L’École des cotes

Bodø/Glimt v Molde

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-04 17:00 UTC

Score final : Bodø/Glimt 0–1 Molde

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Bodø/Glimt (Local)

Prévision 70.09%1.43cote équitable
EV -3.98%
Avantage -2.90%
Kelly -10.75%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.37

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.80%70.07%70.25%72.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.251.311.301.3780.00%76.44%76.92%72.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Molde (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.58%7.36cote équitable
EV +5.95%
Avantage +0.763%
Kelly +0.876%
Croissance +0.052%

avec la cote maximale 7.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.22%13.60%13.46%15.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.906.887.007.8016.95%14.53%14.29%12.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 16.33%6.12cote équitable
EV +4.99%
Avantage +0.776%
Kelly +0.918%
Croissance +0.046%

avec la cote maximale 6.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.97%16.33%16.30%19.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.515.406.4322.22%18.16%18.52%15.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 71.90%EV -5.38%E -3.99%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.44%EV +5.95%E +0.763%K +0.876%G +0.052%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.66%EV +1.23%E +0.199%K +0.237%G +0.003%3.0%2026-05-04 16:14
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.55%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -10.20%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-04 16:15
FanDuel1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -9.59%E -7.43%K -33.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -2.03%E -0.339%K -0.407%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-04 16:14
Grosvenor1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 00:00
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 00:00
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 00:00
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 00:00
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-30 23:59
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-30 23:59
Casumo1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-30 23:57
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 00:00
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 00:00
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 00:00
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 70.49%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -13.46%E -2.54%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-30 23:59
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 70.49%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -13.46%E -2.54%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 00:00
Pinnacle1.34I 74.63%NM 71.84%EV -6.08%E -4.54%K -17.89%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.19%EV -0.838%E -0.115%K -0.133%G +0.000%6.43I 15.55%NM 14.97%EV +4.99%E +0.776%K +0.918%G +0.046%3.9%2026-05-04 16:40
NordicBet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.95%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.55%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.93%EV -0.838%E -0.115%K -0.133%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.13%EV -4.48%E -0.766%K -0.924%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-04 16:25
Betsson1.33I 75.19%NM 70.95%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.55%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.93%EV -0.838%E -0.115%K -0.133%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.13%EV -4.48%E -0.766%K -0.924%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-04 16:25
1xBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.64%EV -5.38%E -3.99%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.17I 13.95%NM 13.30%EV -2.60%E -0.363%K -0.422%G +0.000%5.94I 16.84%NM 16.06%EV -3.01%E -0.507%K -0.610%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-04 16:40
Unibet (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.20%EV -6.08%E -4.54%K -17.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -4.91%E -0.702%K -0.819%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-04 16:45
betfred_uk1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -4.91%E -0.702%K -0.819%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -10.20%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-04 16:15
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -4.91%E -0.702%K -0.819%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -14.28%E -2.72%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-04 16:49
LeoVegas1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -10.29%E -8.04%K -36.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.82%EV -4.91%E -0.702%K -0.819%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -14.28%E -2.72%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-30 23:59
Bet Right1.28I 78.13%NM 69.50%EV -10.29%E -8.04%K -36.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.71%EV -4.91%E -0.702%K -0.819%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -18.36%E -3.67%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-04 16:15
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 71.13%EV -12.39%E -9.91%K -49.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -4.91%E -0.702%K -0.819%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.17%EV -10.20%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-04 15:55
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 71.13%EV -12.39%E -9.91%K -49.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -4.91%E -0.702%K -0.819%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.17%EV -10.20%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-04 15:55
PMU (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 70.24%EV -12.39%E -9.91%K -49.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.54%EV -4.91%E -0.702%K -0.819%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.22%EV -16.73%E -3.28%K -4.08%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-30 23:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 68.66%EV -12.39%E -9.91%K -49.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.26%EV -4.91%E -0.702%K -0.819%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.07%EV -26.53%E -5.89%K -7.58%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-04 15:55
Marathon Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.64%EV -7.48%E -5.67%K -23.39%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.42%EV -5.59%E -0.805%K -0.940%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.94%EV -4.48%E -0.766%K -0.924%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 16:50
LowVig.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 70.56%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.55%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.80%EV -7.63%E -1.12%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -2.03%E -0.339%K -0.407%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-04 16:40
BetOnline.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 70.56%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.55%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.80%EV -7.63%E -1.12%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -2.03%E -0.339%K -0.407%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-04 16:40
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.66%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.51%EV -7.63%E -1.12%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.84%EV -5.30%E -0.914%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-04 16:39
GTbets1.37I 72.99%NM 69.10%EV -3.98%E -2.90%K -10.75%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.32%EV -10.21%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.71I 17.51%NM 16.58%EV -6.77%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-04 16:15
DraftKings1.36I 73.53%NM 69.17%EV -4.68%E -3.44%K -13.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.70%E -1.80%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-04 16:15
BetMGM1.35I 74.07%NM 69.33%EV -5.38%E -3.99%K -15.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -11.70%E -1.80%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-04 16:15
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -11.70%E -1.80%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -10.20%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-04 16:24
Bovada1.32I 75.76%NM 69.50%EV -7.48%E -5.67%K -23.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -11.70%E -1.80%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -8.56%E -1.53%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-04 16:15
BetUS1.32I 75.76%NM 69.50%EV -7.48%E -5.67%K -23.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -11.70%E -1.80%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -8.56%E -1.53%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-04 16:15
BetAnything1.32I 75.76%NM 69.50%EV -7.48%E -5.67%K -23.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -11.70%E -1.80%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -8.56%E -1.53%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-04 16:20
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 70.45%EV -10.29%E -8.04%K -36.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.87%EV -11.70%E -1.80%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.68%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-04 16:40
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 69.78%EV -9.59%E -7.43%K -33.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.85%EV -11.70%E -1.80%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -10.20%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-04 16:15
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -11.70%E -1.80%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -14.28%E -2.72%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-04 16:50
Codere (IT)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.93%EV -7.48%E -5.67%K -23.39%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.22%EV -13.06%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.85%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-04 16:45
Winamax (DE)1.31I 76.34%NM 69.47%EV -8.18%E -6.25%K -26.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.56%EV -15.10%E -2.42%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.97%EV -6.93%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-04 16:45
Betclic (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 69.69%EV -11.69%E -9.28%K -44.96%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.05%EV -15.10%E -2.42%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.26%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-04 16:49
Unibet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 69.02%EV -11.69%E -9.28%K -44.96%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.26%EV -17.14%E -2.81%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.72%EV -15.10%E -2.90%K -3.59%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-04 16:45
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -4.68%E -3.44%K -13.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -18.50%E -3.08%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -10.20%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 16:50
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 67.80%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -18.50%E -3.08%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -14.28%E -2.72%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-04 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 67.80%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -18.50%E -3.08%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -14.28%E -2.72%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-04 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 67.80%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -18.50%E -3.08%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -14.28%E -2.72%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-04 16:15
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 67.80%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -18.50%E -3.08%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -14.28%E -2.72%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-04 16:15
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 67.89%EV -9.59%E -7.43%K -33.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.60%EV -18.50%E -3.08%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.52%EV -18.36%E -3.67%K -4.59%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-04 16:45
Winamax (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 68.57%EV -10.29%E -8.04%K -36.74%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.88%EV -19.86%E -3.37%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.56%EV -13.46%E -2.54%K -3.13%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-04 16:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.36I 73.53%NM 73.10%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.84%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-05-04 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.25%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.77%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%1.1%2026-05-04 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.25%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.77%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%1.1%2026-05-04 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.25%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.77%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%1.1%2026-05-04 16:50
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 72.84%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.90%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.25%2.4%2026-05-04 16:50