مدرسة الاحتمالات

Aalesund v Fredrikstad FK

البداية: 2026-04-07 17:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

54 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Aalesund (المضيف)

التنبؤ 39.19%2.55السعر العادل
EV -2.02%
الأفضلية -0.810%
Kelly -1.35%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.14%39.21%39.24%40.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.152.372.382.5046.51%42.23%42.02%40.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Fredrikstad FK (الضيف)

التنبؤ 34.37%2.91السعر العادل
EV -2.39%
الأفضلية -0.840%
Kelly -1.30%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.84

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
33.32%34.32%34.40%36.07%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.402.682.702.8441.67%37.30%37.04%35.21%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.44%3.78السعر العادل
EV -0.854%
الأفضلية -0.228%
Kelly -0.311%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.35%26.47%26.37%28.06%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.453.453.7533.33%28.98%28.99%26.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (54 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84%EV -2.02%E -0.810%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.19%EV -2.39%E -0.840%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.97%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-07 16:15
BetOnline.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84%EV -2.02%E -0.810%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.19%EV -2.39%E -0.840%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.97%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-07 16:15
Coolbet2.48I 40.32%NM 39.12%EV -2.81%E -1.13%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.65%EV -3.76%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%EV -2.18%E -0.588%K -0.806%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-07 16:39
Pinnacle2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -3.20%E -1.30%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.55%EV -3.76%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.29%EV -2.71%E -0.735%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-07 16:15
BetAnything2.45I 40.82%NM 38.89%EV -3.98%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 16:14
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.98%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 16:14
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -3.98%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 16:25
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -3.98%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 16:25
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -3.98%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 16:24
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -3.98%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 16:24
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -3.98%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 16:25
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -3.98%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 16:25
GTbets2.44I 40.98%NM 38.80%EV -4.38%E -1.79%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.33%EV -7.89%E -2.94%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.87%EV -3.23%E -0.884%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 05:50
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 38.49%EV -4.77%E -1.96%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.01%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-07 16:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.49%EV -4.77%E -1.96%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.01%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-07 16:25
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -4.77%E -1.96%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-07 16:24
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -4.77%E -1.96%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-07 16:24
Marathon Bet2.41I 41.49%NM 38.69%EV -5.55%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.05%EV -8.57%E -3.22%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.14%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-07 16:10
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -5.94%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 16:44
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -5.94%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -6.14%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 16:00
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -5.94%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.87%EV -4.45%E -1.60%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 16:55
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -5.94%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-07 16:15
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -5.94%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-07 16:50
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -5.94%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -11.43%E -3.41%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-07 16:25
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -5.94%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -9.95%E -3.80%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-07 16:10
1xBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.95%EV -6.73%E -2.83%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.70%EV -5.82%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.35%EV -0.854%E -0.228%K -0.311%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 16:50
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -6.73%E -2.83%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 16:05
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%EV -6.73%E -2.83%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.29%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -12.75%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-07 16:24
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%EV -6.73%E -2.83%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.29%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -12.75%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-07 16:24
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -7.90%E -3.36%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -2.18%E -0.588%K -0.806%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-07 16:15
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -7.90%E -3.36%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 16:34
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.90%E -3.36%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-07 15:44
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.90%E -3.36%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-07 16:43
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -7.90%E -3.36%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-07 16:14
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -7.90%E -3.36%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-07 15:49
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -7.90%E -3.36%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-07 15:35
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -7.90%E -3.36%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.29%EV -9.60%E -3.65%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -12.75%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-07 16:25
Codere (IT)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -9.08%E -3.91%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-07 16:05
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-07 16:45
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-07 16:35
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-07 16:55
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.49%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -6.14%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-07 16:05
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -9.95%E -3.80%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-07 15:45
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -9.60%E -3.65%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -12.75%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-07 16:44
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.75%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-07 16:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.75%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-07 16:15
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.75%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-07 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.75%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-07 16:15
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.41%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.98%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -15.40%E -4.81%K -7.00%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-07 16:24
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 38.47%EV -11.82%E -5.25%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.07%EV -17.51%E -7.30%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.46%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-07 14:01
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.95%EV -13.78%E -6.26%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -11.43%E -3.41%K -4.86%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-07 16:35
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.84%EV -13.78%E -6.26%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.38%EV -12.35%E -4.84%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-07 16:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.27%EV -13.78%E -6.26%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.67%EV -14.07%E -5.63%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.06%EV -20.68%E -6.89%K -10.34%G +0.000%18.8%2026-04-07 16:45
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.76%EV -15.74%E -7.32%K -13.69%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.32%EV -9.60%E -3.65%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 25.93%EV -10.64%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-07 16:34
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.49%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.32%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19%0.5%2026-04-07 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.68%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.21%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-04-07 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.68%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.21%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-04-07 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.68%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.21%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-04-07 16:30
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 39.84%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.03%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.13%2.0%2026-04-07 16:55