La scuola delle quote

Bodø/Glimt v Molde

Inizio: 2026-05-04 17:00 UTC

Finale: Bodø/Glimt 0–1 Molde

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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54 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Bodø/Glimt (Casa)

Previsione 70.09%1.43quota equa
EV -3.98%
Vantaggio -2.90%
Kelly -10.75%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.37

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
67.80%70.07%70.25%72.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.251.311.301.3780.00%76.44%76.92%72.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Molde (Trasferta)

Previsione 13.58%7.36quota equa
EV +5.95%
Vantaggio +0.763%
Kelly +0.876%
Crescita +0.052%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
12.22%13.60%13.46%15.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.906.887.007.8016.95%14.53%14.29%12.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 16.33%6.12quota equa
EV +4.99%
Vantaggio +0.776%
Kelly +0.918%
Crescita +0.046%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.43

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.97%16.33%16.30%19.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.505.515.406.4322.22%18.16%18.52%15.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 71.90%EV -5.38%E -3.99%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.44%EV +5.95%E +0.763%K +0.876%G +0.052%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.66%EV +1.23%E +0.199%K +0.237%G +0.003%3.0%2026-05-04 16:14
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.55%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -10.20%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-04 16:15
FanDuel1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -9.59%E -7.43%K -33.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -2.03%E -0.339%K -0.407%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-04 16:14
Grosvenor1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 00:00
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 00:00
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 00:00
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 00:00
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-30 23:59
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-30 23:59
Casumo1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-30 23:57
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 00:00
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 00:00
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 00:00
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 70.49%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -13.46%E -2.54%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-30 23:59
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 70.49%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -13.46%E -2.54%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 00:00
Pinnacle1.34I 74.63%NM 71.84%EV -6.08%E -4.54%K -17.89%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.19%EV -0.838%E -0.115%K -0.133%G +0.000%6.43I 15.55%NM 14.97%EV +4.99%E +0.776%K +0.918%G +0.046%3.9%2026-05-04 16:40
NordicBet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.95%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.55%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.93%EV -0.838%E -0.115%K -0.133%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.13%EV -4.48%E -0.766%K -0.924%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-04 16:25
Betsson1.33I 75.19%NM 70.95%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.55%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.93%EV -0.838%E -0.115%K -0.133%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.13%EV -4.48%E -0.766%K -0.924%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-04 16:25
1xBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.64%EV -5.38%E -3.99%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.17I 13.95%NM 13.30%EV -2.60%E -0.363%K -0.422%G +0.000%5.94I 16.84%NM 16.06%EV -3.01%E -0.507%K -0.610%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-04 16:40
Unibet (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.20%EV -6.08%E -4.54%K -17.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -4.91%E -0.702%K -0.819%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-04 16:45
betfred_uk1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -4.91%E -0.702%K -0.819%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -10.20%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-04 16:15
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -4.91%E -0.702%K -0.819%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -14.28%E -2.72%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-04 16:49
LeoVegas1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -10.29%E -8.04%K -36.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.82%EV -4.91%E -0.702%K -0.819%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -14.28%E -2.72%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-30 23:59
Bet Right1.28I 78.13%NM 69.50%EV -10.29%E -8.04%K -36.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.71%EV -4.91%E -0.702%K -0.819%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -18.36%E -3.67%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-04 16:15
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 71.13%EV -12.39%E -9.91%K -49.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -4.91%E -0.702%K -0.819%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.17%EV -10.20%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-04 15:55
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 71.13%EV -12.39%E -9.91%K -49.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -4.91%E -0.702%K -0.819%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.17%EV -10.20%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-04 15:55
PMU (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 70.24%EV -12.39%E -9.91%K -49.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.54%EV -4.91%E -0.702%K -0.819%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.22%EV -16.73%E -3.28%K -4.08%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-30 23:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 68.66%EV -12.39%E -9.91%K -49.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.26%EV -4.91%E -0.702%K -0.819%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.07%EV -26.53%E -5.89%K -7.58%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-04 15:55
Marathon Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.64%EV -7.48%E -5.67%K -23.39%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.42%EV -5.59%E -0.805%K -0.940%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.94%EV -4.48%E -0.766%K -0.924%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 16:50
LowVig.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 70.56%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.55%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.80%EV -7.63%E -1.12%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -2.03%E -0.339%K -0.407%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-04 16:40
BetOnline.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 70.56%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.55%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.80%EV -7.63%E -1.12%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -2.03%E -0.339%K -0.407%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-04 16:40
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.66%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.51%EV -7.63%E -1.12%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.84%EV -5.30%E -0.914%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-04 16:39
GTbets1.37I 72.99%NM 69.10%EV -3.98%E -2.90%K -10.75%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.32%EV -10.21%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.71I 17.51%NM 16.58%EV -6.77%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-04 16:15
DraftKings1.36I 73.53%NM 69.17%EV -4.68%E -3.44%K -13.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.70%E -1.80%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-04 16:15
BetMGM1.35I 74.07%NM 69.33%EV -5.38%E -3.99%K -15.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -11.70%E -1.80%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-04 16:15
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -11.70%E -1.80%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -10.20%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-04 16:24
Bovada1.32I 75.76%NM 69.50%EV -7.48%E -5.67%K -23.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -11.70%E -1.80%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -8.56%E -1.53%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-04 16:15
BetUS1.32I 75.76%NM 69.50%EV -7.48%E -5.67%K -23.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -11.70%E -1.80%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -8.56%E -1.53%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-04 16:15
BetAnything1.32I 75.76%NM 69.50%EV -7.48%E -5.67%K -23.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -11.70%E -1.80%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -8.56%E -1.53%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-04 16:20
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 70.45%EV -10.29%E -8.04%K -36.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.87%EV -11.70%E -1.80%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.68%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-04 16:40
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 69.78%EV -9.59%E -7.43%K -33.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.85%EV -11.70%E -1.80%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -10.20%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-04 16:15
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -11.70%E -1.80%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -14.28%E -2.72%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-04 16:50
Codere (IT)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.93%EV -7.48%E -5.67%K -23.39%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.22%EV -13.06%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.85%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-04 16:45
Winamax (DE)1.31I 76.34%NM 69.47%EV -8.18%E -6.25%K -26.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.56%EV -15.10%E -2.42%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.97%EV -6.93%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-04 16:45
Betclic (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 69.69%EV -11.69%E -9.28%K -44.96%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.05%EV -15.10%E -2.42%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.26%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-04 16:49
Unibet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 69.02%EV -11.69%E -9.28%K -44.96%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.26%EV -17.14%E -2.81%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.72%EV -15.10%E -2.90%K -3.59%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-04 16:45
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -4.68%E -3.44%K -13.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -18.50%E -3.08%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -10.20%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 16:50
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 67.80%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -18.50%E -3.08%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -14.28%E -2.72%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-04 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 67.80%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -18.50%E -3.08%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -14.28%E -2.72%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-04 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 67.80%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -18.50%E -3.08%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -14.28%E -2.72%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-04 16:15
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 67.80%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -18.50%E -3.08%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -14.28%E -2.72%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-04 16:15
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 67.89%EV -9.59%E -7.43%K -33.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.60%EV -18.50%E -3.08%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.52%EV -18.36%E -3.67%K -4.59%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-04 16:45
Winamax (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 68.57%EV -10.29%E -8.04%K -36.74%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.88%EV -19.86%E -3.37%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.56%EV -13.46%E -2.54%K -3.13%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-04 16:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.36I 73.53%NM 73.10%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.84%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-05-04 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.25%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.77%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%1.1%2026-05-04 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.25%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.77%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%1.1%2026-05-04 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.25%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.77%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%1.1%2026-05-04 16:50
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 72.84%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.90%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.25%2.4%2026-05-04 16:50