默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Willem II v Fortuna Sittard

开赛时间: 2026-09-19 19:00 UTC

最终结果: Willem II 0–1 Fortuna Sittard

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

55 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Willem II (主队)

预测 38.25%2.61公平赔率
EV -0.550%
优势 -0.212%
Kelly -0.344%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.60

博彩公司预测分布
37.03%38.25%38.28%39.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.252.452.452.6044.44%40.88%40.82%38.46%最小值均值中位数最大值

Fortuna Sittard (客队)

预测 36.07%2.77公平赔率
EV -2.62%
优势 -0.970%
Kelly -1.54%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.70

博彩公司预测分布
35.00%36.10%36.10%37.27%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.402.572.602.7041.67%38.85%38.46%37.04%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.68%3.89公平赔率
EV -1.12%
优势 -0.291%
Kelly -0.393%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.85

博彩公司预测分布
23.85%25.66%25.62%26.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.583.603.8530.30%27.90%27.78%25.97%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Willem II (主队):38.25%;Fortuna Sittard (客队):36.07%;平局:25.68%。 对于“Willem II (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.61。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.60,期望值为-0.550%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (55 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.51%EV -0.550%E -0.212%K -0.344%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.12%EV -2.62%E -0.970%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.36%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-19 18:55
Pinnacle🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.83%EV -2.08%E -0.813%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.41%EV -4.06%E -1.53%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.76%EV -3.43%E -0.913%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-19 18:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.58%EV -2.46%E -0.966%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.16%EV -4.42%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -6.26%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 18:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.58%EV -2.46%E -0.966%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.16%EV -4.42%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -6.26%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 18:55
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%EV -2.46%E -0.966%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.07%EV -5.14%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.72%EV -8.83%E -2.49%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 18:55
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.57%EV -3.61%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.13%EV -5.50%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 18:15
1xBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.24%EV -3.99%E -1.59%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.09%EV -4.06%E -1.53%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.67%EV -3.95%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-19 18:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.98%EV -3.99%E -1.59%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.80%EV -6.59%E -2.54%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.22%EV -2.92%E -0.772%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-17 03:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.98%EV -3.99%E -1.59%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.80%EV -6.59%E -2.54%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.22%EV -2.92%E -0.772%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-17 02:59
BetAnything🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.98%EV -3.99%E -1.59%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.80%EV -6.59%E -2.54%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.22%EV -2.92%E -0.772%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-17 03:01
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -4.38%E -1.75%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -3.69%E -0.984%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 18:19
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -4.38%E -1.75%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -3.69%E -0.984%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 18:13
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -4.38%E -1.75%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-19 18:35
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -4.38%E -1.75%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 18:33
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -4.38%E -1.75%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 18:55
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -4.38%E -1.75%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 18:55
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -4.38%E -1.75%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 18:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -4.38%E -1.75%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 18:19
Bovada🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 37.69%EV -4.76%E -1.91%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.24%EV -6.59%E -2.54%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 18:53
Betsson🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 37.56%EV -4.76%E -1.91%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.25%EV -6.95%E -2.69%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.20%EV -8.31%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 18:15
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -5.14%E -2.07%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -11.39%E -3.30%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 18:54
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.78%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.68%EV -1.12%E -0.291%K -0.393%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 18:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.66%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.74%EV -4.42%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 18:35
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.66%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.74%EV -4.42%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 18:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -4.42%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -6.26%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 18:39
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -4.42%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 18:54
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -4.42%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 18:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.41%E -0.633%K -0.859%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 18:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -5.50%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 18:34
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -5.50%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 18:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.34%EV -7.67%E -3.00%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.70%EV -7.03%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 18:54
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-19 18:53
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 18:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 18:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 18:34
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 18:34
PMU (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.22%EV -7.05%E -2.90%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.18%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-19 18:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.22%EV -7.05%E -2.90%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.18%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-19 18:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.22%EV -7.05%E -2.90%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.18%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-19 18:54
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.22%EV -7.05%E -2.90%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.18%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-19 18:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.74%EV -8.20%E -3.42%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.46%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -3.69%E -0.984%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 18:34
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.72%EV -8.20%E -3.42%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.50%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-19 18:55
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.47%EV -8.20%E -3.42%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -8.83%E -2.49%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-19 18:55
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -8.20%E -3.42%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-19 18:34
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -8.20%E -3.42%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-19 18:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.26%EV -8.20%E -3.42%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.05%EV -10.55%E -4.26%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.69%EV -13.96%E -4.17%K -5.94%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-19 18:55
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.97%E -3.77%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -3.69%E -0.984%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-19 18:34
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -8.97%E -3.77%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-19 18:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.70%EV -10.11%E -4.30%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.38%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -6.26%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-19 18:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.18%EV -11.26%E -4.85%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.15%EV -11.64%E -4.75%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.67%EV -11.39%E -3.30%K -4.65%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-19 18:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -12.03%E -5.23%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-19 18:35
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -12.03%E -5.23%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.27%EV -13.44%E -5.60%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -3.69%E -0.984%K -1.34%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-19 18:35
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%EV -12.03%E -5.23%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -15.25%E -4.62%K -6.63%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-19 18:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.74%EV -13.94%E -6.19%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.07%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.19%EV -8.83%E -2.49%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-19 18:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.69%EV -13.94%E -6.19%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.02%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.30%EV -9.34%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-19 18:34
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.55%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18%0.5%2026-09-19 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.18%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%0.7%2026-09-19 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.18%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%0.7%2026-09-19 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.18%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%0.7%2026-09-19 18:50
Smarkets◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.54%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.49%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97%1.3%2026-09-19 18:55
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 36.89%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.89%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%3.1%2026-09-19 18:39