La escuela de los momios

Sparta Rotterdam v Feyenoord

2026-08-09 10:15 UTC — Dutch Eredivisie

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sparta Rotterdam (Local)

Predicción 21.47%4.66momio equitativo
EV +0.915%
Ventaja +0.195%
Kelly +0.247%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.91%21.60%21.45%23.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.704.164.204.7027.03%24.05%23.81%21.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Feyenoord (Visitante)

Predicción 55.46%1.80momio equitativo
EV -2.38%
Ventaja -1.35%
Kelly -3.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.80%55.31%55.46%56.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.521.691.701.7665.79%59.24%58.82%56.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.07%4.34momio equitativo
EV -0.818%
Ventaja -0.190%
Kelly -0.248%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.09%23.09%23.09%24.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.943.904.3027.78%25.38%25.64%23.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Tipico (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV +0.915%E +0.195%K +0.247%G +0.002%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.70%EV -8.49%E -5.14%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.74%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-10 14:20
1xBet4.53I 22.08%NM 21.16%EV -2.74%E -0.604%K -0.775%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.06%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.77%EV -2.89%E -0.687%K -0.902%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-16 00:15
Pinnacle4.46I 22.42%NM 21.28%EV -4.24%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.17%EV -6.27%E -3.71%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.55%EV -2.89%E -0.687%K -0.902%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 10:34
Betsson4.45I 22.47%NM 21.42%EV -4.45%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.46%EV -2.94%E -1.68%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13%EV -8.89%E -2.25%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 11:15
NordicBet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.42%EV -4.45%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.46%EV -2.94%E -1.68%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13%EV -8.89%E -2.25%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 08:49
Coolbet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV -5.53%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.13%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -0.818%E -0.190%K -0.248%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-14 21:19
Coral4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -5.53%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.83%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -3.12%E -0.744%K -0.977%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 07:04
Betr (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -5.53%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.27%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.24%EV -1.97%E -0.464%K -0.607%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 17:49
BetMGM4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -5.53%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.67%EV -6.27%E -3.71%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.43%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-18 07:05
Bovada4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -5.53%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.97%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.66%EV -4.28%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-14 02:24
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -5.53%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -3.12%E -0.744%K -0.977%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 17:50
SportsBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -5.53%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.57%EV -7.93%E -4.78%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.09%EV -1.97%E -0.464%K -0.607%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-10 17:49
Marathon Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -5.53%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -5.43%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-16 00:15
Bet Victor4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -5.53%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -5.43%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 09:05
betano_uk4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -5.53%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -5.43%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 09:05
Ladbrokes (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -7.74%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 07:04
Everygame4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.75%EV -8.49%E -5.14%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.74%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-18 12:44
Codere (IT)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -7.67%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.07%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -8.89%E -2.25%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-10 19:20
DraftKings4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -7.67%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.37%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -7.74%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-13 20:19
Unibet (UK)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -8.75%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.24%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -7.74%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-10 19:20
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.82%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -12.35%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-14 05:59
888sport (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.82%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -12.35%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-14 05:59
888sport4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.82%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -12.35%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-14 05:59
Mr Green (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.82%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -12.35%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-14 05:59
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -9.82%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -10.15%E -6.27%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -7.74%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-10 17:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -9.82%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -10.15%E -6.27%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -7.74%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-10 17:50
Betclic (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.38%EV -11.97%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 55.12%EV -11.81%E -7.43%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.50%EV -13.97%E -3.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-25 10:15
BetRivers4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -14.12%E -3.53%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -2.38%E -1.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.04%E -2.58%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-23 10:44
TABtouch4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -14.12%E -3.53%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -2.38%E -1.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.04%E -2.58%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-23 10:44
Unibet (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -14.12%E -3.53%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -2.38%E -1.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.04%E -2.58%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-23 10:45
Unibet (NL)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -14.12%E -3.53%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -2.38%E -1.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.04%E -2.58%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-23 10:45
Casumo4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -14.12%E -3.53%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -2.38%E -1.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.04%E -2.58%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-23 10:45
Grosvenor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -14.12%E -3.53%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -2.38%E -1.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.04%E -2.58%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-23 10:45
Svenska Spel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -14.12%E -3.53%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -2.38%E -1.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.04%E -2.58%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-23 10:44
ATG (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -14.12%E -3.53%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -2.38%E -1.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.04%E -2.58%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-23 10:44
Unibet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -14.12%E -3.53%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -2.38%E -1.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.04%E -2.58%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-23 10:44
betPARX4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -14.12%E -3.53%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87%EV -2.38%E -1.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -10.04%E -2.58%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-23 10:45
Unibet (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 21.76%EV -14.12%E -3.53%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 54.40%EV -11.26%E -7.04%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.85%EV -15.81%E -4.33%K -5.97%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-25 10:20
Winamax (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.40%EV -16.26%E -4.17%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 54.61%EV -11.26%E -7.04%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.99%EV -12.35%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-10 19:19
NetBet (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 21.80%EV -17.34%E -4.50%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 55.21%EV -15.70%E -10.33%K -30.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 22.99%EV -15.81%E -4.33%K -5.97%G +0.000%19.2%2026-07-19 04:15
BoyleSports3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -18.41%E -4.84%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.61%EV -10.15%E -6.27%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -7.74%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-19 05:45
Sky Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 22.79%EV -18.41%E -4.84%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 54.12%EV -11.26%E -7.04%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.09%EV -13.50%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000%15.5%2026-07-10 17:49
LiveScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -19.48%E -5.20%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.84%EV -4.05%E -2.34%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -14.66%E -3.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-23 10:44
Virgin Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -19.48%E -5.20%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.84%EV -4.05%E -2.34%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -14.66%E -3.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-23 10:45
LeoVegas (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -19.48%E -5.20%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.84%EV -4.05%E -2.34%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -14.66%E -3.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-23 10:35
Winamax (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.49%EV -19.48%E -5.20%K -7.08%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 54.07%EV -13.48%E -8.64%K -24.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.43%EV -16.96%E -4.71%K -6.52%G +0.000%18.5%2026-07-10 19:19
PMU (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.94%EV -20.56%E -5.56%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 51.80%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.27%EV -15.81%E -4.33%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-23 10:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.90%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.69%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.41%3.8%2026-07-26 05:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.90%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.69%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.41%3.8%2026-07-26 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.90%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.69%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.41%3.8%2026-07-26 02:00
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%5.8%2026-07-26 05:25