默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

PSV Eindhoven v Sparta Rotterdam

开赛时间: 2026-09-13 18:00 UTC

最终结果: PSV Eindhoven 4–1 Sparta Rotterdam

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

56 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

PSV Eindhoven (主队)

预测 79.96%1.25公平赔率
EV -3.25%
优势 -2.69%
Kelly -15.50%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.21

博彩公司预测分布
77.91%79.92%79.78%82.10%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.111.171.171.2190.09%85.59%85.47%82.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

Sparta Rotterdam (客队)

预测 8.28%12.07公平赔率
EV +20.12%
优势 +1.39%
Kelly +1.49%
增长率 +0.300%

假设最高赔率为 14.50

博彩公司预测分布
6.52%8.32%8.41%10.08%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
9.0011.4311.0014.5011.11%8.75%9.09%6.90%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 11.76%8.50公平赔率
EV +8.91%
优势 +0.962%
Kelly +1.08%
增长率 +0.096%

假设最高赔率为 9.26

博彩公司预测分布
10.37%11.76%11.81%14.10%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.707.807.759.2614.93%12.82%12.90%10.80%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:PSV Eindhoven (主队):79.96%;Sparta Rotterdam (客队):8.28%;平局:11.76%。 对于“Sparta Rotterdam (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为12.07。 当时有15家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为14.50,对应+20.12%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (56 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Betsson🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.39%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.54%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.52%EV +20.12%E +1.39%K +1.49%G +0.300%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -21.20%E -3.16%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 17:45
NordicBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.39%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.54%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.52%EV +20.12%E +1.39%K +1.49%G +0.300%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -21.20%E -3.16%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 17:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.20%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.54%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.43%EV +7.69%E +0.592%K +0.641%G +0.049%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -0.031%E -0.004%K -0.004%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-13 17:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.63%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.54%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.38%EV +7.69%E +0.592%K +0.641%G +0.049%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -5.91%E -0.739%K -0.845%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 17:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.63%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.54%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.38%EV +7.69%E +0.592%K +0.641%G +0.049%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -5.91%E -0.739%K -0.845%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 17:50
betano_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.46%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV +7.69%E +0.592%K +0.641%G +0.049%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV -0.031%E -0.004%K -0.004%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 17:35
Bet Victor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.46%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV +7.69%E +0.592%K +0.641%G +0.049%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV -0.031%E -0.004%K -0.004%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 17:35
PlayUp🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.01%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.41%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.17%EV +7.69%E +0.592%K +0.641%G +0.049%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -20.61%E -3.05%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 17:50
Pinnacle🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.10%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000%12.76I 7.84%NM 7.53%EV +5.70%E +0.447%K +0.485%G +0.028%9.26I 10.80%NM 10.37%EV +8.91%E +0.962%K +1.08%G +0.096%4.1%2026-09-13 17:50
1xBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.66%EV -3.25%E -2.69%K -15.50%G +0.000%12.70I 7.87%NM 7.59%EV +5.21%E +0.410%K +0.445%G +0.023%7.56I 13.23%NM 12.75%EV -11.09%E -1.47%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 17:56
Grosvenor🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.52%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.41%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.60%EV +3.55%E +0.284%K +0.309%G +0.011%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.88%EV -5.91%E -0.739%K -0.845%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 17:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.60%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000%12.25I 8.16%NM 7.79%EV +1.48%E +0.121%K +0.131%G +0.002%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.61%EV +5.85%E +0.650%K +0.731%G +0.043%4.7%2026-09-13 17:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.60%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000%12.25I 8.16%NM 7.79%EV +1.48%E +0.121%K +0.131%G +0.002%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.61%EV +5.85%E +0.650%K +0.731%G +0.043%4.7%2026-09-13 17:50
BetUS🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.60%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000%12.25I 8.16%NM 7.79%EV +1.48%E +0.121%K +0.131%G +0.002%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.61%EV +5.85%E +0.650%K +0.731%G +0.043%4.7%2026-09-13 17:50
BetAnything🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.60%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000%12.25I 8.16%NM 7.79%EV +1.48%E +0.121%K +0.131%G +0.002%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.61%EV +5.85%E +0.650%K +0.731%G +0.043%4.7%2026-09-13 17:50
Coolbet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.54%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.95%EV -0.593%E -0.049%K -0.054%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.92%EV -5.91%E -0.739%K -0.845%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 17:45
DraftKings🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.96%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -0.593%E -0.049%K -0.054%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.14%EV -0.031%E -0.004%K -0.004%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 17:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.96%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.41%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.86%EV -0.593%E -0.049%K -0.054%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.17%EV -8.85%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 17:45
Fanatics🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV -0.593%E -0.049%K -0.054%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.76%EV -5.91%E -0.739%K -0.845%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 17:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.65%EV -7.25%E -6.25%K -45.33%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.80%EV -0.593%E -0.049%K -0.054%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.55%EV -4.74%E -0.585%K -0.667%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 17:56
SportsBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.23%EV -8.05%E -7.00%K -53.68%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -0.593%E -0.049%K -0.054%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -0.031%E -0.004%K -0.004%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 17:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.23%EV -8.05%E -7.00%K -53.68%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -0.593%E -0.049%K -0.054%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -0.031%E -0.004%K -0.004%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 17:40
Casumo🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.37%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.41%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.14%EV -4.73%E -0.412%K -0.451%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -11.79%E -1.57%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 17:11
Unibet (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.37%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.41%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.14%EV -4.73%E -0.412%K -0.451%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -11.79%E -1.57%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 17:11
betPARX🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.37%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.41%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.14%EV -4.73%E -0.412%K -0.451%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -11.79%E -1.57%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 17:09
BetMGM🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.29%EV -3.25%E -2.69%K -15.50%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.72%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -5.91%E -0.739%K -0.845%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 17:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.42%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.27%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.66%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV -5.91%E -0.739%K -0.845%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 17:45
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.42%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.27%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.66%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV -5.91%E -0.739%K -0.845%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 17:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.56%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.54%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.61%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -5.91%E -0.739%K -0.845%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 17:56
Codere (IT)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.56%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.54%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.61%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -5.91%E -0.739%K -0.845%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 17:56
Bovada🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.52%EV -7.25%E -6.25%K -45.33%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -0.031%E -0.004%K -0.004%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 17:45
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.22%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -11.79%E -1.57%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 17:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.22%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -11.79%E -1.57%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 17:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.22%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -11.79%E -1.57%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 17:45
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.22%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -11.79%E -1.57%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 17:45
Unibet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.22%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -11.79%E -1.57%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 17:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.22%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -11.79%E -1.57%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 17:45
betfred_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.52%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -17.67%E -2.52%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 17:45
Bet Right🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.52%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -17.67%E -2.52%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 17:45
FanDuel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.39%EV -9.65%E -8.54%K -74.24%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.26%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -5.91%E -0.739%K -0.845%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-13 17:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.53%EV -10.45%E -9.33%K -87.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.20%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.27%EV -5.91%E -0.739%K -0.845%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-13 17:50
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 80.67%EV -11.25%E -10.14%K -102.27%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.14%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.19%EV -5.91%E -0.739%K -0.845%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 17:50
BetRivers🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.21%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.72%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -17.67%E -2.52%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 17:11
Virgin Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -7.25%E -6.25%K -45.33%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.66%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -17.67%E -2.52%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 17:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -7.25%E -6.25%K -45.33%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.66%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -17.67%E -2.52%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 17:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -7.25%E -6.25%K -45.33%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.66%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -17.67%E -2.52%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 17:00
TABtouch🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -7.25%E -6.25%K -45.33%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.66%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -17.67%E -2.52%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 78.50%EV -8.05%E -7.00%K -53.68%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.60%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -17.67%E -2.52%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-13 17:16
NetBet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 79.92%EV -10.45%E -9.33%K -87.09%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.53%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.55%EV -8.85%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 17:55
Betway🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.19%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -17.16%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV +5.85%E +0.650%K +0.731%G +0.043%6.6%2026-09-13 17:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 78.66%EV -8.85%E -7.76%K -63.22%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -17.16%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.37%EV -14.73%E -2.03%K -2.36%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-13 17:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 79.01%EV -9.65%E -8.54%K -74.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -17.16%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.06%EV -12.97%E -1.75%K -2.03%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 17:56
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.18%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.63%EV -21.30%E -2.24%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -11.79%E -1.57%K -1.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 17:55
Sky Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 78.10%EV -9.65%E -8.54%K -74.24%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.29%EV -21.30%E -2.24%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -17.67%E -2.52%K -2.95%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-13 17:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.21%EV -7.25%E -6.25%K -45.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -25.44%E -2.83%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.71%EV -8.85%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 17:56
Winamax (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 77.91%EV -7.25%E -6.25%K -45.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV -25.44%E -2.83%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -11.79%E -1.57%K -1.81%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 17:55
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.80%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.85%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.35%0.6%2026-09-13 17:56
Matchbook◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.80%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.85%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.35%0.6%2026-09-13 17:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.60%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.08%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.32%0.9%2026-09-13 17:56
Smarkets◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.42%14.01I 7.14%NM 7.06%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.52%1.1%2026-09-13 17:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.41%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.06%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.52%1.1%2026-09-13 17:50
Kalshi◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.24%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.86%1.3%2026-09-13 17:50