Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

PSV Eindhoven v Groningen

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-23 12:30 UTC

Score final : PSV Eindhoven 5–1 Groningen

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

PSV Eindhoven (Local)

Prévision 74.08%1.35cote équitable
EV -2.95%
Avantage -2.25%
Kelly -9.52%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.64%73.96%74.06%76.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.201.261.251.3183.33%79.52%80.00%76.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Groningen (Visiteur)

Prévision 10.98%9.10cote équitable
EV +15.34%
Avantage +1.46%
Kelly +1.61%
Croissance +0.248%

avec la cote maximale 10.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.18%10.98%10.99%12.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
7.008.738.5010.5014.29%11.45%11.76%9.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 14.93%6.70cote équitable
EV +4.52%
Avantage +0.645%
Kelly +0.753%
Croissance +0.034%

avec la cote maximale 7.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.63%15.06%14.95%16.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.506.136.107.0018.18%16.32%16.39%14.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : PSV Eindhoven (Local) : 74.08% ; Groningen (Visiteur) : 10.98% ; Match nul : 14.93%. Pour Groningen (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 9.10. 15 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 10.50, soit une espérance positive de +15.34%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.39%EV -5.91%E -4.66%K -21.90%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.24%EV +15.34%E +1.46%K +1.61%G +0.248%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.37%EV +0.785%E +0.116%K +0.137%G +0.001%3.1%2026-08-23 12:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.53%EV -6.65%E -5.28%K -25.59%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.18%EV +15.34%E +1.46%K +1.61%G +0.248%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.29%EV +0.785%E +0.116%K +0.137%G +0.001%3.7%2026-08-23 12:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.53%EV -6.65%E -5.28%K -25.59%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.18%EV +15.34%E +1.46%K +1.61%G +0.248%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.29%EV +0.785%E +0.116%K +0.137%G +0.001%3.7%2026-08-23 12:25
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.94%EV -2.95%E -2.25%K -9.52%G +0.000%10.20I 9.80%NM 9.50%EV +12.05%E +1.18%K +1.31%G +0.158%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.56%EV -12.65%E -2.16%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-23 12:25
Coolbet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.77%EV -6.65%E -5.28%K -25.59%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.55%EV +9.85%E +0.985%K +1.09%G +0.108%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.69%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 12:20
Grosvenor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.74%EV -7.40%E -5.92%K -29.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.47%EV +9.85%E +0.985%K +1.09%G +0.108%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.79%EV -4.44%E -0.694%K -0.822%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 12:25
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.33%EV -7.40%E -5.92%K -29.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +4.36%E +0.459%K +0.513%G +0.022%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.63%EV +4.52%E +0.645%K +0.753%G +0.034%4.8%2026-08-23 12:24
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.33%EV -7.40%E -5.92%K -29.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +4.36%E +0.459%K +0.513%G +0.022%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.63%EV +4.52%E +0.645%K +0.753%G +0.034%4.8%2026-08-23 12:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -7.40%E -5.92%K -29.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +4.36%E +0.459%K +0.513%G +0.022%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -6.68%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 12:25
Casumo🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -7.40%E -5.92%K -29.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +4.36%E +0.459%K +0.513%G +0.022%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -6.68%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 12:25
betPARX🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -7.40%E -5.92%K -29.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +4.36%E +0.459%K +0.513%G +0.022%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -6.68%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 12:25
NordicBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.36%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.28%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.18%EV +2.16%E +0.232%K +0.260%G +0.006%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.46%EV -14.15%E -2.46%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-23 12:25
Betsson🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.36%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.28%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.18%EV +2.16%E +0.232%K +0.260%G +0.006%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.46%EV -14.15%E -2.46%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-23 12:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.33%EV -7.40%E -5.92%K -29.58%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.18%EV +1.61%E +0.174%K +0.195%G +0.003%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 12:20
SportsBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.59%EV -8.14%E -6.56%K -33.90%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.00%EV +1.61%E +0.174%K +0.195%G +0.003%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -10.41%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 12:15
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.28%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -1.14%E -0.126%K -0.142%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -10.41%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 12:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.69%EV -7.40%E -5.92%K -29.58%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -1.14%E -0.126%K -0.142%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -6.68%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 12:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -7.40%E -5.92%K -29.58%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -1.14%E -0.126%K -0.142%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.04%EV -7.43%E -1.20%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 12:10
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.40%E -5.92%K -29.58%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -1.14%E -0.126%K -0.142%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -10.41%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 12:25
Pinnacle🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.42%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.28%G +0.000%8.88I 11.26%NM 10.81%EV -2.45%E -0.276%K -0.311%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.77%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-23 12:25
BetUS🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.82%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.28%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.95%EV -4.43%E -0.509%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.24%EV -6.68%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 12:25
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.06%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.28%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.24%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 12:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.98%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.28%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.23%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.80%EV -3.69%E -0.573%K -0.678%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 11:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.98%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.28%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.23%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.80%EV -3.69%E -0.573%K -0.678%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 11:25
BetAnything🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.98%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.28%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.23%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.80%EV -3.69%E -0.573%K -0.678%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 11:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.21%EV -5.17%E -4.04%K -18.47%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 12:15
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.21%EV -5.17%E -4.04%K -18.47%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 12:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.36%EV -5.91%E -4.66%K -21.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.11%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 12:14
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.17%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.28%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.41%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 12:20
Bovada🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.93%EV -5.91%E -4.66%K -21.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.05%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -6.68%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 12:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.66%EV -7.40%E -5.92%K -29.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 12:20
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.29%EV -5.17%E -4.04%K -18.47%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -17.88%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 12:25
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -7.40%E -5.92%K -29.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -10.41%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-23 09:40
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.93%EV -8.14%E -6.56%K -33.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -10.41%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 12:04
Bet Right🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.93%EV -8.14%E -6.56%K -33.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -10.41%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 12:20
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -7.40%E -5.92%K -29.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -14.15%E -2.46%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 12:14
TABtouch🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 73.70%EV -8.88%E -7.22%K -38.59%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.63%EV -13.40%E -2.31%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-23 12:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 73.70%EV -8.88%E -7.22%K -38.59%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.63%EV -13.40%E -2.31%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-23 12:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.02%EV -10.36%E -8.56%K -49.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.54%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -13.40%E -2.31%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-23 12:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.02%EV -10.36%E -8.56%K -49.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.54%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -13.40%E -2.31%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-23 12:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.02%EV -10.36%E -8.56%K -49.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.54%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -13.40%E -2.31%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-23 12:25
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 73.56%EV -11.10%E -9.25%K -55.50%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.39%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -17.88%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-23 12:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 73.56%EV -11.10%E -9.25%K -55.50%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.39%EV -6.63%E -0.780%K -0.884%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -17.88%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-23 12:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.94%EV -5.17%E -4.04%K -18.47%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.27%EV -7.73%E -0.920%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.79%EV -4.44%E -0.694%K -0.822%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-23 12:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.51%EV -11.10%E -9.25%K -55.50%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.84%EV -9.37%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.66%EV -8.92%E -1.46%K -1.75%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-23 12:23
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.15%EV -7.40%E -5.92%K -29.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -12.12%E -1.52%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -2.95%E -0.454%K -0.536%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 12:20
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.28%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -12.12%E -1.52%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -17.88%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 12:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.28%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -12.12%E -1.52%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -17.88%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 12:20
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.28%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -12.12%E -1.52%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -17.88%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 12:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -4.43%E -3.44%K -15.28%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -12.12%E -1.52%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -17.88%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 12:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.62%EV -8.14%E -6.56%K -33.90%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -12.12%E -1.52%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.97%EV -8.92%E -1.46%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-23 12:13
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -9.62%E -7.88%K -43.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -12.12%E -1.52%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -17.88%E -3.25%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 12:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 73.20%EV -8.88%E -7.22%K -38.59%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.54%EV -14.32%E -1.84%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.26%EV -11.91%E -2.02%K -2.43%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-23 12:15
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -7.40%E -5.92%K -29.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.12%EV -17.61%E -2.35%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -10.41%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 12:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.86%EV -7.40%E -5.92%K -29.58%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.56%EV -20.36%E -2.81%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -6.68%E -1.07%K -1.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 12:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.26%EV -8.14%E -6.56%K -33.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -23.11%E -3.30%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.93%EV -10.41%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-23 12:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.22%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.88%0.9%2026-08-23 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.05%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54%1.2%2026-08-23 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.05%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54%1.2%2026-08-23 12:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.05%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.42%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54%1.2%2026-08-23 12:25
Matchbook◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.04%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.99%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%1.2%2026-08-23 12:25
Smarkets◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.19%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.36%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.45%1.7%2026-08-23 12:25