Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bodø/Glimt v Molde

Kickoff: 2026-05-04 17:00 UTC

Final: Bodø/Glimt 0–1 Molde

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bodø/Glimt (Local)

Prediction 70.09%1.43fair odd
EV -3.98%
Edge -2.90%
Kelly -10.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.80%70.07%70.25%72.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.311.301.3780.00%76.44%76.92%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Molde (Visit)

Prediction 13.58%7.36fair odd
EV +5.95%
Edge +0.763%
Kelly +0.876%
Growth +0.052%

assuming max odds 7.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.22%13.60%13.46%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.906.887.007.8016.95%14.53%14.29%12.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 16.33%6.12fair odd
EV +4.99%
Edge +0.776%
Kelly +0.918%
Growth +0.046%

assuming max odds 6.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.97%16.33%16.30%19.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.515.406.4322.22%18.16%18.52%15.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bodø/Glimt (Local): 70.09%; Molde (Visit): 13.58%; Draw: 16.33%. For Molde (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.36. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.95%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.90%EV -5.38%E -3.99%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.44%EV +5.95%E +0.763%K +0.876%G +0.052%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.66%EV +1.23%E +0.199%K +0.237%G +0.003%3.0%2026-05-04 16:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.55%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -10.20%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-04 16:15
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -9.59%E -7.43%K -33.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -2.03%E -0.339%K -0.407%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-04 16:14
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 00:00
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 00:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 00:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 00:00
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-30 23:59
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-30 23:59
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-30 23:57
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 00:00
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 00:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 00:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.49%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -13.46%E -2.54%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-30 23:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.49%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -13.46%E -2.54%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 00:00
Pinnacle🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.84%EV -6.08%E -4.54%K -17.89%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.19%EV -0.838%E -0.115%K -0.133%G +0.000%6.43I 15.55%NM 14.97%EV +4.99%E +0.776%K +0.918%G +0.046%3.9%2026-05-04 16:40
NordicBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.95%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.55%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.93%EV -0.838%E -0.115%K -0.133%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.13%EV -4.48%E -0.766%K -0.924%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-04 16:25
Betsson🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.95%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.55%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.93%EV -0.838%E -0.115%K -0.133%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.13%EV -4.48%E -0.766%K -0.924%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-04 16:25
1xBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.64%EV -5.38%E -3.99%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.17I 13.95%NM 13.30%EV -2.60%E -0.363%K -0.422%G +0.000%5.94I 16.84%NM 16.06%EV -3.01%E -0.507%K -0.610%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-04 16:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.20%EV -6.08%E -4.54%K -17.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -4.91%E -0.702%K -0.819%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-04 16:45
betfred_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -4.91%E -0.702%K -0.819%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -10.20%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-04 16:15
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -4.91%E -0.702%K -0.819%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -14.28%E -2.72%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-04 16:49
LeoVegas🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -10.29%E -8.04%K -36.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.82%EV -4.91%E -0.702%K -0.819%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -14.28%E -2.72%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-30 23:59
Bet Right🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.50%EV -10.29%E -8.04%K -36.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.71%EV -4.91%E -0.702%K -0.819%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -18.36%E -3.67%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-04 16:15
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.13%EV -12.39%E -9.91%K -49.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -4.91%E -0.702%K -0.819%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.17%EV -10.20%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-04 15:55
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.13%EV -12.39%E -9.91%K -49.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -4.91%E -0.702%K -0.819%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.17%EV -10.20%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-04 15:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.24%EV -12.39%E -9.91%K -49.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.54%EV -4.91%E -0.702%K -0.819%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.22%EV -16.73%E -3.28%K -4.08%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-30 23:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 68.66%EV -12.39%E -9.91%K -49.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.26%EV -4.91%E -0.702%K -0.819%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.07%EV -26.53%E -5.89%K -7.58%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-04 15:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.64%EV -7.48%E -5.67%K -23.39%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.42%EV -5.59%E -0.805%K -0.940%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.94%EV -4.48%E -0.766%K -0.924%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 16:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.56%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.55%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.80%EV -7.63%E -1.12%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -2.03%E -0.339%K -0.407%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-04 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.56%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.55%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.80%EV -7.63%E -1.12%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -2.03%E -0.339%K -0.407%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-04 16:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.66%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.51%EV -7.63%E -1.12%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.84%EV -5.30%E -0.914%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-04 16:39
GTbets🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.10%EV -3.98%E -2.90%K -10.75%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.32%EV -10.21%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.71I 17.51%NM 16.58%EV -6.77%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-04 16:15
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.17%EV -4.68%E -3.44%K -13.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.70%E -1.80%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-04 16:15
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.33%EV -5.38%E -3.99%K -15.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -11.70%E -1.80%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-04 16:15
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -11.70%E -1.80%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -10.20%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-04 16:24
Bovada🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.50%EV -7.48%E -5.67%K -23.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -11.70%E -1.80%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -8.56%E -1.53%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-04 16:15
BetUS🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.50%EV -7.48%E -5.67%K -23.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -11.70%E -1.80%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -8.56%E -1.53%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-04 16:15
BetAnything🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.50%EV -7.48%E -5.67%K -23.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -11.70%E -1.80%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -8.56%E -1.53%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-04 16:20
Everygame🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.45%EV -10.29%E -8.04%K -36.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.87%EV -11.70%E -1.80%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.68%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-04 16:40
Sky Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.78%EV -9.59%E -7.43%K -33.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.85%EV -11.70%E -1.80%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -10.20%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-04 16:15
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -11.70%E -1.80%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -14.28%E -2.72%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-04 16:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.93%EV -7.48%E -5.67%K -23.39%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.22%EV -13.06%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.85%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-04 16:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.47%EV -8.18%E -6.25%K -26.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.56%EV -15.10%E -2.42%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.97%EV -6.93%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-04 16:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 69.69%EV -11.69%E -9.28%K -44.96%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.05%EV -15.10%E -2.42%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.26%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-04 16:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 69.02%EV -11.69%E -9.28%K -44.96%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.26%EV -17.14%E -2.81%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.72%EV -15.10%E -2.90%K -3.59%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-04 16:45
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -4.68%E -3.44%K -13.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -18.50%E -3.08%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -10.20%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 16:50
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.80%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -18.50%E -3.08%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -14.28%E -2.72%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-04 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.80%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -18.50%E -3.08%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -14.28%E -2.72%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-04 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.80%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -18.50%E -3.08%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -14.28%E -2.72%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-04 16:15
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.80%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -18.50%E -3.08%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -14.28%E -2.72%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-04 16:15
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 67.89%EV -9.59%E -7.43%K -33.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.60%EV -18.50%E -3.08%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.52%EV -18.36%E -3.67%K -4.59%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-04 16:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 68.57%EV -10.29%E -8.04%K -36.74%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.88%EV -19.86%E -3.37%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.56%EV -13.46%E -2.54%K -3.13%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-04 16:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.36I 73.53%NM 73.10%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.84%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-05-04 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.25%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.77%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%1.1%2026-05-04 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.25%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.77%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%1.1%2026-05-04 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.25%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.77%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%1.1%2026-05-04 16:50
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 72.84%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.90%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.25%2.4%2026-05-04 16:50