La escuela de los momiosAalesund v Fredrikstad FK
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Aalesund (Local)
Predicción 39.19%2.55momio equitativo
EV -2.02%
Ventaja -0.810%
Kelly -1.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.14%39.21%39.24%40.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.372.382.5046.51%42.23%42.02%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Fredrikstad FK (Visitante)
Predicción 34.37%2.91momio equitativo
EV -2.39%
Ventaja -0.840%
Kelly -1.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.84
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.32%34.32%34.40%36.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.682.702.8441.67%37.30%37.04%35.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.44%3.78momio equitativo
EV -0.854%
Ventaja -0.228%
Kelly -0.311%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.35%26.47%26.37%28.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.453.453.7533.33%28.98%28.99%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84%EV -2.02%E -0.810%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.19%EV -2.39%E -0.840%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.97%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-07 16:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84%EV -2.02%E -0.810%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.19%EV -2.39%E -0.840%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.97%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-07 16:15 |
| Coolbet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.12%EV -2.81%E -1.13%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.65%EV -3.76%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%EV -2.18%E -0.588%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-07 16:39 |
| Pinnacle | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -3.20%E -1.30%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.55%EV -3.76%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.29%EV -2.71%E -0.735%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-07 16:15 |
| BetAnything | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.89%EV -3.98%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-07 16:14 |
| NordicBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.98%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 16:14 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -3.98%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-07 16:25 |
| betPARX | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -3.98%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-07 16:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -3.98%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-07 16:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -3.98%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-07 16:24 |
| Casumo | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -3.98%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-07 16:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -3.98%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-07 16:25 |
| GTbets | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.80%EV -4.38%E -1.79%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.33%EV -7.89%E -2.94%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.87%EV -3.23%E -0.884%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-07 05:50 |
| BetRivers | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.49%EV -4.77%E -1.96%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.01%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-07 16:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.49%EV -4.77%E -1.96%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.01%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-07 16:25 |
| Grosvenor | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -4.77%E -1.96%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-07 16:24 |
| Unibet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -4.77%E -1.96%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-07 16:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.69%EV -5.55%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.05%EV -8.57%E -3.22%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.14%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-07 16:10 |
| FanDuel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -5.94%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 16:44 |
| DraftKings | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -5.94%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -6.14%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-07 16:00 |
| Betsson | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -5.94%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.87%EV -4.45%E -1.60%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| BetMGM | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -5.94%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-07 16:15 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -5.94%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-07 16:50 |
| TABtouch | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -5.94%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -11.43%E -3.41%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-07 16:25 |
| William Hill | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -5.94%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -9.95%E -3.80%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-07 16:10 |
| 1xBet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.95%EV -6.73%E -2.83%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.70%EV -5.82%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.35%EV -0.854%E -0.228%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 16:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -6.73%E -2.83%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-07 16:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%EV -6.73%E -2.83%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.29%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -12.75%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-07 16:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%EV -6.73%E -2.83%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.29%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -12.75%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-07 16:24 |
| BetUS | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -7.90%E -3.36%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -2.18%E -0.588%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-07 16:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -7.90%E -3.36%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-07 16:34 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.90%E -3.36%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-07 15:44 |
| Bovada | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.90%E -3.36%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-07 16:43 |
| Everygame | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -7.90%E -3.36%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-07 16:14 |
| Fanatics | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -7.90%E -3.36%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-07 15:49 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -7.90%E -3.36%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-07 15:35 |
| LeoVegas | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -7.90%E -3.36%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.29%EV -9.60%E -3.65%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -12.75%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-07 16:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -9.08%E -3.91%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-07 16:05 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-07 16:45 |
| Bet Right | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-07 16:35 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.49%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -6.14%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-07 16:05 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -9.95%E -3.80%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-07 15:45 |
| Sky Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -9.60%E -3.65%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -12.75%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-07 16:44 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.75%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-07 16:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.75%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-07 16:15 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.75%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-07 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.75%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-07 16:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.41%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.98%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -15.40%E -4.81%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-07 16:24 |
| BoyleSports | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.47%EV -11.82%E -5.25%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.07%EV -17.51%E -7.30%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.46%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-04-07 14:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.95%EV -13.78%E -6.26%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -11.43%E -3.41%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-07 16:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.84%EV -13.78%E -6.26%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.38%EV -12.35%E -4.84%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-07 16:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.27%EV -13.78%E -6.26%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.67%EV -14.07%E -5.63%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.06%EV -20.68%E -6.89%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 18.8% | 2026-04-07 16:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.76%EV -15.74%E -7.32%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.32%EV -9.60%E -3.65%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 25.93%EV -10.64%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-07 16:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.49% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.32% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19% | 0.5% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.68% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.21% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 0.8% | 2026-04-07 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.68% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.21% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 0.8% | 2026-04-07 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.68% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.21% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 0.8% | 2026-04-07 16:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.84% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.03% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.13% | 2.0% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |