV -7.45%E -3.45%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 11:09
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.39%E -1.39%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.91%EV -7.45%E -3.45%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 11:09
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.39%E -1.39%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.91%EV -7.45%E -3.45%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 11:09
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.39%E -1.39%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.91%EV -7.45%E -3.45%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 11:09
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.39%E -1.39%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.91%EV -7.45%E -3.45%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 11:09
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.39%E -1.39%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.91%EV -7.45%E -3.45%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 11:09
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -4.39%E -1.39%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.91%EV -7.45%E -3.45%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 11:09
Marathon Bet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.86%EV -5.30%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.13%EV -7.45%E -3.45%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.54%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 11:54
LowVig.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -5.91%E -1.91%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.71%EV -4.88%E -2.20%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -4.86%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-11 11:40
BetOnline.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -5.91%E -1.91%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.71%EV -4.88%E -2.20%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -4.86%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-11 11:39
BetUS🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -5.91%E -1.91%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.93%EV -5.73%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -4.86%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 11:39
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.91%E -1.91%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -3.59%E -1.60%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-11 11:04
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.91%E -1.91%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.73%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 11:48
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.91%E -1.91%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.88%E -3.66%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 11:19
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.91%E -1.91%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.88%E -3.66%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-11 11:19
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -5.91%E -1.91%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -8.31%E -3.88%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-11 11:09
DraftKings🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -7.42%E -2.43%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -5.73%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -3.52%E -0.978%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 11:44
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -7.42%E -2.43%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.95%EV -7.88%E -3.66%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -7.54%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 11:49
SportsBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -7.42%E -2.43%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -9.16%E -4.32%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.54%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 11:55
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -7.42%E -2.43%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -10.02%E -4.77%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-11 11:09
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -7.42%E -2.43%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -10.02%E -4.77%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-11 11:09
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.94%E -2.98%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.02%E -4.77%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-11 11:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.94%E -2.98%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.02%E -4.77%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-11 11:45
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.94%E -2.98%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.02%E -4.77%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-11 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.94%E -2.98%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -10.02%E -4.77%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-11 11:24
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.94%E -2.98%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -10.02%E -4.77%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-11 11:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.94%E -2.98%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -10.02%E -4.77%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-11 11:24
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.94%E -2.98%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -10.02%E -4.77%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-11 11:19
Betclic (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -8.94%E -2.98%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.93%EV -13.45%E -6.66%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.49%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-11 11:34
GTbets🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 31.76%EV -9.85%E -3.32%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.83%EV -1.02%E -0.442%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.42%EV -7.81%E -2.27%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 11:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -10.46%E -3.55%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.73%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.52%E -0.978%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 11:25
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -10.46%E -3.55%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.01%EV -6.59%E -3.02%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-11 11:39
Everygame🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -10.46%E -3.55%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -7.88%E -3.66%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-11 11:44
Codere (IT)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -10.46%E -3.55%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.67%EV -6.59%E -3.02%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-11 11:04
PMU (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.69%EV -10.46%E -3.55%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 42.94%EV -12.59%E -6.17%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -14.24%E -4.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-11 11:09
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.98%E -4.13%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.73%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-11 11:44
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -11.98%E -4.13%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.88%E -3.66%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-11 11:53
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.98%E -4.13%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -5.73%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-11 11:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.98%E -4.13%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -7.88%E -3.66%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-11 11:04
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.98%E -4.13%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.02%E -4.77%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-11 11:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -11.98%E -4.13%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -10.02%E -4.77%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -14.24%E -4.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-11 11:34
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -12.58%E -4.37%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -5.73%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 11:20
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -15.01%E -5.36%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -7.88%E -3.66%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-11 11:24
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -15.01%E -5.36%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.73%EV -10.02%E -4.77%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-11 11:04
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -15.01%E -5.36%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -14.30%E -7.15%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000%16.0%2026-07-11 11:24
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.50%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45%0.8%2026-07-11 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.72%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35%1.2%2026-07-11 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.72%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35%1.2%2026-07-11 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.72%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35%1.2%2026-07-11 11:54
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-07-11 11:55