La escuela de los momios

PSV Eindhoven v Fortuna Sittard

2026-08-08 18:00 UTC — Dutch Eredivisie

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

PSV Eindhoven (Local)

Predicción 76.92%1.30momio equitativo
EV -3.85%
Ventaja -3.08%
Kelly -15.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
73.39%77.02%76.86%79.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.081.191.191.2592.59%83.96%84.39%80.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Fortuna Sittard (Visitante)

Predicción 9.67%10.34momio equitativo
EV +16.06%
Ventaja +1.34%
Kelly +1.46%
Crecimiento +0.235%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 12.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.78%9.54%9.80%12.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.0010.0010.0012.0014.29%10.00%10.00%8.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 13.41%7.46momio equitativo
EV +0.570%
Ventaja +0.076%
Kelly +0.088%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.44%13.43%13.34%15.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.756.897.007.5017.39%14.52%14.29%13.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.88%EV -6.93%E -5.73%K -32.99%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.95%EV +16.06%E +1.34%K +1.46%G +0.235%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.16%EV -2.78%E -0.384%K -0.445%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-23 07:19
BetRivers1.17I 85.47%NM 79.78%EV -10.01%E -8.55%K -58.85%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +16.06%E +1.34%K +1.46%G +0.235%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +0.570%E +0.076%K +0.088%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 11:30
Unibet (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.78%EV -10.01%E -8.55%K -58.85%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +16.06%E +1.34%K +1.46%G +0.235%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +0.570%E +0.076%K +0.088%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 14:15
Unibet (NL)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.78%EV -10.01%E -8.55%K -58.85%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +16.06%E +1.34%K +1.46%G +0.235%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +0.570%E +0.076%K +0.088%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 14:14
Casumo1.17I 85.47%NM 79.78%EV -10.01%E -8.55%K -58.85%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +16.06%E +1.34%K +1.46%G +0.235%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +0.570%E +0.076%K +0.088%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 14:19
Grosvenor1.17I 85.47%NM 79.78%EV -10.01%E -8.55%K -58.85%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +16.06%E +1.34%K +1.46%G +0.235%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +0.570%E +0.076%K +0.088%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 14:20
Svenska Spel1.17I 85.47%NM 79.78%EV -10.01%E -8.55%K -58.85%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +16.06%E +1.34%K +1.46%G +0.235%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +0.570%E +0.076%K +0.088%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 14:19
ATG (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.78%EV -10.01%E -8.55%K -58.85%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +16.06%E +1.34%K +1.46%G +0.235%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +0.570%E +0.076%K +0.088%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 14:19
Unibet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.78%EV -10.01%E -8.55%K -58.85%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +16.06%E +1.34%K +1.46%G +0.235%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +0.570%E +0.076%K +0.088%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 14:40
betPARX1.17I 85.47%NM 79.78%EV -10.01%E -8.55%K -58.85%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +16.06%E +1.34%K +1.46%G +0.235%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +0.570%E +0.076%K +0.088%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 16:29
Betr (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -6.16%E -5.05%K -28.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV +6.39%E +0.581%K +0.639%G +0.041%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -6.13%E -0.876%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 07:19
SportsBet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.24%EV -8.47%E -7.11%K -44.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV +6.39%E +0.581%K +0.639%G +0.041%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -6.13%E -0.876%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 18:14
FanDuel1.18I 84.75%NM 78.38%EV -9.24%E -7.83%K -51.31%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +6.39%E +0.581%K +0.639%G +0.041%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -6.13%E -0.876%K -1.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-11 18:19
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 76.08%EV -3.85%E -3.08%K -15.41%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.06%EV +1.56%E +0.148%K +0.164%G +0.003%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.86%EV -14.18%E -2.22%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 02:25
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.08%EV -3.85%E -3.08%K -15.41%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.06%EV +1.56%E +0.148%K +0.164%G +0.003%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.86%EV -14.18%E -2.22%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 02:25
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.70%E -6.41%K -38.49%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV +1.56%E +0.148%K +0.164%G +0.003%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -6.13%E -0.876%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 18:09
betano_uk1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.70%E -6.41%K -38.49%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV +1.56%E +0.148%K +0.164%G +0.003%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -6.13%E -0.876%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 18:10
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.99%EV -5.39%E -4.38%K -23.43%G +0.000%10.40I 9.62%NM 9.22%EV +0.589%E +0.057%K +0.063%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +0.570%E +0.076%K +0.088%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-21 18:10
BoyleSports1.18I 84.75%NM 76.95%EV -9.24%E -7.83%K -51.31%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -3.28%E -0.328%K -0.364%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-21 18:10
TABtouch1.17I 85.47%NM 77.50%EV -10.01%E -8.55%K -58.85%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.07%EV -3.28%E -0.328%K -0.364%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.43%EV -9.49%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-06 12:05
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 77.10%EV -10.01%E -8.55%K -58.85%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -3.28%E -0.328%K -0.364%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.88%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-11 18:18
LiveScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 77.65%EV -10.77%E -9.29%K -67.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.01%EV -3.28%E -0.328%K -0.364%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.34%EV -9.49%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-06 14:14
Virgin Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 77.65%EV -10.77%E -9.29%K -67.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.01%EV -3.28%E -0.328%K -0.364%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.34%EV -9.49%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-06 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 77.65%EV -10.77%E -9.29%K -67.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.01%EV -3.28%E -0.328%K -0.364%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.34%EV -9.49%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-06 14:20
PMU (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 77.80%EV -11.54%E -10.04%K -76.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.95%EV -3.28%E -0.328%K -0.364%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.25%EV -9.49%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-06 14:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 77.40%EV -11.54%E -10.04%K -76.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.90%EV -3.28%E -0.328%K -0.364%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.69%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-11 18:20
Marathon Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.07%EV -6.93%E -5.73%K -32.99%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.61%EV -6.18%E -0.637%K -0.711%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -6.13%E -0.876%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 18:10
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 76.33%EV -3.85%E -3.08%K -15.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.63%EV -6.13%E -0.876%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 18:20
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 76.83%EV -4.62%E -3.73%K -19.25%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.03%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.14%EV -2.78%E -0.384%K -0.445%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 18:30
Fanatics1.22I 81.97%NM 76.76%EV -6.16%E -5.05%K -28.00%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -6.13%E -0.876%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.76%EV -6.16%E -5.05%K -28.00%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -6.13%E -0.876%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 18:20
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.74%EV -7.70%E -6.41%K -38.49%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV +0.570%E +0.076%K +0.088%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-23 02:15
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 75.98%EV -6.16%E -5.05%K -28.00%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 18:20
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.98%EV -6.16%E -5.05%K -28.00%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 18:20
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 75.98%EV -6.16%E -5.05%K -28.00%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 18:20
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.98%EV -6.16%E -5.05%K -28.00%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 18:20
Codere (IT)1.21I 82.64%NM 76.37%EV -6.93%E -5.73%K -32.99%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.04%EV -11.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.59%EV -8.82%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-23 09:34
Unibet (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.88%EV -7.70%E -6.41%K -38.49%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-23 09:34
Bovada1.23I 81.30%NM 76.65%EV -5.39%E -4.38%K -23.43%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.78%EV -15.37%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV +0.570%E +0.076%K +0.088%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-21 18:09
NetBet (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 77.39%EV -16.93%E -15.67%K -211.60%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 9.55%EV -15.37%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.06%EV -14.18%E -2.22%K -2.63%G +0.000%19.6%2026-07-25 09:10
Pinnacle1.23I 81.30%NM 76.62%EV -5.39%E -4.38%K -23.43%G +0.000%8.74I 11.44%NM 10.78%EV -15.47%E -1.77%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.48I 13.37%NM 12.60%EV +0.302%E +0.040%K +0.047%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-21 18:20
DraftKings1.21I 82.64%NM 76.03%EV -6.93%E -5.73%K -32.99%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -6.13%E -0.876%K -1.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-21 18:10
Betclic (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 75.24%EV -10.01%E -8.55%K -58.85%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.67%EV -20.21%E -2.45%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.09%EV -16.19%E -2.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-24 18:13
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 75.68%EV -7.70%E -6.41%K -38.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -22.62%E -2.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.97%EV -6.13%E -0.876%K -1.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-21 18:10
Sky Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 74.09%EV -10.01%E -8.55%K -58.85%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.84%EV -22.62%E -2.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.08%EV -22.90%E -3.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-11 18:19
Unibet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 74.27%EV -10.01%E -8.55%K -58.85%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.00%EV -23.59%E -2.99%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.73%EV -20.89%E -3.54%K -4.26%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-24 18:05
Winamax (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 74.45%EV -10.01%E -8.55%K -58.85%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.61%EV -27.46%E -3.66%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 13.94%EV -16.19%E -2.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-23 09:34
Winamax (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 73.39%EV -11.54%E -10.04%K -76.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.06%EV -32.30%E -4.61%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 14.55%EV -22.23%E -3.83%K -4.63%G +0.000%18.5%2026-07-23 09:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 78.38%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.84%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.79%2.9%2026-07-25 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 78.38%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.84%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.79%2.9%2026-07-25 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 78.38%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.84%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.79%2.9%2026-07-25 12:50
Smarkets1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.13%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.95%4.3%2026-07-25 12:50