L’École des cotes

Aalesund v Tromso

2026-08-02 15:00 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Résultat du match

33 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Aalesund (Local)

Prévision 26.74%3.74cote équitable
EV -5.08%
Avantage -1.43%
Kelly -1.99%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.22%26.81%26.67%28.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.053.373.403.5532.79%29.64%29.41%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Tromso (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.72%2.10cote équitable
EV -3.60%
Avantage -1.78%
Kelly -3.53%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.35%47.64%47.77%48.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.781.931.952.0256.18%51.81%51.28%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.54%3.92cote équitable
EV -4.73%
Avantage -1.27%
Kelly -1.73%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.90%25.55%25.56%26.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.533.503.7330.30%28.29%28.57%26.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (33 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -5.08%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.78%EV -5.51%E -2.78%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -5.50%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 16:55
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -5.08%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.78%EV -5.51%E -2.78%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -5.50%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 16:55
1xBet3.52I 28.41%NM 27.13%EV -5.88%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.27%EV -3.60%E -1.78%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.60%EV -4.73%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 16:10
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.42%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -8.85%E -4.63%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -5.50%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 15:49
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -6.42%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -7.90%E -4.09%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-26 15:40
Tipico (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.42%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -9.33%E -4.91%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 20:00
Marathon Bet3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.34%EV -5.99%E -3.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.78%E -1.86%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 15:55
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -6.94%E -3.56%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 16:16
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.55%EV -5.51%E -2.78%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -10.61%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 15:16
Grosvenor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -5.99%E -3.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.61%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 15:15
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -5.99%E -3.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.61%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 15:15
Unibet (NL)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -5.99%E -3.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.61%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 15:15
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -5.99%E -3.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.61%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -5.99%E -3.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.61%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 15:15
Casumo3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -5.99%E -3.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.61%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 15:15
TABtouch3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -5.99%E -3.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.61%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 15:16
betPARX3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -5.99%E -3.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.61%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 15:15
ATG (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -5.99%E -3.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.61%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 15:15
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -5.99%E -3.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.61%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 15:16
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.85%E -4.63%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 15:50
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -9.33%E -4.91%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 15:15
Codere (IT)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.09%E -2.67%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.75%EV -9.33%E -4.91%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -9.33%E -2.63%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 15:20
LiveScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -10.43%E -3.11%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.57%EV -6.94%E -3.56%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -11.89%E -3.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 15:15
Virgin Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -10.43%E -3.11%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.57%EV -6.94%E -3.56%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -11.89%E -3.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 15:15
Betclic (FR)3.32I 30.12%NM 26.41%EV -11.23%E -3.38%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.18%EV -13.15%E -7.22%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.41%EV -11.89%E -3.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-26 15:14
betfred_uk3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.76%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.94%E -3.56%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 15:50
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -11.76%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -9.33%E -4.91%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 15:51
Unibet (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -11.76%E -3.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.10%EV -13.15%E -7.22%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.37%EV -11.89%E -3.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-26 15:15
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -13.10%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -6.94%E -3.56%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.05%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 16:40
PMU (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -13.10%E -4.03%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -10.28%E -5.47%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -14.44%E -4.31%K -6.14%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-26 15:15
Winamax (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.23%EV -14.44%E -4.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 47.88%EV -13.15%E -7.22%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.90%EV -10.61%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-26 15:20
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 27.66%EV -17.11%E -5.52%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 46.35%EV -11.72%E -6.33%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.99%EV -15.72%E -4.76%K -6.83%G +0.000%16.6%2026-07-26 15:50
Winamax (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 27.59%EV -18.45%E -6.05%K -9.00%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 47.28%EV -15.06%E -8.46%K -19.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.12%EV -14.44%E -4.31%K -6.14%G +0.000%18.8%2026-07-26 15:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.