Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Aalesund v Tromso

Início: 2026-08-02 15:00 UTC

Final: Aalesund 2–6 Tromso

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Aalesund (Local)

Previsão 26.02%3.84odd justa
EV -1.39%
Vantagem -0.366%
Kelly -0.498%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.79

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.35%26.04%26.02%27.12%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.553.583.7930.30%28.20%27.97%26.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Tromso (Visitante)

Previsão 49.14%2.03odd justa
EV -3.19%
Vantagem -1.62%
Kelly -3.29%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.97

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.45%49.05%49.20%50.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.761.871.851.9756.82%53.37%54.05%50.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.84%4.03odd justa
EV -1.88%
Vantagem -0.477%
Kelly -0.638%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.44%24.92%24.78%25.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.503.703.703.9528.57%27.05%27.03%25.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Aalesund (Local): 26.02%; Tromso (Visitante): 49.14%; Empate: 24.84%. Para Aalesund (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.84. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.79, com valor esperado de -1.39%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag🎯3.79I 26.39%NM 25.46%EV -1.39%E -0.366%K -0.498%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.99%EV -5.16%E -2.67%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.55%EV -2.38%E -0.606%K -0.812%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-02 14:50
BetOnline.ag🎯3.79I 26.39%NM 25.46%EV -1.39%E -0.366%K -0.498%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.99%EV -5.16%E -2.67%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.55%EV -2.38%E -0.606%K -0.812%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-02 14:49
BetAnything🎯3.79I 26.39%NM 25.46%EV -1.39%E -0.366%K -0.498%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.99%EV -5.16%E -2.67%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.55%EV -2.38%E -0.606%K -0.812%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-02 14:49
Pinnacle🎯3.76I 26.60%NM 25.71%EV -2.17%E -0.577%K -0.786%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.57%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.72%EV -2.88%E -0.736%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-02 14:45
Coolbet🎯3.71I 26.95%NM 26.16%EV -3.47%E -0.935%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.27%EV -3.19%E -1.62%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.57%EV -1.88%E -0.477%K -0.638%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-02 14:30
BetUS🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.65%EV -3.73%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.69%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -4.37%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 14:49
FanDuel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -3.73%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.53%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.61%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 14:19
GTbets🎯3.68I 27.17%NM 25.35%EV -4.25%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.36%EV -7.12%E -3.77%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.28%EV -8.34%E -2.26%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 21:35
NordicBet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -5.03%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -9.34%E -2.56%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 14:05
Betsson🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -5.03%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -9.34%E -2.56%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 14:05
1xBet🎯3.64I 27.47%NM 26.08%EV -5.29%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.19%EV -5.16%E -2.67%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.72%EV -4.62%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:50
Marathon Bet🎯3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -7.61%E -4.05%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.66%EV -6.11%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 14:50
DraftKings🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.61%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 14:00
Bovada🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.61%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 14:50
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -5.16%E -2.67%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -8.09%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 14:19
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.55%EV -8.11%E -4.33%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -6.85%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 14:48
Unibet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.69%EV -8.60%E -4.62%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -6.85%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 14:50
Grosvenor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -9.09%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -6.85%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:50
BetRivers🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -9.09%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -6.85%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:50
Unibet (NL)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -9.09%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -6.85%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:49
Unibet (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -9.09%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -6.85%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -9.09%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -6.85%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:49
Casumo🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -9.09%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -6.85%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:50
betPARX🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -9.09%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -6.85%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:49
ATG (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -9.09%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -6.85%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:49
Svenska Spel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -9.09%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -6.85%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:49
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -9.09%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.09%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 14:30
TABtouch🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -10.07%E -5.50%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -6.85%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 14:49
LiveScore Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.89%EV -10.56%E -5.80%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -8.09%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-02 14:50
Virgin Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.89%EV -10.56%E -5.80%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -8.09%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-02 14:50
Betclic (FR)🎯3.53I 28.33%NM 25.56%EV -8.15%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.58%EV -10.56%E -5.80%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.86%EV -9.83%E -2.71%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-02 14:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.85%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 14:05
Fanatics🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.58%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 14:05
LeoVegas🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -7.61%E -4.05%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.09%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 14:55
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.03%EV -8.11%E -4.33%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -8.09%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 14:50
betano_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.09%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.09%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-02 14:44
Bet Victor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.09%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.09%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-02 14:45
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.09%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.58%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 14:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.09%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.58%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 14:45
Unibet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -10.07%E -5.50%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -10.58%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-02 14:35
Codere (IT)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -10.23%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.20%EV -7.61%E -4.05%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.53%EV -11.82%E -3.33%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-02 14:25
Everygame🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -10.23%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.78%EV -9.09%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -10.58%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-02 14:04
PMU (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.43%EV -10.23%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 49.85%EV -13.51%E -7.68%K -17.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.72%EV -11.82%E -3.33%K -4.64%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-02 14:50
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.85%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 14:00
betfred_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -6.63%E -3.49%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.85%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 14:09
Winamax (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -7.61%E -4.05%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.09%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-02 14:20
William Hill🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -13.06%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-02 14:00
PlayUp🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -7.61%E -4.05%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -10.58%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 14:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.09%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.06%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-02 14:00
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.09%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.06%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-02 14:04
Neds🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.09%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.06%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-02 14:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.09%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.06%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-02 14:04
Sky Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -10.07%E -5.50%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -13.06%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-02 14:19
Winamax (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -12.84%E -3.83%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.54%EV -9.58%E -5.21%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -10.58%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-02 14:19
Bet Right🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -12.84%E -3.83%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.23%EV -9.09%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.13%EV -11.82%E -3.33%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-02 14:04
BoyleSports🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -14.14%E -4.28%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.55%EV -11.55%E -6.41%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -13.06%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-02 14:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-08-02 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-08-02 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-08-02 14:55
Smarkets3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.06%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%1.4%2026-08-02 14:55
Matchbook3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.06%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%1.4%2026-08-02 14:55