StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Willem II v Fortuna Sittard

Matchstart: 2026-09-19 19:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Willem II 0–1 Fortuna Sittard

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

55 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Willem II (Hemma)

Prognos 38.25%2.61rättvist odds
EV -0.550%
Fördel -0.212%
Kelly -0.344%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
37.03%38.25%38.28%39.74%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.252.452.452.6044.44%40.88%40.82%38.46%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Fortuna Sittard (Borta)

Prognos 36.07%2.77rättvist odds
EV -2.62%
Fördel -0.970%
Kelly -1.54%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.70

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
35.00%36.10%36.10%37.27%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.402.572.602.7041.67%38.85%38.46%37.04%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 25.68%3.89rättvist odds
EV -1.12%
Fördel -0.291%
Kelly -0.393%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.85

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.85%25.66%25.62%26.85%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.303.583.603.8530.30%27.90%27.78%25.97%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Willem II (Hemma): 38.25%; Fortuna Sittard (Borta): 36.07%; Oavgjort: 25.68%. För Willem II (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.61. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 2.60, med väntevärdet -0.550%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (55 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.51%EV -0.550%E -0.212%K -0.344%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.12%EV -2.62%E -0.970%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.36%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-19 18:55
Pinnacle🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.83%EV -2.08%E -0.813%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.41%EV -4.06%E -1.53%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.76%EV -3.43%E -0.913%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-19 18:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.58%EV -2.46%E -0.966%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.16%EV -4.42%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -6.26%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 18:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.58%EV -2.46%E -0.966%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.16%EV -4.42%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -6.26%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 18:55
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%EV -2.46%E -0.966%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.07%EV -5.14%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.72%EV -8.83%E -2.49%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 18:55
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.57%EV -3.61%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.13%EV -5.50%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 18:15
1xBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.24%EV -3.99%E -1.59%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.09%EV -4.06%E -1.53%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.67%EV -3.95%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-19 18:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.98%EV -3.99%E -1.59%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.80%EV -6.59%E -2.54%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.22%EV -2.92%E -0.772%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-17 03:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.98%EV -3.99%E -1.59%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.80%EV -6.59%E -2.54%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.22%EV -2.92%E -0.772%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-17 02:59
BetAnything🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.98%EV -3.99%E -1.59%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.80%EV -6.59%E -2.54%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.22%EV -2.92%E -0.772%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-17 03:01
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -4.38%E -1.75%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -3.69%E -0.984%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 18:19
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -4.38%E -1.75%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -3.69%E -0.984%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 18:13
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -4.38%E -1.75%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-19 18:35
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -4.38%E -1.75%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 18:33
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -4.38%E -1.75%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 18:55
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -4.38%E -1.75%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 18:55
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -4.38%E -1.75%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 18:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -4.38%E -1.75%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 18:19
Bovada🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 37.69%EV -4.76%E -1.91%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.24%EV -6.59%E -2.54%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 18:53
Betsson🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 37.56%EV -4.76%E -1.91%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.25%EV -6.95%E -2.69%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.20%EV -8.31%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 18:15
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -5.14%E -2.07%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -11.39%E -3.30%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 18:54
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.78%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.68%EV -1.12%E -0.291%K -0.393%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 18:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.66%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.74%EV -4.42%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 18:35
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.66%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.74%EV -4.42%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 18:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -4.42%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -6.26%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 18:39
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -4.42%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 18:54
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -4.42%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 18:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.41%E -0.633%K -0.859%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 18:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -5.50%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 18:34
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -5.50%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 18:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.34%EV -7.67%E -3.00%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.70%EV -7.03%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 18:54
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-19 18:53
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 18:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 18:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 18:34
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 18:34
PMU (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.22%EV -7.05%E -2.90%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.18%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-19 18:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.22%EV -7.05%E -2.90%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.18%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-19 18:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.22%EV -7.05%E -2.90%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.18%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-19 18:54
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.22%EV -7.05%E -2.90%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.18%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-19 18:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.74%EV -8.20%E -3.42%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.46%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -3.69%E -0.984%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 18:34
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.72%EV -8.20%E -3.42%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.50%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-19 18:55
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.47%EV -8.20%E -3.42%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -8.83%E -2.49%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-19 18:55
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -8.20%E -3.42%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-19 18:34
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -8.20%E -3.42%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-19 18:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.26%EV -8.20%E -3.42%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.05%EV -10.55%E -4.26%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.69%EV -13.96%E -4.17%K -5.94%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-19 18:55
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.97%E -3.77%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -3.69%E -0.984%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-19 18:34
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -8.97%E -3.77%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-19 18:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.70%EV -10.11%E -4.30%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.38%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -6.26%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-19 18:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.18%EV -11.26%E -4.85%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.15%EV -11.64%E -4.75%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.67%EV -11.39%E -3.30%K -4.65%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-19 18:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -12.03%E -5.23%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-19 18:35
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -12.03%E -5.23%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.27%EV -13.44%E -5.60%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -3.69%E -0.984%K -1.34%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-19 18:35
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%EV -12.03%E -5.23%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -15.25%E -4.62%K -6.63%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-19 18:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.74%EV -13.94%E -6.19%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.07%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.19%EV -8.83%E -2.49%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-19 18:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.69%EV -13.94%E -6.19%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.02%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.30%EV -9.34%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-19 18:34
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.55%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18%0.5%2026-09-19 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.18%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%0.7%2026-09-19 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.18%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%0.7%2026-09-19 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.18%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%0.7%2026-09-19 18:50
Smarkets◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.54%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.49%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97%1.3%2026-09-19 18:55
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 36.89%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.89%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%3.1%2026-09-19 18:39