StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

PSV Eindhoven v Sparta Rotterdam

Matchstart: 2026-09-13 18:00 UTC

Slutresultat: PSV Eindhoven 4–1 Sparta Rotterdam

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

56 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

PSV Eindhoven (Hemma)

Prognos 79.96%1.25rättvist odds
EV -3.25%
Fördel -2.69%
Kelly -15.50%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.21

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
77.91%79.92%79.78%82.10%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.111.171.171.2190.09%85.59%85.47%82.64%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Sparta Rotterdam (Borta)

Prognos 8.28%12.07rättvist odds
EV +20.12%
Fördel +1.39%
Kelly +1.49%
Tillväxt +0.300%

med antagandet om högsta odds 14.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
6.52%8.32%8.41%10.08%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
9.0011.4311.0014.5011.11%8.75%9.09%6.90%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 11.76%8.50rättvist odds
EV +8.91%
Fördel +0.962%
Kelly +1.08%
Tillväxt +0.096%

med antagandet om högsta odds 9.26

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
10.37%11.76%11.81%14.10%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
6.707.807.759.2614.93%12.82%12.90%10.80%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: PSV Eindhoven (Hemma): 79.96%; Sparta Rotterdam (Borta): 8.28%; Oavgjort: 11.76%. För Sparta Rotterdam (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 12.07. 15 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 14.50, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +20.12%.

Spelbolagsodds (56 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Betsson🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.39%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.54%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.52%EV +20.12%E +1.39%K +1.49%G +0.300%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -21.20%E -3.16%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 17:45
NordicBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.39%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.54%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.52%EV +20.12%E +1.39%K +1.49%G +0.300%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -21.20%E -3.16%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 17:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.20%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.54%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.43%EV +7.69%E +0.592%K +0.641%G +0.049%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -0.031%E -0.004%K -0.004%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-13 17:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.63%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.54%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.38%EV +7.69%E +0.592%K +0.641%G +0.049%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -5.91%E -0.739%K -0.845%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 17:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.63%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.54%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.38%EV +7.69%E +0.592%K +0.641%G +0.049%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -5.91%E -0.739%K -0.845%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 17:50
betano_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.46%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV +7.69%E +0.592%K +0.641%G +0.049%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV -0.031%E -0.004%K -0.004%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 17:35
Bet Victor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.46%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV +7.69%E +0.592%K +0.641%G +0.049%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV -0.031%E -0.004%K -0.004%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 17:35
PlayUp🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.01%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.41%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.17%EV +7.69%E +0.592%K +0.641%G +0.049%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -20.61%E -3.05%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 17:50
Pinnacle🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.10%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000%12.76I 7.84%NM 7.53%EV +5.70%E +0.447%K +0.485%G +0.028%9.26I 10.80%NM 10.37%EV +8.91%E +0.962%K +1.08%G +0.096%4.1%2026-09-13 17:50
1xBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.66%EV -3.25%E -2.69%K -15.50%G +0.000%12.70I 7.87%NM 7.59%EV +5.21%E +0.410%K +0.445%G +0.023%7.56I 13.23%NM 12.75%EV -11.09%E -1.47%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 17:56
Grosvenor🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.52%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.41%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.60%EV +3.55%E +0.284%K +0.309%G +0.011%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.88%EV -5.91%E -0.739%K -0.845%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 17:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.60%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000%12.25I 8.16%NM 7.79%EV +1.48%E +0.121%K +0.131%G +0.002%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.61%EV +5.85%E +0.650%K +0.731%G +0.043%4.7%2026-09-13 17:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.60%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000%12.25I 8.16%NM 7.79%EV +1.48%E +0.121%K +0.131%G +0.002%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.61%EV +5.85%E +0.650%K +0.731%G +0.043%4.7%2026-09-13 17:50
BetUS🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.60%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000%12.25I 8.16%NM 7.79%EV +1.48%E +0.121%K +0.131%G +0.002%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.61%EV +5.85%E +0.650%K +0.731%G +0.043%4.7%2026-09-13 17:50
BetAnything🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.60%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000%12.25I 8.16%NM 7.79%EV +1.48%E +0.121%K +0.131%G +0.002%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.61%EV +5.85%E +0.650%K +0.731%G +0.043%4.7%2026-09-13 17:50
Coolbet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.54%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.95%EV -0.593%E -0.049%K -0.054%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.92%EV -5.91%E -0.739%K -0.845%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 17:45
DraftKings🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.96%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -0.593%E -0.049%K -0.054%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.14%EV -0.031%E -0.004%K -0.004%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 17:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.96%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.41%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.86%EV -0.593%E -0.049%K -0.054%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.17%EV -8.85%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 17:45
Fanatics🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV -0.593%E -0.049%K -0.054%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.76%EV -5.91%E -0.739%K -0.845%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 17:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.65%EV -7.25%E -6.25%K -45.33%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.80%EV -0.593%E -0.049%K -0.054%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.55%EV -4.74%E -0.585%K -0.667%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 17:56
SportsBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.23%EV -8.05%E -7.00%K -53.68%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -0.593%E -0.049%K -0.054%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -0.031%E -0.004%K -0.004%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 17:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.23%EV -8.05%E -7.00%K -53.68%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -0.593%E -0.049%K -0.054%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -0.031%E -0.004%K -0.004%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 17:40
Casumo🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.37%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.41%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.14%EV -4.73%E -0.412%K -0.451%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -11.79%E -1.57%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 17:11
Unibet (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.37%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.41%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.14%EV -4.73%E -0.412%K -0.451%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -11.79%E -1.57%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 17:11
betPARX🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.37%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.41%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.14%EV -4.73%E -0.412%K -0.451%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -11.79%E -1.57%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 17:09
BetMGM🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.29%EV -3.25%E -2.69%K -15.50%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.72%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -5.91%E -0.739%K -0.845%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 17:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.42%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.27%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.66%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV -5.91%E -0.739%K -0.845%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 17:45
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.42%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.27%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.66%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV -5.91%E -0.739%K -0.845%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 17:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.56%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.54%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.61%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -5.91%E -0.739%K -0.845%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 17:56
Codere (IT)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.56%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.54%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.61%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -5.91%E -0.739%K -0.845%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 17:56
Bovada🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.52%EV -7.25%E -6.25%K -45.33%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -0.031%E -0.004%K -0.004%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 17:45
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.22%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -11.79%E -1.57%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 17:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.22%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -11.79%E -1.57%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 17:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.22%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -11.79%E -1.57%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 17:45
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.22%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -11.79%E -1.57%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 17:45
Unibet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.22%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -11.79%E -1.57%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 17:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.22%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -11.79%E -1.57%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 17:45
betfred_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.52%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -17.67%E -2.52%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 17:45
Bet Right🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.52%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -17.67%E -2.52%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 17:45
FanDuel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.39%EV -9.65%E -8.54%K -74.24%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.26%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -5.91%E -0.739%K -0.845%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-13 17:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.53%EV -10.45%E -9.33%K -87.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.20%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.27%EV -5.91%E -0.739%K -0.845%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-13 17:50
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 80.67%EV -11.25%E -10.14%K -102.27%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.14%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.19%EV -5.91%E -0.739%K -0.845%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 17:50
BetRivers🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.21%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.72%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -17.67%E -2.52%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 17:11
Virgin Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -7.25%E -6.25%K -45.33%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.66%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -17.67%E -2.52%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 17:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -7.25%E -6.25%K -45.33%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.66%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -17.67%E -2.52%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 17:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -7.25%E -6.25%K -45.33%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.66%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -17.67%E -2.52%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 17:00
TABtouch🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -7.25%E -6.25%K -45.33%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.66%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -17.67%E -2.52%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 78.50%EV -8.05%E -7.00%K -53.68%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.60%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -17.67%E -2.52%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-13 17:16
NetBet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 79.92%EV -10.45%E -9.33%K -87.09%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.53%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.55%EV -8.85%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 17:55
Betway🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.19%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -17.16%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV +5.85%E +0.650%K +0.731%G +0.043%6.6%2026-09-13 17:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 78.66%EV -8.85%E -7.76%K -63.22%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -17.16%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.37%EV -14.73%E -2.03%K -2.36%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-13 17:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 79.01%EV -9.65%E -8.54%K -74.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -17.16%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.06%EV -12.97%E -1.75%K -2.03%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 17:56
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.18%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.63%EV -21.30%E -2.24%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -11.79%E -1.57%K -1.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 17:55
Sky Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 78.10%EV -9.65%E -8.54%K -74.24%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.29%EV -21.30%E -2.24%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -17.67%E -2.52%K -2.95%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-13 17:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.21%EV -7.25%E -6.25%K -45.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -25.44%E -2.83%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.71%EV -8.85%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 17:56
Winamax (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 77.91%EV -7.25%E -6.25%K -45.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV -25.44%E -2.83%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -11.79%E -1.57%K -1.81%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 17:55
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.80%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.85%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.35%0.6%2026-09-13 17:56
Matchbook◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.80%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.85%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.35%0.6%2026-09-13 17:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.60%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.08%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.32%0.9%2026-09-13 17:56
Smarkets◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.42%14.01I 7.14%NM 7.06%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.52%1.1%2026-09-13 17:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.41%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.06%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.52%1.1%2026-09-13 17:50
Kalshi◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.24%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.86%1.3%2026-09-13 17:50