默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

PSV Eindhoven v Groningen

开赛时间: 2026-08-23 12:30 UTC

最终结果: PSV Eindhoven 5–1 Groningen

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

56 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

PSV Eindhoven (主队)

预测 74.08%1.35公平赔率
EV -2.95%
优势 -2.25%
Kelly -9.52%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.31

博彩公司预测分布
71.64%73.96%74.06%76.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.201.261.251.3183.33%79.52%80.00%76.34%最小值均值中位数最大值

Groningen (客队)

预测 10.98%9.10公平赔率
EV +15.34%
优势 +1.46%
Kelly +1.61%
增长率 +0.248%

假设最高赔率为 10.50

博彩公司预测分布
9.18%10.98%10.99%12.80%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.008.738.5010.5014.29%11.45%11.76%9.52%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 14.93%6.70公平赔率
EV +4.52%
优势 +0.645%
Kelly +0.753%
增长率 +0.034%

假设最高赔率为 7.00

博彩公司预测分布
13.63%15.06%14.95%16.82%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.506.136.107.0018.18%16.32%16.39%14.29%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:PSV Eindhoven (主队):74.08%;Groningen (客队):10.98%;平局:14.93%。 对于“Groningen (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为9.10。 当时有15家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为10.50,对应+15.34%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (56 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.39%EV -5.91%E -4.66%K -21.90%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.24%EV +15.34%E +1.46%K +1.61%G +0.248%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.37%EV +0.785%E +0.116%K +0.137%G +0.001%3.1%2026-08-23 12:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.53%EV -6.65%E -5.28%K -25.59%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.18%EV +15.34%E +1.46%K +1.61%G +0.248%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.29%EV +0.785%E +0.116%K +0.137%G +0.001%3.7%2026-08-23 12:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.53%EV -6.65%E -5.28%K -25.59%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.18%EV +15.34%E +1.46%K +1.61%G +0.248%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.29%EV +0.785%E +0.116%K +0.137%G +0.001%3.7%2026-08-23 12:25
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.94%EV -2.95%E -2.25%K -9.52%G +0.000%10.20I 9.80%NM 9.50%EV +12.05%E +1.18%K +1.31%G +0.158%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.56%EV -12.65%E -2.16%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-23 12:25
Coolbet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.77%EV -6.65%E -5.28%K -25.59%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.55%EV +9.85%E +0.985%K +1.09%G +0.108%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.69%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 12:20
Grosvenor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.74%EV -7.40%E -5.92%K -29.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.47%EV +9.85%E +0.985%K +1.09%G +0.108%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.79%EV -4.44%E -0.694%K -0.822%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 12:25
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.33%EV -7.40%E -5.92%K -29.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +4.36%E +0.459%K +0.513%G +0.022%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.63%EV +4.52%E +0.645%K +0.753%G +0.034%4.8%2026-08-23 12:24
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.33%EV -7.40%E -5.92%K -29.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +4.36%E +0.459%K +0.513%G +0.022%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.63%EV +4.52%E +0.645%K +0.753%G +0.034%4.8%2026-08-23 12:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -7.40%E -5.92%K -29.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +4.36%E +0.459%K +0.513%G +0.022%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -6.68%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 12:25
Casumo🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -7.40%E -5.92%K -29.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +4.36%E +0.459%K +0.513%G +0.022%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -6.68%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 12:25
betPARX🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -7.40%E -5.92%K -29.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +4.36%E +0.459%K +0.513%G +0.022%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -6.68%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 12:25
NordicBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.36%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.28%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.18%EV +2.16%E +0.232%K +0.260%G +0.006%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.46%EV -14.15%E -2.46%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-23 12:25
Betsson🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.36%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.28%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.18%EV +2.16%E +0.232%K +0.260%G +0.006%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.46%EV -14.15%E -2.46%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-23 12:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.33%EV -7.40%E -5.92%K -29.58%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.18%EV +1.61%E +0.174%K +0.195%G +0.003%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 12:20
SportsBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.59%EV -8.14%E -6.56%K -33.90%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.00%EV +1.61%E +0.174%K +0.195%G +0.003%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -10.41%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 12:15
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.28%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -1.14%E -0.126%K -0.142%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -10.41%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 12:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.69%EV -7.40%E -5.92%K -29.58%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -1.14%E -0.126%K -0.142%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -6.68%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 12:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -7.40%E -5.92%K -29.58%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -1.14%E -0.126%K -0.142%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.04%EV -7.43%E -1.20%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 12:10
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.40%E -5.92%K -29.58%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -1.14%E -0.126%K -0.142%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -10.41%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 12:25
Pinnacle🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.42%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.28%G +0.000%8.88I 11.26%NM 10.81%EV -2.45%E -0.276%K -0.311%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.77%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-23 12:25
BetUS🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.82%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.28%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.95%EV -4.43%E -0.509%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.24%EV -6.68%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 12:25
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.06%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.28%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.24%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 12:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.98%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.28%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.23%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.80%EV -3.69%E -0.573%K -0.678%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 11:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.98%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.28%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.23%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.80%EV -3.69%E -0.573%K -0.678%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 11:25
BetAnything🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.98%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.28%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.23%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.80%EV -3.69%E -0.573%K -0.678%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 11:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.21%EV -5.17%E -4.04%K -18.47%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 12:15
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.21%EV -5.17%E -4.04%K -18.47%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 12:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.36%EV -5.91%E -4.66%K -21.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.11%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 12:14
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.17%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.28%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.41%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 12:20
Bovada🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.93%EV -5.91%E -4.66%K -21.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.05%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -6.68%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 12:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.66%EV -7.40%E -5.92%K -29.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 12:20
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.29%EV -5.17%E -4.04%K -18.47%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -17.88%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 12:25
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -7.40%E -5.92%K -29.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -10.41%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-23 09:40
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.93%EV -8.14%E -6.56%K -33.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -10.41%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 12:04
Bet Right🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.93%EV -8.14%E -6.56%K -33.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -10.41%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 12:20
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -7.40%E -5.92%K -29.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -14.15%E -2.46%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 12:14
TABtouch🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 73.70%EV -8.88%E -7.22%K -38.59%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.63%EV -13.40%E -2.31%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-23 12:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 73.70%EV -8.88%E -7.22%K -38.59%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.63%EV -13.40%E -2.31%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-23 12:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.02%EV -10.36%E -8.56%K -49.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.54%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -13.40%E -2.31%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-23 12:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.02%EV -10.36%E -8.56%K -49.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.54%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -13.40%E -2.31%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-23 12:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.02%EV -10.36%E -8.56%K -49.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.54%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -13.40%E -2.31%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-23 12:25
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 73.56%EV -11.10%E -9.25%K -55.50%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.39%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -17.88%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-23 12:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 73.56%EV -11.10%E -9.25%K -55.50%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.39%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -17.88%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-23 12:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.94%EV -5.17%E -4.04%K -18.47%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.27%EV -7.73%E -0.920%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.79%EV -4.44%E -0.694%K -0.822%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-23 12:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.51%EV -11.10%E -9.25%K -55.50%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.84%EV -9.37%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.66%EV -8.92%E -1.46%K -1.75%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-23 12:23
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.15%EV -7.40%E -5.92%K -29.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -12.12%E -1.52%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 12:20
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.28%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -12.12%E -1.52%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -17.88%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 12:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.28%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -12.12%E -1.52%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -17.88%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 12:20
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.28%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -12.12%E -1.52%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -17.88%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 12:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.28%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -12.12%E -1.52%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -17.88%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 12:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.62%EV -8.14%E -6.56%K -33.90%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -12.12%E -1.52%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.97%EV -8.92%E -1.46%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-23 12:13
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -9.62%E -7.88%K -43.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -12.12%E -1.52%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -17.88%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 12:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 73.20%EV -8.88%E -7.22%K -38.59%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.54%EV -14.32%E -1.84%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.26%EV -11.91%E -2.02%K -2.43%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-23 12:15
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -7.40%E -5.92%K -29.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.12%EV -17.61%E -2.35%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -10.41%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 12:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.86%EV -7.40%E -5.92%K -29.58%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.56%EV -20.36%E -2.81%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -6.68%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 12:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.26%EV -8.14%E -6.56%K -33.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -23.11%E -3.30%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.93%EV -10.41%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-23 12:15
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.22%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.88%0.9%2026-08-23 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.05%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54%1.2%2026-08-23 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.05%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54%1.2%2026-08-23 12:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.05%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54%1.2%2026-08-23 12:25
Matchbook◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.04%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.99%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%1.2%2026-08-23 12:25
Smarkets◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.19%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.36%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.45%1.7%2026-08-23 12:25