Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Fredrikstad FK v Kristiansund BK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-16 17:15 UTC

Score final : Fredrikstad FK 1–0 Kristiansund BK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Fredrikstad FK (Local)

Prévision 53.92%1.85cote équitable
EV -0.779%
Avantage -0.423%
Kelly -0.927%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.84

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.05%53.84%53.85%55.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.661.741.721.8460.24%57.55%58.14%54.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Kristiansund BK (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.54%4.64cote équitable
EV +2.97%
Avantage +0.621%
Kelly +0.785%
Croissance +0.023%

avec la cote maximale 4.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.12%21.58%21.57%24.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.654.174.204.7827.40%23.98%23.81%20.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.53%4.08cote équitable
EV -1.37%
Avantage -0.341%
Kelly -0.454%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.89%24.58%24.58%26.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.453.703.704.0228.99%27.00%27.03%24.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Fredrikstad FK (Local) : 53.92% ; Kristiansund BK (Visiteur) : 21.54% ; Match nul : 24.53%. Pour Kristiansund BK (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.64. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.78, soit une espérance positive de +2.97%.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.80%EV -6.71%E -3.88%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 20.19%EV +2.97%E +0.621%K +0.785%G +0.023%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.01%EV -1.37%E -0.341%K -0.454%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-16 17:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.31%EV -7.79%E -4.56%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV +1.24%E +0.265%K +0.336%G +0.004%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.57%EV -5.54%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 17:14
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.31%EV -7.79%E -4.56%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV +1.24%E +0.265%K +0.336%G +0.004%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.57%EV -5.54%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 17:10
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.69%EV -5.63%E -3.22%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.21%EV +0.167%E +0.036%K +0.046%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 17:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.10%EV -7.25%E -4.22%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -0.910%E -0.198%K -0.253%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -4.32%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 17:09
BetAnything🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.10%EV -7.25%E -4.22%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -0.910%E -0.198%K -0.253%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -4.32%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 17:09
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -7.79%E -4.56%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -0.910%E -0.198%K -0.253%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -4.32%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 17:14
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.02%EV -6.71%E -3.88%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 20.88%EV -1.77%E -0.389%K -0.498%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.10%EV -3.09%E -0.782%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.59%EV -7.79%E -4.56%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.98%EV -4.14%E -0.931%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.44%EV -6.28%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 17:14
Coolbet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.05%EV -1.32%E -0.720%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.06%EV -5.22%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.89%EV -4.32%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-16 16:34
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%EV -4.01%E -2.26%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -5.22%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 17:04
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.96%EV -6.17%E -3.55%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -5.22%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-16 17:14
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.73%EV -7.79%E -4.56%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -5.22%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -4.32%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 17:05
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -5.22%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 17:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -9.95%E -5.96%K -14.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -5.22%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 17:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.68%EV -5.63%E -3.22%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -6.30%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 17:05
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -6.71%E -3.88%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 17:05
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -8.00%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 17:14
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -9.95%E -5.96%K -14.85%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 17:14
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -9.95%E -5.96%K -14.85%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 17:14
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.34%EV -2.94%E -1.63%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -7.37%E -1.71%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.74%EV -10.20%E -2.79%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 16:44
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.95%EV -7.79%E -4.56%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -7.37%E -1.71%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -8.00%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-16 17:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.18%EV -7.25%E -4.22%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -4.32%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 17:09
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.71%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.23%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-16 17:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.78%EV -9.95%E -5.96%K -14.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.13%EV -8.45%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.09%EV -12.17%E -3.40%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-16 17:03
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.24%EV -6.17%E -3.55%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -8.00%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 16:35
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.00%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 17:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.29%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-16 17:14
Codere (IT)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.32%EV -7.79%E -4.56%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 17:05
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.08%EV -9.95%E -5.96%K -14.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-16 17:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.08%EV -9.95%E -5.96%K -14.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-16 17:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.23%EV -10.49%E -6.32%K -15.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -9.53%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-16 17:04
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -4.55%E -2.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -11.68%E -2.85%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 16:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.36%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -13.83%E -3.46%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 17:05
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.83%E -3.46%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 16:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.83%E -3.46%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 16:39
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.83%E -3.46%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.83%E -3.46%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 16:39
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.18%EV -9.41%E -5.60%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.83%E -3.46%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.48%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 17:09
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -9.95%E -5.96%K -14.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -13.83%E -3.46%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-16 17:09
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -9.95%E -5.96%K -14.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -13.83%E -3.46%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-16 16:59
Unibet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.12%EV -0.779%E -0.423%K -0.927%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -18.14%E -4.77%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-16 16:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -1.32%E -0.720%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -18.14%E -4.77%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 16:35
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -1.32%E -0.720%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -18.14%E -4.77%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 16:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -1.32%E -0.720%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -18.14%E -4.77%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 16:35
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -1.32%E -0.720%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -18.14%E -4.77%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 16:35
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -1.32%E -0.720%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -18.14%E -4.77%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 16:35
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -1.32%E -0.720%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -18.14%E -4.77%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 16:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -1.32%E -0.720%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -18.14%E -4.77%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 16:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -1.32%E -0.720%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -18.14%E -4.77%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -1.32%E -0.720%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -18.14%E -4.77%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 16:35
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -1.32%E -0.720%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -18.14%E -4.77%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.68%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 16:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.05%EV -4.55%E -2.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.27%EV -21.37%E -5.86%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.68%EV -15.36%E -4.45%K -6.27%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-16 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.05%EV -4.55%E -2.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.27%EV -21.37%E -5.86%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.68%EV -15.36%E -4.45%K -6.27%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-16 16:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.05%EV -4.55%E -2.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.27%EV -21.37%E -5.86%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.68%EV -15.36%E -4.45%K -6.27%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-16 16:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.16%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69%1.3%2026-08-16 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.79%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66%1.4%2026-08-16 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.93%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.58%1.7%2026-08-16 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.93%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.58%1.7%2026-08-16 17:05
Smarkets◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.07%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.42%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51%2.0%2026-08-16 17:05