Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Aalesund v Fredrikstad FK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-07 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Aalesund (Local)

Prévision 39.19%2.55cote équitable
EV -2.02%
Avantage -0.810%
Kelly -1.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.14%39.21%39.24%40.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.152.372.382.5046.51%42.23%42.02%40.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Fredrikstad FK (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.37%2.91cote équitable
EV -2.39%
Avantage -0.840%
Kelly -1.30%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.84

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.32%34.32%34.40%36.07%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.682.702.8441.67%37.30%37.04%35.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.44%3.78cote équitable
EV -0.854%
Avantage -0.228%
Kelly -0.311%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.35%26.47%26.37%28.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.453.453.7533.33%28.98%28.99%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Aalesund (Local) : 39.19% ; Fredrikstad FK (Visiteur) : 34.37% ; Match nul : 26.44%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.78. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.75, pour une espérance de -0.854% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84%EV -2.02%E -0.810%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.19%EV -2.39%E -0.840%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.97%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-07 16:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84%EV -2.02%E -0.810%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.19%EV -2.39%E -0.840%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.97%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-07 16:15
Coolbet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.12%EV -2.81%E -1.13%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.65%EV -3.76%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%EV -2.18%E -0.588%K -0.806%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-07 16:39
Pinnacle🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -3.20%E -1.30%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.55%EV -3.76%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.29%EV -2.71%E -0.735%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-07 16:15
BetAnything🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.89%EV -3.98%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 16:14
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.98%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 16:14
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -3.98%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 16:25
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -3.98%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 16:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -3.98%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 16:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -3.98%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 16:24
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -3.98%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 16:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -3.98%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 16:25
GTbets🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.80%EV -4.38%E -1.79%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.33%EV -7.89%E -2.94%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.87%EV -3.23%E -0.884%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 05:50
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.49%EV -4.77%E -1.96%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.01%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-07 16:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.49%EV -4.77%E -1.96%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.01%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-07 16:25
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -4.77%E -1.96%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-07 16:24
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -4.77%E -1.96%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-07 16:24
Marathon Bet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 38.69%EV -5.55%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.05%EV -8.57%E -3.22%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.14%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-07 16:10
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -5.94%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 16:44
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -5.94%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -6.14%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 16:00
Betsson🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -5.94%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.87%EV -4.45%E -1.60%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 16:55
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -5.94%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-07 16:15
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -5.94%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-07 16:50
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -5.94%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -11.43%E -3.41%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-07 16:25
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -5.94%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -9.95%E -3.80%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-07 16:10
1xBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.95%EV -6.73%E -2.83%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.70%EV -5.82%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.35%EV -0.854%E -0.228%K -0.311%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 16:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -6.73%E -2.83%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.48%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 16:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%EV -6.73%E -2.83%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.29%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -12.75%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-07 16:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%EV -6.73%E -2.83%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.29%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -12.75%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-07 16:24
BetUS🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -7.90%E -3.36%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -2.18%E -0.588%K -0.806%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-07 16:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -7.90%E -3.36%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 16:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.90%E -3.36%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-07 15:44
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.90%E -3.36%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-07 16:43
Everygame🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -7.90%E -3.36%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-07 16:14
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -7.90%E -3.36%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-07 15:49
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -7.90%E -3.36%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-07 15:35
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -7.90%E -3.36%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.29%EV -9.60%E -3.65%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -12.75%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-07 16:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -9.08%E -3.91%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-07 16:05
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-07 16:45
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-07 16:35
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.20%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-07 16:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.49%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -6.14%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-07 16:05
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -9.95%E -3.80%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-07 15:45
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -9.60%E -3.65%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -12.75%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-07 16:44
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.75%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-07 16:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.75%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-07 16:15
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.75%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-07 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.75%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-07 16:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.41%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.98%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -15.40%E -4.81%K -7.00%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-07 16:24
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.47%EV -11.82%E -5.25%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.07%EV -17.51%E -7.30%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.46%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-07 14:01
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.95%EV -13.78%E -6.26%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -11.43%E -3.41%K -4.86%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-07 16:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.84%EV -13.78%E -6.26%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.38%EV -12.35%E -4.84%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-07 16:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 38.27%EV -13.78%E -6.26%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.67%EV -14.07%E -5.63%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.06%EV -20.68%E -6.89%K -10.34%G +0.000%18.8%2026-04-07 16:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.76%EV -15.74%E -7.32%K -13.69%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.32%EV -9.60%E -3.65%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 25.93%EV -10.64%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-07 16:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.49%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.32%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19%0.5%2026-04-07 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.68%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.21%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-04-07 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.68%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.21%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-04-07 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.68%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.21%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-04-07 16:30
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 39.84%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.03%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.13%2.0%2026-04-07 16:55