The School of Odds

Sparta Rotterdam v Feyenoord

2026-08-09 10:15 — Dutch Eredivisie

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Sparta Rotterdam (Local)

Odds
3.5028.57%Min
3.8226.17%Mean
3.8226.18%Median
4.0025.00%Max
Consensus probabilities
23.40%4.273Min
24.66%4.056Max
24.41%4.097Mean
24.41%4.097Median
24.41%4.097IQM
24.41%4.097Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.00 under the IQM model: 24.41%

EV -2.37%Edge -0.592%Kelly -0.789%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Feyenoord (Visit)

Odds
1.6859.52%Min
1.7756.63%Mean
1.7856.18%Median
1.8554.05%Max
Consensus probabilities
51.37%1.947Min
53.19%1.880Max
51.81%1.930Mean
51.81%1.930Median
51.81%1.930IQM
51.81%1.930Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.85 under the IQM model: 51.81%

EV -4.16%Edge -2.25%Kelly -4.89%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
3.6027.78%Min
3.9125.58%Mean
3.9225.51%Median
4.1024.39%Max
Consensus probabilities
22.96%4.355Min
23.97%4.171Max
23.78%4.205Mean
23.78%4.205Median
23.78%4.205IQM
23.78%4.205Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.10 under the IQM model: 23.78%

EV -2.49%Edge -0.606%Kelly -0.802%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

BookmakerSparta Rotterdam (Local) ▼Feyenoord (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
SportsBet4.00I 25.00% NM 23.40%EV -2.37% E -0.592% K -0.789% G +0.000%1.76I 56.82% NM 53.19%EV -8.82% E -5.01% K -11.60% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.40%EV -4.86% E -1.22% K -1.62% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 12:05
1xBet3.93I 25.45% NM 24.41%EV -4.08% E -1.04% K -1.39% G +0.000%1.85I 54.05% NM 51.85%EV -4.16% E -2.25% K -4.89% G +0.000%4.04I 24.75% NM 23.74%EV -3.91% E -0.969% K -1.29% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 12:45
Betr (AU)3.90I 25.64% NM 24.14%EV -4.81% E -1.23% K -1.66% G +0.000%1.78I 56.18% NM 52.89%EV -7.78% E -4.37% K -9.98% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 22.96%EV -2.49% E -0.606% K -0.802% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 12:04
Marathon Bet3.82I 26.18% NM 24.41%EV -6.76% E -1.77% K -2.40% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 51.80%EV -6.75% E -3.75% K -8.43% G +0.000%3.92I 25.51% NM 23.79%EV -6.77% E -1.73% K -2.32% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 12:44
Codere (IT)3.80I 26.32% NM 24.41%EV -7.25% E -1.91% K -2.59% G +0.000%1.79I 55.87% NM 51.81%EV -7.26% E -4.06% K -9.19% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 23.78%EV -7.24% E -1.86% K -2.50% G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-05 12:05
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32% NM 23.61%EV -7.25% E -1.91% K -2.59% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 52.78%EV -11.93% E -7.02% K -17.04% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 23.61%EV -9.62% E -2.53% K -3.44% G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-05 12:14
Unibet (FR)3.50I 28.57% NM 24.66%EV -14.57% E -4.16% K -5.83% G +0.000%1.68I 59.52% NM 51.37%EV -12.96% E -7.72% K -19.06% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 23.97%EV -14.38% E -3.99% K -5.53% G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-05 12:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerSparta Rotterdam (Local)Feyenoord (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.01I 99.01%191.3%2026-07-05 12:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.01I 99.01%191.3%2026-07-05 12:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.01I 99.01%191.3%2026-07-05 12:15