默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Sparta Rotterdam v Feyenoord

开赛时间: 2026-08-09 10:15 UTC

最终结果: Sparta Rotterdam 0–1 Feyenoord

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

56 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Sparta Rotterdam (主队)

预测 18.63%5.37公平赔率
EV +2.45%
优势 +0.446%
Kelly +0.545%
增长率 +0.013%

假设最高赔率为 5.50

博彩公司预测分布
17.53%18.75%18.65%21.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.204.995.005.5023.81%20.03%20.00%18.18%最小值均值中位数最大值

Feyenoord (客队)

预测 59.38%1.68公平赔率
EV -0.832%
优势 -0.498%
Kelly -1.24%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.67

博彩公司预测分布
56.15%59.15%59.29%60.80%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.481.581.581.6767.57%63.36%63.29%59.88%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 21.99%4.55公平赔率
EV -1.04%
优势 -0.232%
Kelly -0.298%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.50

博彩公司预测分布
21.16%22.10%22.06%23.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.804.164.204.5026.32%24.03%23.81%22.22%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Sparta Rotterdam (主队):18.63%;Feyenoord (客队):59.38%;平局:21.99%。 对于“Sparta Rotterdam (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.37。 当时有7家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为5.50,对应+2.45%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (56 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
BetOnline.ag🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +2.45%E +0.446%K +0.545%G +0.013%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.29%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.17%EV -4.34%E -0.998%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-09 10:05
LowVig.ag🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +2.45%E +0.446%K +0.545%G +0.013%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.29%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.17%EV -4.34%E -0.998%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-09 10:05
BetAnything🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +2.45%E +0.446%K +0.545%G +0.013%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.29%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.17%EV -4.34%E -0.998%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-09 10:05
Unibet (NL)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 18.02%EV +0.589%E +0.109%K +0.134%G +0.001%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.34%EV -2.61%E -1.59%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.63%EV -5.44%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-09 10:10
Svenska Spel🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 18.02%EV +0.589%E +0.109%K +0.134%G +0.001%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.34%EV -2.61%E -1.59%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.63%EV -5.44%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-09 10:10
ATG (SE)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 18.02%EV +0.589%E +0.109%K +0.134%G +0.001%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.34%EV -2.61%E -1.59%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.63%EV -5.44%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-09 10:10
1xBet🎯5.39I 18.55%NM 17.98%EV +0.402%E +0.075%K +0.092%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.19%EV -4.39%E -2.73%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.83%EV -2.36%E -0.532%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-09 10:05
SportsBet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.67%EV -1.27%E -0.240%K -0.296%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.03%EV -7.36%E -4.72%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -7.64%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 09:49
FanDuel🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.53%EV -1.27%E -0.240%K -0.296%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.34%EV -8.55%E -5.55%K -15.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -7.64%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 10:04
Pinnacle🎯5.27I 18.98%NM 18.20%EV -1.83%E -0.348%K -0.429%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.95%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.85%EV -3.46%E -0.789%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 10:05
Bet Victor🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -2.21%E -0.420%K -0.519%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.68%EV -6.77%E -4.31%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -1.04%E -0.232%K -0.298%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 10:10
betano_uk🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -2.21%E -0.420%K -0.519%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.68%EV -6.77%E -4.31%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -1.04%E -0.232%K -0.298%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 10:00
Fanatics🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -2.21%E -0.420%K -0.519%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.79%EV -5.58%E -3.51%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -5.44%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 10:00
Betway🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -2.21%E -0.420%K -0.519%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -9.15%E -5.98%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -4.78%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 10:10
Grosvenor🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.19%EV -3.14%E -0.603%K -0.747%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.74%EV -4.39%E -2.73%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -9.84%E -2.40%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-09 10:10
Tipico (DE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.97%EV -3.14%E -0.603%K -0.747%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.29%EV -7.96%E -5.13%K -14.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -5.44%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 10:05
Bovada🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV -5.00%E -0.980%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.62%EV -6.77%E -4.31%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.54%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 10:09
Marathon Bet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -5.00%E -0.980%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.47%EV -6.77%E -4.31%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -7.64%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 10:00
Coolbet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -6.86%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.40%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -3.24%E -0.737%K -0.954%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 09:49
Coral🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -6.86%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -4.39%E -2.73%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -7.64%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 09:35
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -6.86%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -4.39%E -2.73%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -7.64%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 09:33
Codere (IT)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -6.86%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -5.58%E -3.51%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -5.44%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 10:00
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -6.86%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.55%EV -6.18%E -3.91%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.63%EV -4.34%E -0.998%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 10:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -6.86%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -7.64%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 09:35
Unibet (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -6.86%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -9.84%E -2.40%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 10:10
Casumo🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -6.86%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -9.84%E -2.40%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 10:10
betPARX🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -6.86%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -9.84%E -2.40%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 10:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -6.86%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.40%EV -6.77%E -4.31%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -6.54%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 09:50
PlayUp🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -6.86%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.45%EV -6.18%E -3.91%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 09:55
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -6.86%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.93%E -7.28%K -21.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-09 09:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -6.86%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.93%E -7.28%K -21.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-09 10:00
Betsson🎯4.95I 20.20%NM 19.21%EV -7.79%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.68%EV -3.80%E -2.35%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -5.44%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 09:54
NordicBet🎯4.95I 20.20%NM 19.21%EV -7.79%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.68%EV -3.80%E -2.35%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -5.44%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 09:55
Betr (AU)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV -8.73%E -1.78%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.17%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -3.24%E -0.737%K -0.954%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 09:50
Unibet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -8.73%E -1.78%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.23%EV -6.18%E -3.91%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 10:10
Betclic (FR)🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 18.68%EV -9.66%E -1.99%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -9.15%E -5.98%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -9.84%E -2.40%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 10:09
William Hill🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -10.59%E -2.21%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -14.24%E -3.65%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 10:10
888sport (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -10.59%E -2.21%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -14.24%E -3.65%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 10:10
888sport🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -10.59%E -2.21%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -14.24%E -3.65%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 10:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -10.59%E -2.21%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -14.24%E -3.65%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 10:10
BetRivers🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -10.59%E -2.21%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -6.77%E -4.31%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -14.24%E -3.65%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 09:44
TABtouch🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.84%EV -10.59%E -2.21%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.97%EV -7.36%E -4.72%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -14.24%E -3.65%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-09 10:10
Sky Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -10.59%E -2.21%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -9.15%E -5.98%K -17.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -14.24%E -3.65%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-09 10:05
NetBet (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.47%EV -10.59%E -2.21%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 59.91%EV -12.11%E -8.19%K -25.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -9.84%E -2.40%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-09 10:08
Bet Right🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -11.52%E -2.43%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.83%EV -7.36%E -4.72%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.64%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 09:50
Unibet (FR)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.98%EV -11.52%E -2.43%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.30%EV -9.74%E -6.41%K -18.73%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.72%EV -8.74%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-09 10:00
LiveScore Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.87%EV -11.52%E -2.43%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.84%EV -7.96%E -5.13%K -14.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.29%EV -15.34%E -3.98%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 10:10
Virgin Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.87%EV -11.52%E -2.43%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.84%EV -7.96%E -5.13%K -14.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.29%EV -15.34%E -3.98%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 10:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.87%EV -11.52%E -2.43%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.84%EV -7.96%E -5.13%K -14.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.29%EV -15.34%E -3.98%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 10:10
DraftKings🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16%EV -12.45%E -2.65%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.73%EV -0.832%E -0.498%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -9.84%E -2.40%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 09:40
PMU (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 18.84%EV -12.45%E -2.65%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.86%EV -9.15%E -5.98%K -17.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%EV -16.44%E -4.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-09 10:10
betfred_uk🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -14.31%E -3.11%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -6.77%E -4.31%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -7.64%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-09 09:50
Winamax (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -14.31%E -3.11%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -8.55%E -5.55%K -15.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -5.44%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 10:00
Winamax (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.03%EV -16.18%E -3.59%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.52%EV -8.55%E -5.55%K -15.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -7.64%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-09 09:59
BoyleSports🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -21.76%E -5.18%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.15%EV -4.99%E -3.12%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.04%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-09 10:09
BetUS🎯⚠ 不合理1.53I 65.36%NM 59.80%EV -71.50%E -46.73%K -134.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV +190.97%E +38.97%K +48.97%G +93.51%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV -6.54%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 10:10
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.80I 17.24%NM 17.17%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.71%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13%0.4%2026-08-09 10:10
Matchbook5.80I 17.24%NM 17.17%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.71%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13%0.4%2026-08-09 10:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.85%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%0.8%2026-08-09 10:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.85%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%0.8%2026-08-09 10:10
Smarkets5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.67%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-08-09 10:00
Kalshi5.56I 17.99%NM 17.62%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.85%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53%2.1%2026-08-09 09:50