Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 1.21
avec la cote maximale 14.50
avec la cote maximale 9.26
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : PSV Eindhoven (Local) : 79.96% ; Sparta Rotterdam (Visiteur) : 8.28% ; Match nul : 11.76%. Pour Sparta Rotterdam (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 12.07. 15 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 14.50, soit une espérance positive de +20.12%.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.39%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.52%EV +20.12%E +1.39%K +1.49%G +0.300% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -21.20%E -3.16%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-13 17:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.39%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.52%EV +20.12%E +1.39%K +1.49%G +0.300% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -21.20%E -3.16%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-13 17:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.20%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.43%EV +7.69%E +0.592%K +0.641%G +0.049% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -0.031%E -0.004%K -0.004%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-13 17:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.63%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.38%EV +7.69%E +0.592%K +0.641%G +0.049% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -5.91%E -0.739%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-13 17:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.63%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.38%EV +7.69%E +0.592%K +0.641%G +0.049% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -5.91%E -0.739%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-13 17:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.46%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV +7.69%E +0.592%K +0.641%G +0.049% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV -0.031%E -0.004%K -0.004%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-13 17:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.46%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV +7.69%E +0.592%K +0.641%G +0.049% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV -0.031%E -0.004%K -0.004%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-13 17:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.01%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.41%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.17%EV +7.69%E +0.592%K +0.641%G +0.049% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -20.61%E -3.05%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-13 17:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.10%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000% | 12.76I 7.84%NM 7.53%EV +5.70%E +0.447%K +0.485%G +0.028% | 9.26I 10.80%NM 10.37%EV +8.91%E +0.962%K +1.08%G +0.096% | 4.1% | 2026-09-13 17:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.66%EV -3.25%E -2.69%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 12.70I 7.87%NM 7.59%EV +5.21%E +0.410%K +0.445%G +0.023% | 7.56I 13.23%NM 12.75%EV -11.09%E -1.47%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-13 17:56 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.52%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.41%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.60%EV +3.55%E +0.284%K +0.309%G +0.011% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.88%EV -5.91%E -0.739%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-13 17:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.60%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000% | 12.25I 8.16%NM 7.79%EV +1.48%E +0.121%K +0.131%G +0.002% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.61%EV +5.85%E +0.650%K +0.731%G +0.043% | 4.7% | 2026-09-13 17:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.60%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000% | 12.25I 8.16%NM 7.79%EV +1.48%E +0.121%K +0.131%G +0.002% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.61%EV +5.85%E +0.650%K +0.731%G +0.043% | 4.7% | 2026-09-13 17:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.60%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000% | 12.25I 8.16%NM 7.79%EV +1.48%E +0.121%K +0.131%G +0.002% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.61%EV +5.85%E +0.650%K +0.731%G +0.043% | 4.7% | 2026-09-13 17:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.60%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000% | 12.25I 8.16%NM 7.79%EV +1.48%E +0.121%K +0.131%G +0.002% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.61%EV +5.85%E +0.650%K +0.731%G +0.043% | 4.7% | 2026-09-13 17:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.95%EV -0.593%E -0.049%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.92%EV -5.91%E -0.739%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-13 17:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.96%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -0.593%E -0.049%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.14%EV -0.031%E -0.004%K -0.004%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 17:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.96%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.41%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.86%EV -0.593%E -0.049%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.17%EV -8.85%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 17:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV -0.593%E -0.049%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.76%EV -5.91%E -0.739%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 17:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.65%EV -7.25%E -6.25%K -45.33%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.80%EV -0.593%E -0.049%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.55%EV -4.74%E -0.585%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-13 17:56 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.23%EV -8.05%E -7.00%K -53.68%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -0.593%E -0.049%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -0.031%E -0.004%K -0.004%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 17:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.23%EV -8.05%E -7.00%K -53.68%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -0.593%E -0.049%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -0.031%E -0.004%K -0.004%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.37%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.41%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.14%EV -4.73%E -0.412%K -0.451%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -11.79%E -1.57%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-13 17:11 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.37%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.41%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.14%EV -4.73%E -0.412%K -0.451%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -11.79%E -1.57%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-13 17:11 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.37%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.41%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.14%EV -4.73%E -0.412%K -0.451%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -11.79%E -1.57%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-13 17:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.29%EV -3.25%E -2.69%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.72%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -5.91%E -0.739%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-13 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.42%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.66%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV -5.91%E -0.739%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-13 17:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.42%EV -4.05%E -3.38%K -20.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.66%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV -5.91%E -0.739%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-13 17:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.56%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.61%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -5.91%E -0.739%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 17:56 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.56%EV -4.85%E -4.08%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.61%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -5.91%E -0.739%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 17:56 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.52%EV -7.25%E -6.25%K -45.33%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -0.031%E -0.004%K -0.004%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 17:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.22%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -11.79%E -1.57%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-13 17:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.22%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -11.79%E -1.57%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-13 17:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.22%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -11.79%E -1.57%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-13 17:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.22%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -11.79%E -1.57%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-13 17:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.22%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -11.79%E -1.57%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-13 17:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.22%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -11.79%E -1.57%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-13 17:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.52%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -17.67%E -2.52%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-13 17:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.52%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -17.67%E -2.52%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-13 17:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.39%EV -9.65%E -8.54%K -74.24%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.26%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -5.91%E -0.739%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-13 17:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.53%EV -10.45%E -9.33%K -87.09%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.20%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.27%EV -5.91%E -0.739%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-13 17:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 80.67%EV -11.25%E -10.14%K -102.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.14%EV -8.88%E -0.807%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.19%EV -5.91%E -0.739%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-13 17:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.21%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.72%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -17.67%E -2.52%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-13 17:11 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -7.25%E -6.25%K -45.33%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.66%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -17.67%E -2.52%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-13 17:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -7.25%E -6.25%K -45.33%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.66%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -17.67%E -2.52%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-13 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -7.25%E -6.25%K -45.33%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.66%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -17.67%E -2.52%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-13 17:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -7.25%E -6.25%K -45.33%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.66%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -17.67%E -2.52%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-13 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.50%EV -8.05%E -7.00%K -53.68%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.60%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -17.67%E -2.52%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-13 17:16 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 79.92%EV -10.45%E -9.33%K -87.09%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.53%EV -13.02%E -1.24%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.55%EV -8.85%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-13 17:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.19%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -17.16%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV +5.85%E +0.650%K +0.731%G +0.043% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 17:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.66%EV -8.85%E -7.76%K -63.22%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -17.16%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.37%EV -14.73%E -2.03%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-13 17:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 79.01%EV -9.65%E -8.54%K -74.24%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -17.16%E -1.72%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.06%EV -12.97%E -1.75%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-13 17:56 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.18%EV -6.45%E -5.52%K -37.96%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.63%EV -21.30%E -2.24%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -11.79%E -1.57%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-13 17:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 78.10%EV -9.65%E -8.54%K -74.24%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.29%EV -21.30%E -2.24%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -17.67%E -2.52%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-13 17:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.21%EV -7.25%E -6.25%K -45.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -25.44%E -2.83%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.71%EV -8.85%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-13 17:56 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 77.91%EV -7.25%E -6.25%K -45.33%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV -25.44%E -2.83%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -11.79%E -1.57%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-13 17:55 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.80% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.85% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.35% | 0.6% | 2026-09-13 17:56 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.80% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.85% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.35% | 0.6% | 2026-09-13 17:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.60% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.08% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.32% | 0.9% | 2026-09-13 17:56 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.42% | 14.01I 7.14%NM 7.06% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.52% | 1.1% | 2026-09-13 17:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.41% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.06% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.52% | 1.1% | 2026-09-13 17:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.24% | 14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.86% | 1.3% | 2026-09-13 17:50 |