La escuela de los momiosSC Telstar v Heracles Almelo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
SC Telstar (Local)
Predicción 65.55%1.53momio equitativo
EV -2.99%
Ventaja -2.02%
Kelly -6.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.48
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.00%65.54%65.46%67.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.351.411.421.4874.07%70.73%70.42%67.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Heracles Almelo (Visitante)
Predicción 15.34%6.52momio equitativo
EV +7.37%
Ventaja +1.05%
Kelly +1.23%
Crecimiento +0.091%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.62%15.29%15.48%16.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.306.236.257.0018.87%16.06%16.00%14.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 19.12%5.23momio equitativo
EV +1.31%
Ventaja +0.247%
Kelly +0.305%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.30%19.17%19.06%21.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.844.855.3025.00%20.66%20.62%18.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.84%EV -6.27%E -4.38%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.86%EV +7.37%E +1.05%K +1.23%G +0.091% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.30%EV +1.31%E +0.247%K +0.305%G +0.004% | 3.1% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.57%EV -4.96%E -3.42%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.98%EV +4.30%E +0.633%K +0.742%G +0.032% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.45%EV -11.11%E -2.39%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Coolbet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.76%EV -6.27%E -4.38%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.14%EV +3.54%E +0.524%K +0.615%G +0.022% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.42%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.32%EV -7.58%E -5.38%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.06%EV +3.54%E +0.524%K +0.615%G +0.022% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.61%EV -2.51%E -0.493%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Unibet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.48%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.00%EV +3.54%E +0.524%K +0.615%G +0.022% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.52%EV -2.51%E -0.493%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Casumo | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.48%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.00%EV +3.54%E +0.524%K +0.615%G +0.022% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.52%EV -2.51%E -0.493%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| BetRivers | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.55%EV -9.55%E -6.92%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV +3.54%E +0.524%K +0.615%G +0.022% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.42%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| TABtouch | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.55%EV -9.55%E -6.92%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV +3.54%E +0.524%K +0.615%G +0.022% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.42%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.55%EV -9.55%E -6.92%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV +3.54%E +0.524%K +0.615%G +0.022% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.42%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.61%EV -10.86%E -7.98%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV +3.54%E +0.524%K +0.615%G +0.022% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -6.33%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.61%EV -10.86%E -7.98%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV +3.54%E +0.524%K +0.615%G +0.022% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -6.33%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| 1xBet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.53%EV -2.99%E -2.02%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 6.66I 15.02%NM 14.56%EV +2.16%E +0.324%K +0.381%G +0.008% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.91%EV -6.91%E -1.42%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Bet Victor | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV -0.297%E -0.046%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -4.42%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -0.297%E -0.046%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.42%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.35%EV -10.20%E -7.45%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -0.297%E -0.046%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -4.42%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| betfred_uk | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -0.297%E -0.046%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.07%E -2.62%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 10:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.42%EV -11.51%E -8.53%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -0.297%E -0.046%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -6.33%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.42%EV -11.51%E -8.53%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -0.297%E -0.046%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -6.33%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.42%EV -11.51%E -8.53%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -0.297%E -0.046%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -6.33%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Pinnacle | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.92%EV -4.96%E -3.42%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 6.47I 15.46%NM 14.77%EV -0.757%E -0.117%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.31%EV -5.38%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
| Betsson | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -3.65%E -2.48%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -1.83%E -0.286%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV -10.16%E -2.16%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-10 14:23 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.16%EV -7.58%E -5.38%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.81%EV -3.36%E -0.534%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -6.33%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Everygame | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -4.13%E -0.661%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -9.20%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| BetUS | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.63%EV -6.27%E -4.38%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -4.13%E -0.661%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.35%EV -7.29%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| BetAnything | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.63%EV -6.27%E -4.38%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -4.13%E -0.661%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.35%EV -7.29%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| Bovada | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.50%EV -6.27%E -4.38%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV -4.13%E -0.661%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.51%EV -8.25%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 14:23 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.66%EV -6.93%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -4.13%E -0.661%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -8.25%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.52%EV -6.93%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -4.13%E -0.661%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -9.20%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -2.99%E -2.02%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -8.25%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| BetMGM | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -2.99%E -2.02%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -8.25%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.29%EV -4.96%E -3.42%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.93%EV -4.42%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Fanatics | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -4.42%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -4.42%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| DraftKings | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.19%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%EV -6.33%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.09%EV -6.27%E -4.38%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -8.25%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.09%EV -6.27%E -4.38%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -8.25%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| PlayUp | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -4.96%E -3.42%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -13.98%E -3.11%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| SportsBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -4.42%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Bet Right | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -9.20%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -10.86%E -7.98%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -7.97%E -1.33%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -9.20%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.57%EV -8.89%E -6.40%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.45%EV -9.50%E -1.61%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -8.25%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-10 14:32 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.05%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -11.03%E -1.90%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -12.07%E -2.62%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -2.99%E -2.02%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -11.80%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -8.25%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.37%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -11.80%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -9.20%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.96%EV -5.61%E -3.90%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -11.80%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -12.07%E -2.62%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.99%EV -10.86%E -7.98%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.37%EV -11.80%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -13.98%E -3.11%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.12%EV -9.55%E -6.92%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.76%EV -12.57%E -2.20%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.12%EV -10.16%E -2.16%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.76%EV -7.58%E -5.38%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.60%EV -15.64%E -2.84%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -6.33%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -15.64%E -2.84%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -9.20%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 63.00%EV -10.86%E -7.98%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.58%EV -15.64%E -2.84%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.42%EV -23.54%E -5.88%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-10 13:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 64.44%EV -8.89%E -6.40%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.90%EV -18.70%E -3.53%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -8.25%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.51% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.41% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08% | 0.8% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.51% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.41% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08% | 0.8% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.51% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.41% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08% | 0.8% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| Matchbook | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.51% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.41% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08% | 0.8% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Smarkets | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.26% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01% | 1.1% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |