A Escola das Odds

SC Telstar v Heracles Almelo

Início: 2026-05-10 14:45 UTC

Final: SC Telstar 3–0 Heracles Almelo

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

SC Telstar (Local)

Previsão 65.55%1.53odd justa
EV -2.99%
Vantagem -2.02%
Kelly -6.23%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.48

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
63.00%65.54%65.46%67.84%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.351.411.421.4874.07%70.73%70.42%67.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Heracles Almelo (Visitante)

Previsão 15.34%6.52odd justa
EV +7.37%
Vantagem +1.05%
Kelly +1.23%
Crescimento +0.091%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
13.62%15.29%15.48%16.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.306.236.257.0018.87%16.06%16.00%14.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 19.12%5.23odd justa
EV +1.31%
Vantagem +0.247%
Kelly +0.305%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.30%19.17%19.06%21.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.004.844.855.3025.00%20.66%20.62%18.87%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 67.84%EV -6.27%E -4.38%K -14.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.86%EV +7.37%E +1.05%K +1.23%G +0.091%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.30%EV +1.31%E +0.247%K +0.305%G +0.004%3.1%2026-05-10 13:49
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.57%EV -4.96%E -3.42%K -11.02%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.98%EV +4.30%E +0.633%K +0.742%G +0.032%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.45%EV -11.11%E -2.39%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 14:34
Coolbet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.76%EV -6.27%E -4.38%K -14.58%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.14%EV +3.54%E +0.524%K +0.615%G +0.022%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.42%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 13:49
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.32%EV -7.58%E -5.38%K -18.49%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.06%EV +3.54%E +0.524%K +0.615%G +0.022%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.61%EV -2.51%E -0.493%K -0.613%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 13:49
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.48%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.00%EV +3.54%E +0.524%K +0.615%G +0.022%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.52%EV -2.51%E -0.493%K -0.613%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 13:49
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 67.48%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.00%EV +3.54%E +0.524%K +0.615%G +0.022%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.52%EV -2.51%E -0.493%K -0.613%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 13:49
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 67.55%EV -9.55%E -6.92%K -25.12%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV +3.54%E +0.524%K +0.615%G +0.022%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.42%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 13:49
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 67.55%EV -9.55%E -6.92%K -25.12%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV +3.54%E +0.524%K +0.615%G +0.022%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.42%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 13:49
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 67.55%EV -9.55%E -6.92%K -25.12%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV +3.54%E +0.524%K +0.615%G +0.022%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.42%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 13:49
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 67.61%EV -10.86%E -7.98%K -30.16%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV +3.54%E +0.524%K +0.615%G +0.022%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -6.33%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 13:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.61%EV -10.86%E -7.98%K -30.16%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV +3.54%E +0.524%K +0.615%G +0.022%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -6.33%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 13:49
1xBet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.53%EV -2.99%E -2.02%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.66I 15.02%NM 14.56%EV +2.16%E +0.324%K +0.381%G +0.008%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.91%EV -6.91%E -1.42%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-10 14:34
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV -0.297%E -0.046%K -0.054%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -4.42%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 13:49
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -0.297%E -0.046%K -0.054%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.42%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 13:49
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 67.35%EV -10.20%E -7.45%K -27.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -0.297%E -0.046%K -0.054%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -4.42%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 14:24
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -0.297%E -0.046%K -0.054%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.07%E -2.62%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 10:20
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 67.42%EV -11.51%E -8.53%K -32.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -0.297%E -0.046%K -0.054%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -6.33%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 13:49
PMU (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 67.42%EV -11.51%E -8.53%K -32.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -0.297%E -0.046%K -0.054%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -6.33%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 13:49
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 67.42%EV -11.51%E -8.53%K -32.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -0.297%E -0.046%K -0.054%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -6.33%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 13:49
Pinnacle1.45I 68.97%NM 65.92%EV -4.96%E -3.42%K -11.02%G +0.000%6.47I 15.46%NM 14.77%EV -0.757%E -0.117%K -0.138%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.31%EV -5.38%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 14:25
Betsson1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -3.65%E -2.48%K -7.76%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -1.83%E -0.286%K -0.339%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV -10.16%E -2.16%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 14:23
Marathon Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.16%EV -7.58%E -5.38%K -18.49%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.81%EV -3.36%E -0.534%K -0.635%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -6.33%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 14:24
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -4.13%E -0.661%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -9.20%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 14:24
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 65.63%EV -6.27%E -4.38%K -14.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -4.13%E -0.661%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.35%EV -7.29%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 14:34
BetAnything1.43I 69.93%NM 65.63%EV -6.27%E -4.38%K -14.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -4.13%E -0.661%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.35%EV -7.29%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 14:35
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 65.50%EV -6.27%E -4.38%K -14.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV -4.13%E -0.661%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.51%EV -8.25%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 14:23
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.66%EV -6.93%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -4.13%E -0.661%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -8.25%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 13:49
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.52%EV -6.93%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -4.13%E -0.661%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -9.20%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 13:49
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -2.99%E -2.02%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -8.25%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 13:49
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -2.99%E -2.02%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -8.25%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 13:49
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.29%EV -4.96%E -3.42%K -11.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.93%EV -4.42%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 14:24
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -4.42%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 13:49
Codere (IT)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -4.42%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 14:24
DraftKings1.44I 69.44%NM 65.19%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%EV -6.33%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 14:24
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 65.09%EV -6.27%E -4.38%K -14.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -8.25%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 14:24
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 65.09%EV -6.27%E -4.38%K -14.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -8.25%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 14:24
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -4.96%E -3.42%K -11.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -13.98%E -3.11%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 14:24
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -4.42%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-10 14:24
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -9.20%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-10 13:49
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -10.86%E -7.98%K -30.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -9.20%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-10 14:24
Betclic (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 65.57%EV -8.89%E -6.40%K -22.80%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.45%EV -9.50%E -1.61%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -8.25%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-10 14:32
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 64.05%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -11.03%E -1.90%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -12.07%E -2.62%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -2.99%E -2.02%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -11.80%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -8.25%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 13:49
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 64.37%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -11.80%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -9.20%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 14:34
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.96%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -11.80%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -12.07%E -2.62%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 14:25
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 64.99%EV -10.86%E -7.98%K -30.16%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.37%EV -11.80%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -13.98%E -3.11%K -3.99%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-10 14:24
Unibet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 65.12%EV -9.55%E -6.92%K -25.12%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.76%EV -12.57%E -2.20%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.12%EV -10.16%E -2.16%K -2.75%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-10 14:24
Winamax (DE)1.41I 70.92%NM 64.76%EV -7.58%E -5.38%K -18.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.60%EV -15.64%E -2.84%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -6.33%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-10 14:24
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -15.64%E -2.84%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -9.20%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-10 13:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 63.00%EV -10.86%E -7.98%K -30.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.58%EV -15.64%E -2.84%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.42%EV -23.54%E -5.88%K -7.85%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-10 13:49
Winamax (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 64.44%EV -8.89%E -6.40%K -22.80%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.90%EV -18.70%E -3.53%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -8.25%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-10 14:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.51%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.41%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08%0.8%2026-05-10 14:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.51%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.41%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08%0.8%2026-05-10 14:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.51%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.41%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08%0.8%2026-05-10 14:35
Matchbook1.47I 68.03%NM 67.51%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.41%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08%0.8%2026-05-10 14:34
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 67.26%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01%1.1%2026-05-10 14:34