L’École des cotes

SC Telstar v Heracles Almelo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-10 14:45 UTC

Score final : SC Telstar 3–0 Heracles Almelo

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

SC Telstar (Local)

Prévision 65.55%1.53cote équitable
EV -2.99%
Avantage -2.02%
Kelly -6.23%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.00%65.54%65.46%67.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.351.411.421.4874.07%70.73%70.42%67.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Heracles Almelo (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.34%6.52cote équitable
EV +7.37%
Avantage +1.05%
Kelly +1.23%
Croissance +0.091%

avec la cote maximale 7.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.62%15.29%15.48%16.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.306.236.257.0018.87%16.06%16.00%14.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 19.12%5.23cote équitable
EV +1.31%
Avantage +0.247%
Kelly +0.305%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 5.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.30%19.17%19.06%21.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.844.855.3025.00%20.66%20.62%18.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 67.84%EV -6.27%E -4.38%K -14.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.86%EV +7.37%E +1.05%K +1.23%G +0.091%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.30%EV +1.31%E +0.247%K +0.305%G +0.004%3.1%2026-05-10 13:49
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.57%EV -4.96%E -3.42%K -11.02%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.98%EV +4.30%E +0.633%K +0.742%G +0.032%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.45%EV -11.11%E -2.39%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 14:34
Coolbet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.76%EV -6.27%E -4.38%K -14.58%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.14%EV +3.54%E +0.524%K +0.615%G +0.022%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.42%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 13:49
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.32%EV -7.58%E -5.38%K -18.49%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.06%EV +3.54%E +0.524%K +0.615%G +0.022%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.61%EV -2.51%E -0.493%K -0.613%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 13:49
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.48%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.00%EV +3.54%E +0.524%K +0.615%G +0.022%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.52%EV -2.51%E -0.493%K -0.613%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 13:49
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 67.48%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.00%EV +3.54%E +0.524%K +0.615%G +0.022%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.52%EV -2.51%E -0.493%K -0.613%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 13:49
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 67.55%EV -9.55%E -6.92%K -25.12%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV +3.54%E +0.524%K +0.615%G +0.022%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.42%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 13:49
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 67.55%EV -9.55%E -6.92%K -25.12%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV +3.54%E +0.524%K +0.615%G +0.022%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.42%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 13:49
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 67.55%EV -9.55%E -6.92%K -25.12%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV +3.54%E +0.524%K +0.615%G +0.022%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.42%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 13:49
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 67.61%EV -10.86%E -7.98%K -30.16%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV +3.54%E +0.524%K +0.615%G +0.022%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -6.33%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 13:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.61%EV -10.86%E -7.98%K -30.16%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV +3.54%E +0.524%K +0.615%G +0.022%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -6.33%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 13:49
1xBet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.53%EV -2.99%E -2.02%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.66I 15.02%NM 14.56%EV +2.16%E +0.324%K +0.381%G +0.008%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.91%EV -6.91%E -1.42%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-10 14:34
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV -0.297%E -0.046%K -0.054%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -4.42%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 13:49
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -0.297%E -0.046%K -0.054%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.42%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 13:49
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 67.35%EV -10.20%E -7.45%K -27.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -0.297%E -0.046%K -0.054%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -4.42%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 14:24
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -0.297%E -0.046%K -0.054%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.07%E -2.62%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 10:20
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 67.42%EV -11.51%E -8.53%K -32.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -0.297%E -0.046%K -0.054%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -6.33%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 13:49
PMU (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 67.42%EV -11.51%E -8.53%K -32.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -0.297%E -0.046%K -0.054%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -6.33%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 13:49
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 67.42%EV -11.51%E -8.53%K -32.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -0.297%E -0.046%K -0.054%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -6.33%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 13:49
Pinnacle1.45I 68.97%NM 65.92%EV -4.96%E -3.42%K -11.02%G +0.000%6.47I 15.46%NM 14.77%EV -0.757%E -0.117%K -0.138%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.31%EV -5.38%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 14:25
Betsson1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -3.65%E -2.48%K -7.76%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -1.83%E -0.286%K -0.339%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV -10.16%E -2.16%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 14:23
Marathon Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.16%EV -7.58%E -5.38%K -18.49%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.81%EV -3.36%E -0.534%K -0.635%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -6.33%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 14:24
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -4.13%E -0.661%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -9.20%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 14:24
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 65.63%EV -6.27%E -4.38%K -14.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -4.13%E -0.661%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.35%EV -7.29%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 14:34
BetAnything1.43I 69.93%NM 65.63%EV -6.27%E -4.38%K -14.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -4.13%E -0.661%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.35%EV -7.29%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 14:35
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 65.50%EV -6.27%E -4.38%K -14.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV -4.13%E -0.661%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.51%EV -8.25%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 14:23
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.66%EV -6.93%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -4.13%E -0.661%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -8.25%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 13:49
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.52%EV -6.93%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -4.13%E -0.661%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -9.20%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 13:49
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -2.99%E -2.02%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -8.25%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 13:49
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -2.99%E -2.02%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -8.25%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 13:49
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.29%EV -4.96%E -3.42%K -11.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.93%EV -4.42%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 14:24
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -4.42%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 13:49
Codere (IT)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -4.42%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 14:24
DraftKings1.44I 69.44%NM 65.19%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%EV -6.33%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 14:24
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 65.09%EV -6.27%E -4.38%K -14.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -8.25%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 14:24
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 65.09%EV -6.27%E -4.38%K -14.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -8.25%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 14:24
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -4.96%E -3.42%K -11.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -13.98%E -3.11%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 14:24
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -4.42%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-10 14:24
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -9.20%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-10 13:49
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -10.86%E -7.98%K -30.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -9.20%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-10 14:24
Betclic (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 65.57%EV -8.89%E -6.40%K -22.80%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.45%EV -9.50%E -1.61%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -8.25%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-10 14:32
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 64.05%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -11.03%E -1.90%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -12.07%E -2.62%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -2.99%E -2.02%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -11.80%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -8.25%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 13:49
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 64.37%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -11.80%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -9.20%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 14:34
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.96%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -11.80%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -12.07%E -2.62%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 14:25
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 64.99%EV -10.86%E -7.98%K -30.16%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.37%EV -11.80%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -13.98%E -3.11%K -3.99%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-10 14:24
Unibet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 65.12%EV -9.55%E -6.92%K -25.12%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.76%EV -12.57%E -2.20%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.12%EV -10.16%E -2.16%K -2.75%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-10 14:24
Winamax (DE)1.41I 70.92%NM 64.76%EV -7.58%E -5.38%K -18.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.60%EV -15.64%E -2.84%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -6.33%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-10 14:24
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -15.64%E -2.84%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -9.20%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-10 13:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 63.00%EV -10.86%E -7.98%K -30.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.58%EV -15.64%E -2.84%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.42%EV -23.54%E -5.88%K -7.85%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-10 13:49
Winamax (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 64.44%EV -8.89%E -6.40%K -22.80%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.90%EV -18.70%E -3.53%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -8.25%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-10 14:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.51%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.41%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08%0.8%2026-05-10 14:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.51%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.41%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08%0.8%2026-05-10 14:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.51%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.41%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08%0.8%2026-05-10 14:35
Matchbook1.47I 68.03%NM 67.51%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.41%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08%0.8%2026-05-10 14:34
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 67.26%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01%1.1%2026-05-10 14:34