Language:English
SC Telstar v Heracles Almelo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
SC Telstar (Local)
Prediction 65.55%1.53fair odd
EV -2.99%
Edge -2.02%
Kelly -6.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.00%65.54%65.46%67.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.411.421.4874.07%70.73%70.42%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Heracles Almelo (Visit)
Prediction 15.34%6.52fair odd
EV +7.37%
Edge +1.05%
Kelly +1.23%
Growth +0.091%
assuming max odds 7.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.62%15.29%15.48%16.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.306.236.257.0018.87%16.06%16.00%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 19.12%5.23fair odd
EV +1.31%
Edge +0.247%
Kelly +0.305%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 5.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.30%19.17%19.06%21.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.844.855.3025.00%20.66%20.62%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SC Telstar (Local): 65.55%; Heracles Almelo (Visit): 15.34%; Draw: 19.12%. For Heracles Almelo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.52. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.37%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.84%EV -6.27%E -4.38%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.86%EV +7.37%E +1.05%K +1.23%G +0.091% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.30%EV +1.31%E +0.247%K +0.305%G +0.004% | 3.1% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.57%EV -4.96%E -3.42%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.98%EV +4.30%E +0.633%K +0.742%G +0.032% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.45%EV -11.11%E -2.39%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.76%EV -6.27%E -4.38%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.14%EV +3.54%E +0.524%K +0.615%G +0.022% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.42%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.32%EV -7.58%E -5.38%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.06%EV +3.54%E +0.524%K +0.615%G +0.022% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.61%EV -2.51%E -0.493%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.48%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.00%EV +3.54%E +0.524%K +0.615%G +0.022% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.52%EV -2.51%E -0.493%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.48%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.00%EV +3.54%E +0.524%K +0.615%G +0.022% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.52%EV -2.51%E -0.493%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.55%EV -9.55%E -6.92%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV +3.54%E +0.524%K +0.615%G +0.022% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.42%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.55%EV -9.55%E -6.92%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV +3.54%E +0.524%K +0.615%G +0.022% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.42%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.55%EV -9.55%E -6.92%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV +3.54%E +0.524%K +0.615%G +0.022% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.42%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.61%EV -10.86%E -7.98%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV +3.54%E +0.524%K +0.615%G +0.022% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -6.33%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.61%EV -10.86%E -7.98%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV +3.54%E +0.524%K +0.615%G +0.022% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -6.33%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.53%EV -2.99%E -2.02%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 6.66I 15.02%NM 14.56%EV +2.16%E +0.324%K +0.381%G +0.008% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.91%EV -6.91%E -1.42%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV -0.297%E -0.046%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -4.42%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -0.297%E -0.046%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.42%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.35%EV -10.20%E -7.45%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -0.297%E -0.046%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -4.42%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -0.297%E -0.046%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.07%E -2.62%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 10:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.42%EV -11.51%E -8.53%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -0.297%E -0.046%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -6.33%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.42%EV -11.51%E -8.53%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -0.297%E -0.046%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -6.33%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.42%EV -11.51%E -8.53%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -0.297%E -0.046%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -6.33%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.92%EV -4.96%E -3.42%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 6.47I 15.46%NM 14.77%EV -0.757%E -0.117%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.31%EV -5.38%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -3.65%E -2.48%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -1.83%E -0.286%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV -10.16%E -2.16%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-10 14:23 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.16%EV -7.58%E -5.38%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.81%EV -3.36%E -0.534%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -6.33%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -4.13%E -0.661%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -9.20%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.63%EV -6.27%E -4.38%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -4.13%E -0.661%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.35%EV -7.29%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.63%EV -6.27%E -4.38%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -4.13%E -0.661%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.35%EV -7.29%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.50%EV -6.27%E -4.38%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV -4.13%E -0.661%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.51%EV -8.25%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 14:23 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.66%EV -6.93%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -4.13%E -0.661%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -8.25%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.52%EV -6.93%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -4.13%E -0.661%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -9.20%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -2.99%E -2.02%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -8.25%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -2.99%E -2.02%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -8.25%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.29%EV -4.96%E -3.42%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.93%EV -4.42%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -4.42%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -4.42%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.19%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%EV -6.33%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.09%EV -6.27%E -4.38%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -8.25%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.09%EV -6.27%E -4.38%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -8.25%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -4.96%E -3.42%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -13.98%E -3.11%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -4.42%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -9.20%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -10.86%E -7.98%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -9.20%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.57%EV -8.89%E -6.40%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.45%EV -9.50%E -1.61%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -8.25%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-10 14:32 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.05%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -11.03%E -1.90%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -12.07%E -2.62%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -2.99%E -2.02%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -11.80%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -8.25%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.37%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -11.80%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -9.20%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.96%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -11.80%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -12.07%E -2.62%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.99%EV -10.86%E -7.98%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.37%EV -11.80%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -13.98%E -3.11%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.12%EV -9.55%E -6.92%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.76%EV -12.57%E -2.20%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.12%EV -10.16%E -2.16%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.76%EV -7.58%E -5.38%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.60%EV -15.64%E -2.84%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -6.33%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -15.64%E -2.84%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -9.20%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 63.00%EV -10.86%E -7.98%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.58%EV -15.64%E -2.84%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.42%EV -23.54%E -5.88%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 64.44%EV -8.89%E -6.40%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.90%EV -18.70%E -3.53%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -8.25%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.51% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.41% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08% | 0.8% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.51% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.41% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08% | 0.8% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.51% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.41% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08% | 0.8% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.51% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.41% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08% | 0.8% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.26% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01% | 1.1% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |