The School of Odds

PSV Eindhoven v Fortuna Sittard

2026-08-08 18:00 UTC — Dutch Eredivisie

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Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

PSV Eindhoven (Local)

Prediction 76.92%1.30fair odd
EV -3.85%
Edge -3.08%
Kelly -15.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.39%77.02%76.86%79.78%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.081.191.191.2593%84%84%80%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Fortuna Sittard (Visit)

Prediction 9.67%10.34fair odd
EV +16.06%
Edge +1.34%
Kelly +1.46%
Growth +0.235%

assuming max odds 12.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.78%9.54%9.80%12.06%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
7.0010.0010.0012.0014%10%10%8%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 13.41%7.46fair odd
EV +0.570%
Edge +0.076%
Kelly +0.088%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 7.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.44%13.43%13.34%15.08%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
5.756.897.007.5017%15%14%13%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.88%EV -6.93%E -5.73%K -32.99%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.95%EV +16.06%E +1.34%K +1.46%G +0.235%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.16%EV -2.78%E -0.384%K -0.445%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-23 07:19
BetRivers1.17I 85.47%NM 79.78%EV -10.01%E -8.55%K -58.85%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +16.06%E +1.34%K +1.46%G +0.235%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +0.570%E +0.076%K +0.088%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 11:30
Unibet (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.78%EV -10.01%E -8.55%K -58.85%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +16.06%E +1.34%K +1.46%G +0.235%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +0.570%E +0.076%K +0.088%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 14:15
Unibet (NL)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.78%EV -10.01%E -8.55%K -58.85%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +16.06%E +1.34%K +1.46%G +0.235%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +0.570%E +0.076%K +0.088%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 14:14
Casumo1.17I 85.47%NM 79.78%EV -10.01%E -8.55%K -58.85%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +16.06%E +1.34%K +1.46%G +0.235%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +0.570%E +0.076%K +0.088%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 14:19
Grosvenor1.17I 85.47%NM 79.78%EV -10.01%E -8.55%K -58.85%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +16.06%E +1.34%K +1.46%G +0.235%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +0.570%E +0.076%K +0.088%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 14:20
Svenska Spel1.17I 85.47%NM 79.78%EV -10.01%E -8.55%K -58.85%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +16.06%E +1.34%K +1.46%G +0.235%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +0.570%E +0.076%K +0.088%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 14:19
ATG (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.78%EV -10.01%E -8.55%K -58.85%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +16.06%E +1.34%K +1.46%G +0.235%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +0.570%E +0.076%K +0.088%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 14:19
Unibet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.78%EV -10.01%E -8.55%K -58.85%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +16.06%E +1.34%K +1.46%G +0.235%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +0.570%E +0.076%K +0.088%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 14:40
betPARX1.17I 85.47%NM 79.78%EV -10.01%E -8.55%K -58.85%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +16.06%E +1.34%K +1.46%G +0.235%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +0.570%E +0.076%K +0.088%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 16:29
Betr (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -6.16%E -5.05%K -28.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV +6.39%E +0.581%K +0.639%G +0.041%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -6.13%E -0.876%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 07:19
SportsBet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.24%EV -8.47%E -7.11%K -44.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV +6.39%E +0.581%K +0.639%G +0.041%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -6.13%E -0.876%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 18:14
FanDuel1.18I 84.75%NM 78.38%EV -9.24%E -7.83%K -51.31%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +6.39%E +0.581%K +0.639%G +0.041%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -6.13%E -0.876%K -1.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-11 18:19
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 76.08%EV -3.85%E -3.08%K -15.41%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.06%EV +1.56%E +0.148%K +0.164%G +0.003%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.86%EV -14.18%E -2.22%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 15:35
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.08%EV -3.85%E -3.08%K -15.41%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.06%EV +1.56%E +0.148%K +0.164%G +0.003%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.86%EV -14.18%E -2.22%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 15:35
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.70%E -6.41%K -38.49%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV +1.56%E +0.148%K +0.164%G +0.003%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -6.13%E -0.876%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 18:09
betano_uk1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.70%E -6.41%K -38.49%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV +1.56%E +0.148%K +0.164%G +0.003%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -6.13%E -0.876%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 18:10
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.99%EV -5.39%E -4.38%K -23.43%G +0.000%10.40I 9.62%NM 9.22%EV +0.589%E +0.057%K +0.063%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +0.570%E +0.076%K +0.088%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-21 18:10
BoyleSports1.18I 84.75%NM 76.95%EV -9.24%E -7.83%K -51.31%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -3.28%E -0.328%K -0.364%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-21 18:10
TABtouch1.17I 85.47%NM 77.50%EV -10.01%E -8.55%K -58.85%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.07%EV -3.28%E -0.328%K -0.364%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.43%EV -9.49%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-06 12:05
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 77.10%EV -10.01%E -8.55%K -58.85%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -3.28%E -0.328%K -0.364%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.88%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-11 18:18
LiveScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 77.65%EV -10.77%E -9.29%K -67.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.01%EV -3.28%E -0.328%K -0.364%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.34%EV -9.49%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-06 14:14
Virgin Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 77.65%EV -10.77%E -9.29%K -67.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.01%EV -3.28%E -0.328%K -0.364%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.34%EV -9.49%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-06 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 77.65%EV -10.77%E -9.29%K -67.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.01%EV -3.28%E -0.328%K -0.364%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.34%EV -9.49%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-06 14:20
PMU (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 77.80%EV -11.54%E -10.04%K -76.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.95%EV -3.28%E -0.328%K -0.364%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.25%EV -9.49%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-06 14:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 77.40%EV -11.54%E -10.04%K -76.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.90%EV -3.28%E -0.328%K -0.364%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.69%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-11 18:20
Marathon Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.07%EV -6.93%E -5.73%K -32.99%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.61%EV -6.18%E -0.637%K -0.711%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -6.13%E -0.876%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 18:10
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 76.33%EV -3.85%E -3.08%K -15.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.63%EV -6.13%E -0.876%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 18:20
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 76.83%EV -4.62%E -3.73%K -19.25%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.03%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.14%EV -2.78%E -0.384%K -0.445%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 18:30
Fanatics1.22I 81.97%NM 76.76%EV -6.16%E -5.05%K -28.00%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -6.13%E -0.876%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.76%EV -6.16%E -5.05%K -28.00%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -6.13%E -0.876%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 18:20
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.74%EV -7.70%E -6.41%K -38.49%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV +0.570%E +0.076%K +0.088%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-23 02:15
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 75.98%EV -6.16%E -5.05%K -28.00%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 18:20
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.98%EV -6.16%E -5.05%K -28.00%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 18:20
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 75.98%EV -6.16%E -5.05%K -28.00%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 18:20
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.98%EV -6.16%E -5.05%K -28.00%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 18:20
Codere (IT)1.21I 82.64%NM 76.37%EV -6.93%E -5.73%K -32.99%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.04%EV -11.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.59%EV -8.82%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-23 09:34
Unibet (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.88%EV -7.70%E -6.41%K -38.49%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-23 09:34
Bovada1.23I 81.30%NM 76.65%EV -5.39%E -4.38%K -23.43%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.78%EV -15.37%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV +0.570%E +0.076%K +0.088%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-21 18:09
NetBet (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 77.39%EV -16.93%E -15.67%K -211.60%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 9.55%EV -15.37%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.06%EV -14.18%E -2.22%K -2.63%G +0.000%19.6%2026-07-25 09:10
Pinnacle1.23I 81.30%NM 76.62%EV -5.39%E -4.38%K -23.43%G +0.000%8.74I 11.44%NM 10.78%EV -15.47%E -1.77%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.48I 13.37%NM 12.60%EV +0.302%E +0.040%K +0.047%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-21 18:20
DraftKings1.21I 82.64%NM 76.03%EV -6.93%E -5.73%K -32.99%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -6.13%E -0.876%K -1.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-21 18:10
Betclic (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 75.24%EV -10.01%E -8.55%K -58.85%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.67%EV -20.21%E -2.45%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.09%EV -16.19%E -2.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-24 18:13
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 75.68%EV -7.70%E -6.41%K -38.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -22.62%E -2.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.97%EV -6.13%E -0.876%K -1.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-21 18:10
Sky Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 74.09%EV -10.01%E -8.55%K -58.85%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.84%EV -22.62%E -2.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.08%EV -22.90%E -3.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-11 18:19
Unibet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 74.27%EV -10.01%E -8.55%K -58.85%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.00%EV -23.59%E -2.99%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.73%EV -20.89%E -3.54%K -4.26%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-24 18:05
Winamax (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 74.45%EV -10.01%E -8.55%K -58.85%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.61%EV -27.46%E -3.66%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 13.94%EV -16.19%E -2.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-23 09:34
Winamax (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 73.39%EV -11.54%E -10.04%K -76.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.06%EV -32.30%E -4.61%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 14.55%EV -22.23%E -3.83%K -4.63%G +0.000%18.5%2026-07-23 09:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 78.38%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.84%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.79%2.9%2026-07-25 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 78.38%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.84%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.79%2.9%2026-07-25 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 78.38%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.84%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.79%2.9%2026-07-25 12:50
Smarkets1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.13%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.95%4.3%2026-07-25 12:50