The School of Odds

Aalesund v Tromso

2026-08-02 15:00 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Aalesund (Local)

Prediction 26.81%3.73fair odd
EV -4.83%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -1.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.41%26.88%26.69%28.02%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.053.373.403.5532.79%29.68%29.41%28.17%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Tromso (Visit)

Prediction 47.64%2.10fair odd
EV -3.77%
Edge -1.87%
Kelly -3.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.35%47.57%47.75%48.50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.781.931.952.0256.18%51.78%51.28%49.50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 25.55%3.91fair odd
EV -4.68%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -1.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.90%25.55%25.56%26.34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.303.533.503.7330.30%28.31%28.57%26.81%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.83%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.78%EV -5.68%E -2.87%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -5.45%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 16:55
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.83%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.78%EV -5.68%E -2.87%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -5.45%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 16:55
1xBet3.52I 28.41%NM 27.13%EV -5.64%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.27%EV -3.77%E -1.87%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.60%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 16:10
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.18%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -9.01%E -4.72%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -5.45%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 15:49
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -6.18%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -8.06%E -4.18%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-26 15:40
Marathon Bet3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -7.78%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.34%EV -6.15%E -3.12%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.73%E -1.84%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 15:55
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.86%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.11%E -3.64%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 16:16
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.86%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.55%EV -5.68%E -2.87%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 15:16
Grosvenor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.86%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -6.15%E -3.12%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 15:15
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.86%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -6.15%E -3.12%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 15:15
Unibet (NL)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.86%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -6.15%E -3.12%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 15:15
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.86%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -6.15%E -3.12%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.86%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -6.15%E -3.12%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 15:15
Casumo3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.86%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -6.15%E -3.12%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 15:15
TABtouch3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.86%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -6.15%E -3.12%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 15:16
betPARX3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.86%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -6.15%E -3.12%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 15:15
ATG (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.86%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -6.15%E -3.12%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 15:15
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.86%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -6.15%E -3.12%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 15:16
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.86%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.01%E -4.72%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 15:50
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.86%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -9.49%E -4.99%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 15:15
Codere (IT)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -8.86%E -2.60%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.75%EV -9.49%E -4.99%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -9.28%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 15:20
LiveScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.57%EV -7.11%E -3.64%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -11.84%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 15:15
Virgin Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -10.20%E -3.04%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.57%EV -7.11%E -3.64%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -11.84%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 15:15
Betclic (FR)3.32I 30.12%NM 26.41%EV -11.00%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.18%EV -13.30%E -7.31%K -16.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.41%EV -11.84%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-26 15:14
betfred_uk3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.11%E -3.64%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 15:50
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -9.49%E -4.99%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 15:51
Unibet (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.10%EV -13.30%E -7.31%K -16.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.37%EV -11.84%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-26 15:15
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -12.88%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.11%E -3.64%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.00%E -2.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 16:40
PMU (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -12.88%E -3.96%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -10.44%E -5.55%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -14.39%E -4.30%K -6.12%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-26 15:15
Winamax (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.23%EV -14.22%E -4.44%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 47.88%EV -13.30%E -7.31%K -16.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.90%EV -10.56%E -3.02%K -4.22%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-26 15:20
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 27.66%EV -16.90%E -5.45%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 46.35%EV -11.87%E -6.42%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.99%EV -15.67%E -4.75%K -6.81%G +0.000%16.6%2026-07-26 15:50
Winamax (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 27.59%EV -18.24%E -5.98%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 47.28%EV -15.20%E -8.54%K -19.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.12%EV -14.39%E -4.30%K -6.12%G +0.000%18.8%2026-07-26 15:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.