A Escola das Odds

Aalesund v Fredrikstad FK

Início: 2026-04-07 17:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Aalesund (Local)

Previsão 39.19%2.55odd justa
EV -2.02%
Vantagem -0.810%
Kelly -1.35%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.14%39.21%39.24%40.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.152.372.382.5046.51%42.23%42.02%40.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Fredrikstad FK (Visitante)

Previsão 34.37%2.91odd justa
EV -2.39%
Vantagem -0.840%
Kelly -1.30%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.84

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.32%34.32%34.40%36.07%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.402.682.702.8441.67%37.30%37.04%35.21%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.44%3.78odd justa
EV -0.854%
Vantagem -0.228%
Kelly -0.311%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.35%26.47%26.37%28.06%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.453.453.7533.33%28.98%28.99%26.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84%EV -2.02%E -0.810%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.19%EV -2.39%E -0.840%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.97%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-07 16:15
BetOnline.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84%EV -2.02%E -0.810%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.19%EV -2.39%E -0.840%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.97%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-07 16:15
Coolbet2.48I 40.32%NM 39.12%EV -2.81%E -1.13%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.65%EV -3.76%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%EV -2.18%E -0.588%K -0.806%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-07 16:39
Pinnacle2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -3.20%E -1.30%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.55%EV -3.76%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.29%EV -2.71%E -0.735%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-07 16:15
BetAnything2.45I 40.82%NM 38.89%EV -3.98%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 16:14
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.98%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 16:14
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -3.98%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 16:25
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -3.98%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 16:25
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -3.98%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 16:24
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -3.98%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 16:24
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -3.98%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 16:25
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -3.98%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 16:25
GTbets2.44I 40.98%NM 38.80%EV -4.38%E -1.79%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.33%EV -7.89%E -2.94%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.87%EV -3.23%E -0.884%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 05:50
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 38.49%EV -4.77%E -1.96%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.01%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-07 16:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.49%EV -4.77%E -1.96%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.01%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-07 16:25
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -4.77%E -1.96%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-07 16:24
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -4.77%E -1.96%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-07 16:24
Marathon Bet2.41I 41.49%NM 38.69%EV -5.55%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.05%EV -8.57%E -3.22%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.14%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-07 16:10
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -5.94%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 16:44
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -5.94%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -6.14%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 16:00
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -5.94%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.87%EV -4.45%E -1.60%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 16:55
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -5.94%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-07 16:15
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -5.94%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-07 16:50
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -5.94%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -11.43%E -3.41%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-07 16:25
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -5.94%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -9.95%E -3.80%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-07 16:10
1xBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.95%EV -6.73%E -2.83%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.70%EV -5.82%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.35%EV -0.854%E -0.228%K -0.311%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 16:50
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -6.73%E -2.83%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 16:05
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%EV -6.73%E -2.83%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.29%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -12.75%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-07 16:24
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%EV -6.73%E -2.83%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.29%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -12.75%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-07 16:24
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -7.90%E -3.36%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -2.18%E -0.588%K -0.806%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-07 16:15
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -7.90%E -3.36%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 16:34
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.90%E -3.36%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-07 15:44
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.90%E -3.36%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-07 16:43
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -7.90%E -3.36%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-07 16:14
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -7.90%E -3.36%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-07 15:49
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -7.90%E -3.36%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-07 15:35
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -7.90%E -3.36%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.29%EV -9.60%E -3.65%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -12.75%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-07 16:25
Codere (IT)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -9.08%E -3.91%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-07 16:05
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-07 16:45
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-07 16:35
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-07 16:55
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.49%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -6.14%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-07 16:05
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -9.95%E -3.80%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-07 15:45
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -9.60%E -3.65%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -12.75%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-07 16:44
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.75%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-07 16:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.75%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-07 16:15
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.75%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-07 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.75%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-07 16:15
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.41%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.98%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -15.40%E -4.81%K -7.00%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-07 16:24
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 38.47%EV -11.82%E -5.25%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.07%EV -17.51%E -7.30%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.46%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-07 14:01
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.95%EV -13.78%E -6.26%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -11.43%E -3.41%K -4.86%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-07 16:35
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.84%EV -13.78%E -6.26%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.38%EV -12.35%E -4.84%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-07 16:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.27%EV -13.78%E -6.26%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.67%EV -14.07%E -5.63%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.06%EV -20.68%E -6.89%K -10.34%G +0.000%18.8%2026-04-07 16:45
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.76%EV -15.74%E -7.32%K -13.69%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.32%EV -9.60%E -3.65%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 25.93%EV -10.64%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-07 16:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.49%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.32%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19%0.5%2026-04-07 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.68%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.21%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-04-07 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.68%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.21%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-04-07 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.68%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.21%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-04-07 16:30
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 39.84%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.03%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.13%2.0%2026-04-07 16:55