Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Aalesund v Tromso

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-02 15:00 UTC

Score final : Aalesund 2–6 Tromso

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Aalesund (Local)

Prévision 26.02%3.84cote équitable
EV -1.39%
Avantage -0.366%
Kelly -0.498%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.79

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.35%26.04%26.02%27.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.553.583.7930.30%28.20%27.97%26.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Tromso (Visiteur)

Prévision 49.14%2.03cote équitable
EV -3.19%
Avantage -1.62%
Kelly -3.29%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.45%49.05%49.20%50.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.761.871.851.9756.82%53.37%54.05%50.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.84%4.03cote équitable
EV -1.88%
Avantage -0.477%
Kelly -0.638%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.44%24.92%24.78%25.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.703.703.9528.57%27.05%27.03%25.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Aalesund (Local) : 26.02% ; Tromso (Visiteur) : 49.14% ; Match nul : 24.84%. Pour Aalesund (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.84. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.79, pour une espérance de -1.39% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag🎯3.79I 26.39%NM 25.46%EV -1.39%E -0.366%K -0.498%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.99%EV -5.16%E -2.67%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.55%EV -2.38%E -0.606%K -0.812%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-02 14:50
BetOnline.ag🎯3.79I 26.39%NM 25.46%EV -1.39%E -0.366%K -0.498%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.99%EV -5.16%E -2.67%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.55%EV -2.38%E -0.606%K -0.812%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-02 14:49
BetAnything🎯3.79I 26.39%NM 25.46%EV -1.39%E -0.366%K -0.498%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.99%EV -5.16%E -2.67%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.55%EV -2.38%E -0.606%K -0.812%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-02 14:49
Pinnacle🎯3.76I 26.60%NM 25.71%EV -2.17%E -0.577%K -0.786%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.57%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.72%EV -2.88%E -0.736%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-02 14:45
Coolbet🎯3.71I 26.95%NM 26.16%EV -3.47%E -0.935%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.27%EV -3.19%E -1.62%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.57%EV -1.88%E -0.477%K -0.638%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-02 14:30
BetUS🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.65%EV -3.73%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.69%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -4.37%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 14:49
FanDuel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -3.73%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.53%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.61%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 14:19
GTbets🎯3.68I 27.17%NM 25.35%EV -4.25%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.36%EV -7.12%E -3.77%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.28%EV -8.34%E -2.26%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 21:35
NordicBet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -5.03%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -9.34%E -2.56%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 14:05
Betsson🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -5.03%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -9.34%E -2.56%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 14:05
1xBet🎯3.64I 27.47%NM 26.08%EV -5.29%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.19%EV -5.16%E -2.67%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.72%EV -4.62%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:50
Marathon Bet🎯3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -7.61%E -4.05%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.66%EV -6.11%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 14:50
DraftKings🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.61%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 14:00
Bovada🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.61%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 14:50
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -5.16%E -2.67%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -8.09%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 14:19
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.55%EV -8.11%E -4.33%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -6.85%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 14:48
Unibet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.69%EV -8.60%E -4.62%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -6.85%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 14:50
Grosvenor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -9.09%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -6.85%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:50
BetRivers🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -9.09%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -6.85%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:50
Unibet (NL)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -9.09%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -6.85%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:49
Unibet (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -9.09%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -6.85%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -9.09%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -6.85%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:49
Casumo🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -9.09%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -6.85%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:50
betPARX🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -9.09%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -6.85%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:49
ATG (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -9.09%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -6.85%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:49
Svenska Spel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -9.09%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -6.85%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:49
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -9.09%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.09%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 14:30
TABtouch🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -6.33%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -10.07%E -5.50%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -6.85%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 14:49
LiveScore Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.89%EV -10.56%E -5.80%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -8.09%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-02 14:50
Virgin Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -7.63%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.89%EV -10.56%E -5.80%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -8.09%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-02 14:50
Betclic (FR)🎯3.53I 28.33%NM 25.56%EV -8.15%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.58%EV -10.56%E -5.80%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.86%EV -9.83%E -2.71%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-02 14:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.85%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 14:05
Fanatics🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.58%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 14:05
LeoVegas🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -7.61%E -4.05%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.09%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 14:55
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.03%EV -8.11%E -4.33%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -8.09%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 14:50
betano_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.09%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.09%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-02 14:44
Bet Victor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.09%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.09%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-02 14:45
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.09%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.58%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 14:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.09%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.58%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 14:45
Unibet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -8.93%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -10.07%E -5.50%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -10.58%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-02 14:35
Codere (IT)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -10.23%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.20%EV -7.61%E -4.05%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.53%EV -11.82%E -3.33%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-02 14:25
Everygame🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -10.23%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.78%EV -9.09%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -10.58%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-02 14:04
PMU (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.43%EV -10.23%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 49.85%EV -13.51%E -7.68%K -17.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.72%EV -11.82%E -3.33%K -4.64%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-02 14:50
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.85%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 14:00
betfred_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -6.63%E -3.49%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.85%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 14:09
Winamax (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -7.61%E -4.05%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.09%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-02 14:20
William Hill🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -6.14%E -3.21%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -13.06%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-02 14:00
PlayUp🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -7.61%E -4.05%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -10.58%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 14:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.09%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.06%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-02 14:00
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.09%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.06%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-02 14:04
Neds🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.09%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.06%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-02 14:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.09%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.06%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-02 14:04
Sky Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -11.54%E -3.39%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -10.07%E -5.50%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -13.06%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-02 14:19
Winamax (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -12.84%E -3.83%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.54%EV -9.58%E -5.21%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -10.58%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-02 14:19
Bet Right🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -12.84%E -3.83%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.23%EV -9.09%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.13%EV -11.82%E -3.33%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-02 14:04
BoyleSports🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -14.14%E -4.28%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.55%EV -11.55%E -6.41%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -13.06%E -3.73%K -5.22%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-02 14:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-08-02 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-08-02 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-08-02 14:55
Smarkets3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.06%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%1.4%2026-08-02 14:55
Matchbook3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.06%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%1.4%2026-08-02 14:55