La escuela de los momiosBodø/Glimt v Molde
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Bodø/Glimt (Local)
Predicción 70.09%1.43momio equitativo
EV -3.98%
Ventaja -2.90%
Kelly -10.75%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.37
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.80%70.07%70.25%72.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.251.311.301.3780.00%76.44%76.92%72.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Molde (Visitante)
Predicción 13.58%7.36momio equitativo
EV +5.95%
Ventaja +0.763%
Kelly +0.876%
Crecimiento +0.052%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.22%13.60%13.46%15.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.906.887.007.8016.95%14.53%14.29%12.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 16.33%6.12momio equitativo
EV +4.99%
Ventaja +0.776%
Kelly +0.918%
Crecimiento +0.046%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.97%16.33%16.30%19.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.515.406.4322.22%18.16%18.52%15.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.90%EV -5.38%E -3.99%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.44%EV +5.95%E +0.763%K +0.876%G +0.052% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.66%EV +1.23%E +0.199%K +0.237%G +0.003% | 3.0% | 2026-05-04 16:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -10.20%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-04 16:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -9.59%E -7.43%K -33.06%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -2.03%E -0.339%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-04 16:14 |
| Grosvenor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Unibet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Casumo | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-30 23:57 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| betPARX | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.49%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -13.46%E -2.54%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.49%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV +1.88%E +0.251%K +0.289%G +0.005% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -13.46%E -2.54%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.84%EV -6.08%E -4.54%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.19%EV -0.838%E -0.115%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 6.43I 15.55%NM 14.97%EV +4.99%E +0.776%K +0.918%G +0.046% | 3.9% | 2026-05-04 16:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.95%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.93%EV -0.838%E -0.115%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.13%EV -4.48%E -0.766%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-04 16:25 |
| Betsson | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.95%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.93%EV -0.838%E -0.115%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.13%EV -4.48%E -0.766%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-04 16:25 |
| 1xBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.64%EV -5.38%E -3.99%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 7.17I 13.95%NM 13.30%EV -2.60%E -0.363%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 5.94I 16.84%NM 16.06%EV -3.01%E -0.507%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-04 16:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.20%EV -6.08%E -4.54%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -4.91%E -0.702%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-04 16:45 |
| betfred_uk | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -4.91%E -0.702%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -10.20%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-04 16:15 |
| Bet Victor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -4.91%E -0.702%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -14.28%E -2.72%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-04 16:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -10.29%E -8.04%K -36.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.82%EV -4.91%E -0.702%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -14.28%E -2.72%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.50%EV -10.29%E -8.04%K -36.74%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.71%EV -4.91%E -0.702%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -18.36%E -3.67%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-04 16:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.13%EV -12.39%E -9.91%K -49.56%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -4.91%E -0.702%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.17%EV -10.20%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.13%EV -12.39%E -9.91%K -49.56%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -4.91%E -0.702%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.17%EV -10.20%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.24%EV -12.39%E -9.91%K -49.56%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.54%EV -4.91%E -0.702%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.22%EV -16.73%E -3.28%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 68.66%EV -12.39%E -9.91%K -49.56%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.26%EV -4.91%E -0.702%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.07%EV -26.53%E -5.89%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-05-04 15:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.64%EV -7.48%E -5.67%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.42%EV -5.59%E -0.805%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 15.94%EV -4.48%E -0.766%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 16:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.56%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.80%EV -7.63%E -1.12%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -2.03%E -0.339%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-04 16:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.56%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.80%EV -7.63%E -1.12%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -2.03%E -0.339%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-04 16:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.66%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.51%EV -7.63%E -1.12%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.84%EV -5.30%E -0.914%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-04 16:39 |
| GTbets | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.10%EV -3.98%E -2.90%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.32%EV -10.21%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.71I 17.51%NM 16.58%EV -6.77%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-04 16:15 |
| DraftKings | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.17%EV -4.68%E -3.44%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -11.70%E -1.80%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-04 16:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.33%EV -5.38%E -3.99%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -11.70%E -1.80%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-04 16:15 |
| William Hill | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -11.70%E -1.80%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -10.20%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-04 16:24 |
| Bovada | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.50%EV -7.48%E -5.67%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -11.70%E -1.80%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -8.56%E -1.53%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-04 16:15 |
| BetUS | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.50%EV -7.48%E -5.67%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -11.70%E -1.80%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -8.56%E -1.53%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-04 16:15 |
| BetAnything | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.50%EV -7.48%E -5.67%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -11.70%E -1.80%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -8.56%E -1.53%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-04 16:20 |
| Everygame | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.45%EV -10.29%E -8.04%K -36.74%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.87%EV -11.70%E -1.80%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.68%EV -6.12%E -1.06%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-04 16:40 |
| Sky Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.78%EV -9.59%E -7.43%K -33.06%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.85%EV -11.70%E -1.80%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -10.20%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-04 16:15 |
| PlayUp | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -8.89%E -6.83%K -29.62%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -11.70%E -1.80%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -14.28%E -2.72%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-04 16:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.93%EV -7.48%E -5.67%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.22%EV -13.06%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.85%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-04 16:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.47%EV -8.18%E -6.25%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.56%EV -15.10%E -2.42%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.97%EV -6.93%E -1.22%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-04 16:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 69.69%EV -11.69%E -9.28%K -44.96%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.05%EV -15.10%E -2.42%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.26%EV -11.83%E -2.19%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-04 16:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 69.02%EV -11.69%E -9.28%K -44.96%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.26%EV -17.14%E -2.81%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.72%EV -15.10%E -2.90%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-04 16:45 |
| Betway | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -4.68%E -3.44%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -18.50%E -3.08%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -10.20%E -1.85%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-04 16:50 |
| Neds | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.80%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -18.50%E -3.08%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -14.28%E -2.72%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-04 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.80%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -18.50%E -3.08%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -14.28%E -2.72%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-04 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.80%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -18.50%E -3.08%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -14.28%E -2.72%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-04 16:15 |
| Coral | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.80%EV -6.78%E -5.10%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -18.50%E -3.08%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -14.28%E -2.72%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-04 16:15 |
| BoyleSports | 1.29I 77.52%NM 67.89%EV -9.59%E -7.43%K -33.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.60%EV -18.50%E -3.08%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.52%EV -18.36%E -3.67%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-04 16:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 68.57%EV -10.29%E -8.04%K -36.74%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.88%EV -19.86%E -3.37%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.56%EV -13.46%E -2.54%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-04 16:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.10% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.84% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 0.6% | 2026-05-04 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.25% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.77% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98% | 1.1% | 2026-05-04 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.25% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.77% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98% | 1.1% | 2026-05-04 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.25% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.77% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98% | 1.1% | 2026-05-04 16:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.84% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.90% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.25% | 2.4% | 2026-05-04 16:50 |