Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fredrikstad FK v Kristiansund BK

Kickoff: 2026-08-16 17:15 UTC

Final: Fredrikstad FK 1–0 Kristiansund BK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fredrikstad FK (Local)

Prediction 53.92%1.85fair odd
EV -0.779%
Edge -0.423%
Kelly -0.927%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.05%53.84%53.85%55.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.741.721.8460.24%57.55%58.14%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kristiansund BK (Visit)

Prediction 21.54%4.64fair odd
EV +2.97%
Edge +0.621%
Kelly +0.785%
Growth +0.023%

assuming max odds 4.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.12%21.58%21.57%24.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.654.174.204.7827.40%23.98%23.81%20.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.53%4.08fair odd
EV -1.37%
Edge -0.341%
Kelly -0.454%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.89%24.58%24.58%26.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.703.704.0228.99%27.00%27.03%24.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fredrikstad FK (Local): 53.92%; Kristiansund BK (Visit): 21.54%; Draw: 24.53%. For Kristiansund BK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.64. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.78, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.97%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.80%EV -6.71%E -3.88%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 20.19%EV +2.97%E +0.621%K +0.785%G +0.023%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.01%EV -1.37%E -0.341%K -0.454%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-16 17:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.31%EV -7.79%E -4.56%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV +1.24%E +0.265%K +0.336%G +0.004%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.57%EV -5.54%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 17:14
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.31%EV -7.79%E -4.56%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV +1.24%E +0.265%K +0.336%G +0.004%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.57%EV -5.54%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 17:10
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.69%EV -5.63%E -3.22%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.21%EV +0.167%E +0.036%K +0.046%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 17:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.10%EV -7.25%E -4.22%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -0.910%E -0.198%K -0.253%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -4.32%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 17:09
BetAnything🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.10%EV -7.25%E -4.22%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -0.910%E -0.198%K -0.253%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -4.32%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 17:09
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -7.79%E -4.56%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -0.910%E -0.198%K -0.253%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -4.32%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 17:14
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.02%EV -6.71%E -3.88%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 20.88%EV -1.77%E -0.389%K -0.498%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.10%EV -3.09%E -0.782%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.59%EV -7.79%E -4.56%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.98%EV -4.14%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.44%EV -6.28%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 17:14
Coolbet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.05%EV -1.32%E -0.720%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.06%EV -5.22%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.89%EV -4.32%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-16 16:34
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%EV -4.01%E -2.26%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -5.22%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 17:04
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.96%EV -6.17%E -3.55%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -5.22%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-16 17:14
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.73%EV -7.79%E -4.56%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -5.22%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -4.32%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 17:05
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -5.22%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 17:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -9.95%E -5.96%K -14.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -5.22%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 17:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.68%EV -5.63%E -3.22%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -6.30%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 17:05
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -6.71%E -3.88%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 17:05
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -8.00%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 17:14
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -9.95%E -5.96%K -14.85%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 17:14
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -9.95%E -5.96%K -14.85%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 17:14
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.34%EV -2.94%E -1.63%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -7.37%E -1.71%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.74%EV -10.20%E -2.79%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 16:44
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%EV -7.79%E -4.56%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -7.37%E -1.71%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -8.00%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-16 17:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.18%EV -7.25%E -4.22%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -4.32%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 17:09
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.71%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.23%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-16 17:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.78%EV -9.95%E -5.96%K -14.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.13%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.09%EV -12.17%E -3.40%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-16 17:03
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.24%EV -6.17%E -3.55%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -8.00%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 16:35
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.00%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 17:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.29%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-16 17:14
Codere (IT)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.32%EV -7.79%E -4.56%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 17:05
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.08%EV -9.95%E -5.96%K -14.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-16 17:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.08%EV -9.95%E -5.96%K -14.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-16 17:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.23%EV -10.49%E -6.32%K -15.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-16 17:04
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -4.55%E -2.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -11.68%E -2.85%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 16:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.36%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -13.83%E -3.46%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 17:05
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.83%E -3.46%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 16:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.83%E -3.46%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 16:39
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.83%E -3.46%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.83%E -3.46%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 16:39
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.18%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.83%E -3.46%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.48%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 17:09
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -9.95%E -5.96%K -14.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -13.83%E -3.46%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-16 17:09
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -9.95%E -5.96%K -14.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -13.83%E -3.46%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-16 16:59
Unibet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.12%EV -0.779%E -0.423%K -0.927%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -18.14%E -4.77%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-16 16:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -1.32%E -0.720%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -18.14%E -4.77%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 16:35
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -1.32%E -0.720%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -18.14%E -4.77%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 16:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -1.32%E -0.720%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -18.14%E -4.77%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 16:35
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -1.32%E -0.720%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -18.14%E -4.77%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 16:35
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -1.32%E -0.720%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -18.14%E -4.77%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 16:35
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -1.32%E -0.720%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -18.14%E -4.77%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 16:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -1.32%E -0.720%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -18.14%E -4.77%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 16:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -1.32%E -0.720%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -18.14%E -4.77%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -1.32%E -0.720%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -18.14%E -4.77%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 16:35
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -1.32%E -0.720%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -18.14%E -4.77%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 16:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.05%EV -4.55%E -2.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.27%EV -21.37%E -5.86%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.68%EV -15.36%E -4.45%K -6.27%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-16 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.05%EV -4.55%E -2.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.27%EV -21.37%E -5.86%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.68%EV -15.36%E -4.45%K -6.27%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-16 16:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.05%EV -4.55%E -2.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.27%EV -21.37%E -5.86%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.68%EV -15.36%E -4.45%K -6.27%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-16 16:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.16%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69%1.3%2026-08-16 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.79%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66%1.4%2026-08-16 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.93%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.58%1.7%2026-08-16 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.93%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.58%1.7%2026-08-16 17:05
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.07%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.42%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51%2.0%2026-08-16 17:05