Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

PSV Eindhoven v Groningen

Início: 2026-08-23 12:30 UTC

Final: PSV Eindhoven 5–1 Groningen

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

PSV Eindhoven (Local)

Previsão 74.08%1.35odd justa
EV -2.95%
Vantagem -2.25%
Kelly -9.52%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.31

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
71.64%73.96%74.06%76.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.201.261.251.3183.33%79.52%80.00%76.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Groningen (Visitante)

Previsão 10.98%9.10odd justa
EV +15.34%
Vantagem +1.46%
Kelly +1.61%
Crescimento +0.248%

pressupondo odds máximas de 10.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
9.18%10.98%10.99%12.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
7.008.738.5010.5014.29%11.45%11.76%9.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 14.93%6.70odd justa
EV +4.52%
Vantagem +0.645%
Kelly +0.753%
Crescimento +0.034%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
13.63%15.06%14.95%16.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.506.136.107.0018.18%16.32%16.39%14.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: PSV Eindhoven (Local): 74.08%; Groningen (Visitante): 10.98%; Empate: 14.93%. Para Groningen (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 9.10. 15 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 10.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +15.34%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.39%EV -5.91%E -4.66%K -21.90%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.24%EV +15.34%E +1.46%K +1.61%G +0.248%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.37%EV +0.785%E +0.116%K +0.137%G +0.001%3.1%2026-08-23 12:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.53%EV -6.65%E -5.28%K -25.59%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.18%EV +15.34%E +1.46%K +1.61%G +0.248%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.29%EV +0.785%E +0.116%K +0.137%G +0.001%3.7%2026-08-23 12:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.53%EV -6.65%E -5.28%K -25.59%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.18%EV +15.34%E +1.46%K +1.61%G +0.248%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.29%EV +0.785%E +0.116%K +0.137%G +0.001%3.7%2026-08-23 12:25
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.94%EV -2.95%E -2.25%K -9.52%G +0.000%10.20I 9.80%NM 9.50%EV +12.05%E +1.18%K +1.31%G +0.158%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.56%EV -12.65%E -2.16%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-23 12:25
Coolbet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.77%EV -6.65%E -5.28%K -25.59%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.55%EV +9.85%E +0.985%K +1.09%G +0.108%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.69%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 12:20
Grosvenor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.74%EV -7.40%E -5.92%K -29.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.47%EV +9.85%E +0.985%K +1.09%G +0.108%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.79%EV -4.44%E -0.694%K -0.822%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 12:25
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.33%EV -7.40%E -5.92%K -29.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +4.36%E +0.459%K +0.513%G +0.022%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.63%EV +4.52%E +0.645%K +0.753%G +0.034%4.8%2026-08-23 12:24
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.33%EV -7.40%E -5.92%K -29.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +4.36%E +0.459%K +0.513%G +0.022%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.63%EV +4.52%E +0.645%K +0.753%G +0.034%4.8%2026-08-23 12:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -7.40%E -5.92%K -29.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +4.36%E +0.459%K +0.513%G +0.022%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -6.68%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 12:25
Casumo🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -7.40%E -5.92%K -29.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +4.36%E +0.459%K +0.513%G +0.022%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -6.68%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 12:25
betPARX🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -7.40%E -5.92%K -29.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +4.36%E +0.459%K +0.513%G +0.022%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -6.68%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 12:25
NordicBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.36%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.28%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.18%EV +2.16%E +0.232%K +0.260%G +0.006%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.46%EV -14.15%E -2.46%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-23 12:25
Betsson🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.36%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.28%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.18%EV +2.16%E +0.232%K +0.260%G +0.006%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.46%EV -14.15%E -2.46%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-23 12:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.33%EV -7.40%E -5.92%K -29.58%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.18%EV +1.61%E +0.174%K +0.195%G +0.003%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 12:20
SportsBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.59%EV -8.14%E -6.56%K -33.90%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.00%EV +1.61%E +0.174%K +0.195%G +0.003%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -10.41%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 12:15
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.28%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -1.14%E -0.126%K -0.142%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -10.41%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 12:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.69%EV -7.40%E -5.92%K -29.58%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -1.14%E -0.126%K -0.142%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -6.68%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 12:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -7.40%E -5.92%K -29.58%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -1.14%E -0.126%K -0.142%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.04%EV -7.43%E -1.20%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 12:10
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.40%E -5.92%K -29.58%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -1.14%E -0.126%K -0.142%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -10.41%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 12:25
Pinnacle🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.42%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.28%G +0.000%8.88I 11.26%NM 10.81%EV -2.45%E -0.276%K -0.311%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.77%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-23 12:25
BetUS🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.82%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.28%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.95%EV -4.43%E -0.509%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.24%EV -6.68%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 12:25
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.06%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.28%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.24%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 12:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.98%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.28%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.23%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.80%EV -3.69%E -0.573%K -0.678%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 11:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.98%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.28%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.23%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.80%EV -3.69%E -0.573%K -0.678%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 11:25
BetAnything🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.98%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.28%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.23%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.80%EV -3.69%E -0.573%K -0.678%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 11:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.21%EV -5.17%E -4.04%K -18.47%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 12:15
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.21%EV -5.17%E -4.04%K -18.47%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 12:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.36%EV -5.91%E -4.66%K -21.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.11%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 12:14
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.17%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.28%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.41%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 12:20
Bovada🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.93%EV -5.91%E -4.66%K -21.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.05%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -6.68%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 12:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.66%EV -7.40%E -5.92%K -29.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 12:20
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.29%EV -5.17%E -4.04%K -18.47%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -17.88%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 12:25
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -7.40%E -5.92%K -29.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -10.41%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-23 09:40
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.93%EV -8.14%E -6.56%K -33.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -10.41%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 12:04
Bet Right🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.93%EV -8.14%E -6.56%K -33.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -10.41%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 12:20
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -7.40%E -5.92%K -29.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -14.15%E -2.46%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 12:14
TABtouch🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 73.70%EV -8.88%E -7.22%K -38.59%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.63%EV -13.40%E -2.31%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-23 12:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 73.70%EV -8.88%E -7.22%K -38.59%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.63%EV -13.40%E -2.31%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-23 12:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.02%EV -10.36%E -8.56%K -49.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.54%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -13.40%E -2.31%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-23 12:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.02%EV -10.36%E -8.56%K -49.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.54%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -13.40%E -2.31%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-23 12:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.02%EV -10.36%E -8.56%K -49.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.54%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -13.40%E -2.31%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-23 12:25
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 73.56%EV -11.10%E -9.25%K -55.50%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.39%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -17.88%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-23 12:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 73.56%EV -11.10%E -9.25%K -55.50%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.39%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -17.88%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-23 12:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.94%EV -5.17%E -4.04%K -18.47%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.27%EV -7.73%E -0.920%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.79%EV -4.44%E -0.694%K -0.822%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-23 12:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.51%EV -11.10%E -9.25%K -55.50%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.84%EV -9.37%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.66%EV -8.92%E -1.46%K -1.75%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-23 12:23
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.15%EV -7.40%E -5.92%K -29.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -12.12%E -1.52%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 12:20
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.28%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -12.12%E -1.52%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -17.88%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 12:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.28%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -12.12%E -1.52%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -17.88%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 12:20
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.28%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -12.12%E -1.52%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -17.88%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 12:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.28%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -12.12%E -1.52%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -17.88%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 12:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.62%EV -8.14%E -6.56%K -33.90%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -12.12%E -1.52%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.97%EV -8.92%E -1.46%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-23 12:13
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -9.62%E -7.88%K -43.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -12.12%E -1.52%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -17.88%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 12:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 73.20%EV -8.88%E -7.22%K -38.59%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.54%EV -14.32%E -1.84%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.26%EV -11.91%E -2.02%K -2.43%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-23 12:15
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -7.40%E -5.92%K -29.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.12%EV -17.61%E -2.35%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -10.41%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 12:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.86%EV -7.40%E -5.92%K -29.58%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.56%EV -20.36%E -2.81%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -6.68%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 12:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.26%EV -8.14%E -6.56%K -33.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -23.11%E -3.30%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.93%EV -10.41%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-23 12:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.22%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.88%0.9%2026-08-23 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.05%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54%1.2%2026-08-23 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.05%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54%1.2%2026-08-23 12:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.05%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54%1.2%2026-08-23 12:25
Matchbook◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.04%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.99%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%1.2%2026-08-23 12:25
Smarkets◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.19%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.36%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.45%1.7%2026-08-23 12:25