Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.60
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.70
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.85
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Willem II (Casa): 38.25%; Fortuna Sittard (Trasferta): 36.07%; Pareggio: 25.68%. Per Willem II (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.61. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.60, con un valore atteso del -0.550%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.51%EV -0.550%E -0.212%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.12%EV -2.62%E -0.970%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.36%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-19 18:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.83%EV -2.08%E -0.813%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.41%EV -4.06%E -1.53%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.76%EV -3.43%E -0.913%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-19 18:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.58%EV -2.46%E -0.966%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.16%EV -4.42%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -6.26%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-19 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.58%EV -2.46%E -0.966%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.16%EV -4.42%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -6.26%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-19 18:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%EV -2.46%E -0.966%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.07%EV -5.14%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.72%EV -8.83%E -2.49%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-19 18:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.57%EV -3.61%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.13%EV -5.50%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-19 18:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.24%EV -3.99%E -1.59%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.09%EV -4.06%E -1.53%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.67%EV -3.95%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-19 18:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.98%EV -3.99%E -1.59%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.80%EV -6.59%E -2.54%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.22%EV -2.92%E -0.772%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-17 03:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.98%EV -3.99%E -1.59%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.80%EV -6.59%E -2.54%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.22%EV -2.92%E -0.772%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-17 02:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.98%EV -3.99%E -1.59%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.80%EV -6.59%E -2.54%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.22%EV -2.92%E -0.772%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-17 03:01 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -4.38%E -1.75%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -3.69%E -0.984%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-19 18:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -4.38%E -1.75%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -3.69%E -0.984%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-19 18:13 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -4.38%E -1.75%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-19 18:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -4.38%E -1.75%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-19 18:33 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -4.38%E -1.75%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-19 18:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -4.38%E -1.75%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-19 18:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -4.38%E -1.75%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-19 18:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -4.38%E -1.75%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-19 18:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.69%EV -4.76%E -1.91%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.24%EV -6.59%E -2.54%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-19 18:53 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.56%EV -4.76%E -1.91%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.25%EV -6.95%E -2.69%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.20%EV -8.31%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-19 18:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -5.14%E -2.07%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -11.39%E -3.30%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-19 18:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.78%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.68%EV -1.12%E -0.291%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-19 18:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.66%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.74%EV -4.42%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-19 18:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.66%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.74%EV -4.42%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-19 18:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -4.42%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -6.26%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-19 18:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -4.42%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-19 18:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -4.42%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-19 18:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.41%E -0.633%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-19 18:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -5.50%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-19 18:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -5.50%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-19 18:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.34%EV -7.67%E -3.00%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.70%EV -7.03%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-19 18:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-19 18:53 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-19 18:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-19 18:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-19 18:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -6.29%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-19 18:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.22%EV -7.05%E -2.90%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.18%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-19 18:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.22%EV -7.05%E -2.90%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.18%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-19 18:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.22%EV -7.05%E -2.90%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.18%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-19 18:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.22%EV -7.05%E -2.90%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.18%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-19 18:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.74%EV -8.20%E -3.42%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.46%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -3.69%E -0.984%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-19 18:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.72%EV -8.20%E -3.42%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.50%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-19 18:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.47%EV -8.20%E -3.42%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -8.83%E -2.49%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-19 18:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -8.20%E -3.42%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-19 18:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -8.20%E -3.42%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-19 18:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.26%EV -8.20%E -3.42%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.05%EV -10.55%E -4.26%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.69%EV -13.96%E -4.17%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-19 18:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.97%E -3.77%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -3.69%E -0.984%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-19 18:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -8.97%E -3.77%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-19 18:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.70%EV -10.11%E -4.30%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.38%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -6.26%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-19 18:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.18%EV -11.26%E -4.85%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.15%EV -11.64%E -4.75%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.67%EV -11.39%E -3.30%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-19 18:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -12.03%E -5.23%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-19 18:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -12.03%E -5.23%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.27%EV -13.44%E -5.60%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -3.69%E -0.984%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-19 18:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%EV -12.03%E -5.23%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -15.25%E -4.62%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-19 18:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.74%EV -13.94%E -6.19%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.07%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.19%EV -8.83%E -2.49%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-19 18:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.69%EV -13.94%E -6.19%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.02%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.30%EV -9.34%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-19 18:34 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.55% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18% | 0.5% | 2026-09-19 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.18% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.70% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12% | 0.7% | 2026-09-19 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.18% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.70% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12% | 0.7% | 2026-09-19 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.18% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.70% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12% | 0.7% | 2026-09-19 18:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.54% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.49% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97% | 1.3% | 2026-09-19 18:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.89% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.89% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22% | 3.1% | 2026-09-19 18:39 |