The School of OddsPSV Eindhoven v Fortuna Sittard
Head to Head
Option 1: PSV Eindhoven (Local)
Odds
1.1090.91%Min
1.1487.61%Mean
1.1586.96%Median
1.1884.75%Max
Consensus probabilities
77.36%1.293Min
83.15%1.203Max
80.03%1.250Mean
80.03%1.250Median
80.03%1.250IQM
80.04%1.249Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.18 under the IQM model: 80.03%
EV -5.56%Edge -4.72%Kelly -30.91%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Fortuna Sittard (Visit)
Odds
10.0010.00%Min
13.247.56%Mean
13.907.19%Median
15.006.67%Max
Consensus probabilities
6.21%16.107Min
8.66%11.541Max
7.51%13.319Mean
7.51%13.319Median
7.51%13.319IQM
7.50%13.333Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 15.00 under the IQM model: 7.51%
EV +12.62%Edge +0.841%Kelly +0.901%Growth +0.114%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
6.2016.13%Min
7.7612.89%Mean
8.0012.50%Median
8.7511.43%Max
Consensus probabilities
10.64%9.396Min
13.97%7.156Max
12.46%8.025Mean
12.46%8.025Median
12.46%8.025IQM
12.46%8.026Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 8.75 under the IQM model: 12.46%
EV +9.04%Edge +1.03%Kelly +1.17%Growth +0.105%
Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | PSV Eindhoven (Local) | Fortuna Sittard (Visit) ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betr (AU) | 1.15I 86.96% NM 82.23%EV -7.96% E -6.93% K -53.10% G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67% NM 6.30%EV +12.62% E +0.841% K +0.901% G +0.114% | 8.25I 12.12% NM 11.46%EV +2.81% E +0.340% K +0.387% G +0.011% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 12:04 |
| SportsBet | 1.12I 89.29% NM 83.15%EV -10.37% E -9.26% K -86.38% G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67% NM 6.21%EV +12.62% E +0.841% K +0.901% G +0.114% | 8.75I 11.43% NM 10.64%EV +9.04% E +1.03% K +1.17% G +0.105% | 7.4% | 2026-07-05 12:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.10I 90.91% NM 82.23%EV -11.97% E -10.88% K -119.66% G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14% NM 6.46%EV +5.11% E +0.365% K +0.393% G +0.020% | 8.00I 12.50% NM 11.31%EV -0.309% E -0.039% K -0.044% G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-05 12:14 |
| 1xBet | 1.18I 84.75% NM 81.38%EV -5.56% E -4.72% K -30.91% G +0.000% | 13.90I 7.19% NM 6.91%EV +4.36% E +0.314% K +0.338% G +0.015% | 8.20I 12.20% NM 11.71%EV +2.18% E +0.266% K +0.303% G +0.007% | 4.1% | 2026-07-05 12:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.16I 86.21% NM 80.28%EV -7.16% E -6.18% K -44.78% G +0.000% | 12.75I 7.84% NM 7.30%EV -4.27% E -0.335% K -0.364% G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33% NM 12.42%EV -6.54% E -0.872% K -1.01% G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-05 12:04 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.16I 86.21% NM 79.78%EV -7.16% E -6.18% K -44.78% G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33% NM 7.71%EV -9.90% E -0.825% K -0.900% G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51% NM 12.51%EV -7.79% E -1.05% K -1.22% G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-05 12:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.12I 89.29% NM 77.36%EV -10.37% E -9.26% K -86.38% G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00% NM 8.66%EV -24.92% E -2.49% K -2.77% G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13% NM 13.97%EV -22.74% E -3.67% K -4.37% G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-07-05 12:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | PSV Eindhoven (Local) | Fortuna Sittard (Visit) | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.04I 96.15% | 1.04I 96.15% | 1.01I 99.01% | 191.3% | 2026-07-05 12:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.04I 96.15% | 1.04I 96.15% | 1.01I 99.01% | 191.3% | 2026-07-05 12:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.04I 96.15% | 1.04I 96.15% | 1.01I 99.01% | 191.3% | 2026-07-05 12:15 |