L’École des cotes

Sparta Rotterdam v Feyenoord

2026-08-09 10:15 UTC — Dutch Eredivisie

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sparta Rotterdam (Local)

Prévision 21.47%4.66cote équitable
EV +0.915%
Avantage +0.195%
Kelly +0.247%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 4.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.91%21.60%21.45%23.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.704.164.204.7027.03%24.05%23.81%21.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Feyenoord (Visiteur)

Prévision 55.46%1.80cote équitable
EV -2.38%
Avantage -1.35%
Kelly -3.14%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.80%55.31%55.46%56.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.521.691.701.7665.79%59.24%58.82%56.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.07%4.34cote équitable
EV -0.818%
Avantage -0.190%
Kelly -0.248%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.09%23.09%23.09%24.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.943.904.3027.78%25.38%25.64%23.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV +0.915%E +0.195%K +0.247%G +0.002%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -8.49%E -5.14%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.74%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-10 14:20
1xBet4.53I 22.08%NM 21.16%EV -2.74%E -0.604%K -0.775%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.06%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.77%EV -2.89%E -0.687%K -0.902%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-16 00:15
Pinnacle4.46I 22.42%NM 21.28%EV -4.24%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.17%EV -6.27%E -3.71%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.55%EV -2.89%E -0.687%K -0.902%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 10:34
Betsson4.45I 22.47%NM 21.42%EV -4.45%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.46%EV -2.94%E -1.68%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13%EV -8.89%E -2.25%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 11:15
NordicBet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.42%EV -4.45%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.46%EV -2.94%E -1.68%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13%EV -8.89%E -2.25%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 08:49
Coolbet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV -5.53%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.13%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -0.818%E -0.190%K -0.248%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-14 21:19
Coral4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -5.53%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.83%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -3.12%E -0.744%K -0.977%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 07:04
Betr (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -5.53%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.27%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.24%EV -1.97%E -0.464%K -0.607%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 17:49
BetMGM4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -5.53%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.67%EV -6.27%E -3.71%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.43%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-18 07:05
Bovada4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -5.53%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.97%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.66%EV -4.28%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-14 02:24
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -5.53%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.12%E -0.744%K -0.977%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 17:50
SportsBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -5.53%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.57%EV -7.93%E -4.78%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.09%EV -1.97%E -0.464%K -0.607%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-10 17:49
Marathon Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -5.53%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -5.43%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-16 00:15
Bet Victor4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -5.53%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -5.43%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 09:05
betano_uk4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -5.53%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -5.43%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 09:05
Ladbrokes (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -7.74%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 07:04
Everygame4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.75%EV -8.49%E -5.14%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.74%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-18 12:44
Codere (IT)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -7.67%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.07%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -8.89%E -2.25%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-10 19:20
DraftKings4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -7.67%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.37%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -7.74%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-13 20:19
Unibet (UK)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -8.75%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.24%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -7.74%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-10 19:20
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.82%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -12.35%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-14 05:59
888sport (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.82%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -12.35%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-14 05:59
888sport4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.82%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -12.35%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-14 05:59
Mr Green (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.82%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -12.35%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-14 05:59
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -9.82%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -10.15%E -6.27%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -7.74%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-10 17:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -9.82%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -10.15%E -6.27%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -7.74%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-10 17:50
Betclic (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.38%EV -11.97%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 55.12%EV -11.81%E -7.43%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.50%EV -13.97%E -3.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-25 10:15
BetRivers4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -14.12%E -3.53%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -2.38%E -1.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.04%E -2.58%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-23 10:44
TABtouch4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -14.12%E -3.53%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -2.38%E -1.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.04%E -2.58%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-23 10:44
Unibet (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -14.12%E -3.53%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -2.38%E -1.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.04%E -2.58%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-23 10:45
Unibet (NL)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -14.12%E -3.53%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -2.38%E -1.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.04%E -2.58%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-23 10:45
Casumo4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -14.12%E -3.53%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -2.38%E -1.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.04%E -2.58%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-23 10:45
Grosvenor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -14.12%E -3.53%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -2.38%E -1.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.04%E -2.58%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-23 10:45
Svenska Spel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -14.12%E -3.53%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -2.38%E -1.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.04%E -2.58%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-23 10:44
ATG (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -14.12%E -3.53%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -2.38%E -1.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.04%E -2.58%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-23 10:44
Unibet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -14.12%E -3.53%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -2.38%E -1.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.04%E -2.58%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-23 10:44
betPARX4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -14.12%E -3.53%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -2.38%E -1.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.04%E -2.58%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-23 10:45
Unibet (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 21.76%EV -14.12%E -3.53%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 54.40%EV -11.26%E -7.04%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.85%EV -15.81%E -4.33%K -5.97%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-25 10:20
Winamax (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.40%EV -16.26%E -4.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 54.61%EV -11.26%E -7.04%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.99%EV -12.35%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-10 19:19
NetBet (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 21.80%EV -17.34%E -4.50%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 55.21%EV -15.70%E -10.33%K -30.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 22.99%EV -15.81%E -4.33%K -5.97%G +0.000%19.2%2026-07-19 04:15
BoyleSports3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -18.41%E -4.84%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.61%EV -10.15%E -6.27%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -7.74%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-19 05:45
Sky Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 22.79%EV -18.41%E -4.84%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 54.12%EV -11.26%E -7.04%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.09%EV -13.50%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000%15.5%2026-07-10 17:49
LiveScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -19.48%E -5.20%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.84%EV -4.05%E -2.34%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -14.66%E -3.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-23 10:44
Virgin Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -19.48%E -5.20%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.84%EV -4.05%E -2.34%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -14.66%E -3.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-23 10:45
LeoVegas (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -19.48%E -5.20%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.84%EV -4.05%E -2.34%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -14.66%E -3.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-23 10:35
Winamax (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.49%EV -19.48%E -5.20%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 54.07%EV -13.48%E -8.64%K -24.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.43%EV -16.96%E -4.71%K -6.52%G +0.000%18.5%2026-07-10 19:19
PMU (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.94%EV -20.56%E -5.56%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 51.80%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.27%EV -15.81%E -4.33%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-23 10:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.90%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.69%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.41%3.8%2026-07-26 05:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.90%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.69%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.41%3.8%2026-07-26 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.90%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.69%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.41%3.8%2026-07-26 02:00
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%5.8%2026-07-26 05:25