默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fredrikstad FK v Kristiansund BK

开赛时间: 2026-08-16 17:15 UTC

最终结果: Fredrikstad FK 1–0 Kristiansund BK

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

55 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fredrikstad FK (主队)

预测 53.92%1.85公平赔率
EV -0.779%
优势 -0.423%
Kelly -0.927%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.84

博彩公司预测分布
50.05%53.84%53.85%55.80%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.661.741.721.8460.24%57.55%58.14%54.35%最小值均值中位数最大值

Kristiansund BK (客队)

预测 21.54%4.64公平赔率
EV +2.97%
优势 +0.621%
Kelly +0.785%
增长率 +0.023%

假设最高赔率为 4.78

博彩公司预测分布
20.12%21.58%21.57%24.27%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.654.174.204.7827.40%23.98%23.81%20.92%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 24.53%4.08公平赔率
EV -1.37%
优势 -0.341%
Kelly -0.454%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.02

博彩公司预测分布
23.89%24.58%24.58%26.10%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.453.703.704.0228.99%27.00%27.03%24.88%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Fredrikstad FK (主队):53.92%;Kristiansund BK (客队):21.54%;平局:24.53%。 对于“Kristiansund BK (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.64。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.78,对应+2.97%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (55 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.80%EV -6.71%E -3.88%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 20.19%EV +2.97%E +0.621%K +0.785%G +0.023%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.01%EV -1.37%E -0.341%K -0.454%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-16 17:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.31%EV -7.79%E -4.56%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV +1.24%E +0.265%K +0.336%G +0.004%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.57%EV -5.54%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 17:14
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.31%EV -7.79%E -4.56%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV +1.24%E +0.265%K +0.336%G +0.004%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.57%EV -5.54%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 17:10
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.69%EV -5.63%E -3.22%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.21%EV +0.167%E +0.036%K +0.046%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 17:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.10%EV -7.25%E -4.22%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -0.910%E -0.198%K -0.253%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -4.32%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 17:09
BetAnything🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.10%EV -7.25%E -4.22%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -0.910%E -0.198%K -0.253%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -4.32%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 17:09
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -7.79%E -4.56%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -0.910%E -0.198%K -0.253%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -4.32%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 17:14
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.02%EV -6.71%E -3.88%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 20.88%EV -1.77%E -0.389%K -0.498%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.10%EV -3.09%E -0.782%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.59%EV -7.79%E -4.56%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.98%EV -4.14%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.44%EV -6.28%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 17:14
Coolbet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.05%EV -1.32%E -0.720%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.06%EV -5.22%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.89%EV -4.32%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-16 16:34
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%EV -4.01%E -2.26%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -5.22%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 17:04
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.96%EV -6.17%E -3.55%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -5.22%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-16 17:14
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.73%EV -7.79%E -4.56%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -5.22%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -4.32%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 17:05
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -5.22%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 17:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -9.95%E -5.96%K -14.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -5.22%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 17:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.68%EV -5.63%E -3.22%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -6.30%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 17:05
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -6.71%E -3.88%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 17:05
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -8.00%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 17:14
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -9.95%E -5.96%K -14.85%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 17:14
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -9.95%E -5.96%K -14.85%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 17:14
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.34%EV -2.94%E -1.63%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -7.37%E -1.71%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.74%EV -10.20%E -2.79%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 16:44
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%EV -7.79%E -4.56%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -7.37%E -1.71%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -8.00%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-16 17:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.18%EV -7.25%E -4.22%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -4.32%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 17:09
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.71%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.23%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-16 17:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.78%EV -9.95%E -5.96%K -14.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.13%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.09%EV -12.17%E -3.40%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-16 17:03
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.24%EV -6.17%E -3.55%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -8.00%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 16:35
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.00%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 17:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.29%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-16 17:14
Codere (IT)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.32%EV -7.79%E -4.56%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 17:05
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.08%EV -9.95%E -5.96%K -14.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-16 17:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.08%EV -9.95%E -5.96%K -14.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-16 17:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.23%EV -10.49%E -6.32%K -15.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-16 17:04
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -4.55%E -2.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -11.68%E -2.85%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 16:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.36%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -13.83%E -3.46%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 17:05
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.83%E -3.46%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 16:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.83%E -3.46%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 16:39
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.83%E -3.46%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.83%E -3.46%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 16:39
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.18%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.83%E -3.46%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.48%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 17:09
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -9.95%E -5.96%K -14.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -13.83%E -3.46%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-16 17:09
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -9.95%E -5.96%K -14.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -13.83%E -3.46%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-16 16:59
Unibet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.12%EV -0.779%E -0.423%K -0.927%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -18.14%E -4.77%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-16 16:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -1.32%E -0.720%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -18.14%E -4.77%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 16:35
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -1.32%E -0.720%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -18.14%E -4.77%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 16:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -1.32%E -0.720%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -18.14%E -4.77%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 16:35
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -1.32%E -0.720%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -18.14%E -4.77%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 16:35
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -1.32%E -0.720%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -18.14%E -4.77%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 16:35
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -1.32%E -0.720%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -18.14%E -4.77%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 16:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -1.32%E -0.720%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -18.14%E -4.77%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 16:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -1.32%E -0.720%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -18.14%E -4.77%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -1.32%E -0.720%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -18.14%E -4.77%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 16:35
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -1.32%E -0.720%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -18.14%E -4.77%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 16:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.05%EV -4.55%E -2.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.27%EV -21.37%E -5.86%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.68%EV -15.36%E -4.45%K -6.27%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-16 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.05%EV -4.55%E -2.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.27%EV -21.37%E -5.86%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.68%EV -15.36%E -4.45%K -6.27%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-16 16:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.05%EV -4.55%E -2.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.27%EV -21.37%E -5.86%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.68%EV -15.36%E -4.45%K -6.27%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-16 16:35
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.16%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69%1.3%2026-08-16 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.79%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66%1.4%2026-08-16 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.93%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.58%1.7%2026-08-16 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.93%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.58%1.7%2026-08-16 17:05
Smarkets◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.07%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.42%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51%2.0%2026-08-16 17:05