L’École des cotes

PSV Eindhoven v Fortuna Sittard

2026-08-08 18:00 UTC — Dutch Eredivisie

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

PSV Eindhoven (Local)

Prévision 76.92%1.30cote équitable
EV -3.85%
Avantage -3.08%
Kelly -15.41%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
73.39%77.02%76.86%79.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.081.191.191.2592.59%83.96%84.39%80.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Fortuna Sittard (Visiteur)

Prévision 9.67%10.34cote équitable
EV +16.06%
Avantage +1.34%
Kelly +1.46%
Croissance +0.235%

avec la cote maximale 12.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.78%9.54%9.80%12.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.0010.0010.0012.0014.29%10.00%10.00%8.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 13.41%7.46cote équitable
EV +0.570%
Avantage +0.076%
Kelly +0.088%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 7.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.44%13.43%13.34%15.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.756.897.007.5017.39%14.52%14.29%13.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.88%EV -6.93%E -5.73%K -32.99%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.95%EV +16.06%E +1.34%K +1.46%G +0.235%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.16%EV -2.78%E -0.384%K -0.445%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-23 07:19
BetRivers1.17I 85.47%NM 79.78%EV -10.01%E -8.55%K -58.85%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +16.06%E +1.34%K +1.46%G +0.235%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +0.570%E +0.076%K +0.088%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 11:30
Unibet (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.78%EV -10.01%E -8.55%K -58.85%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +16.06%E +1.34%K +1.46%G +0.235%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +0.570%E +0.076%K +0.088%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 14:15
Unibet (NL)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.78%EV -10.01%E -8.55%K -58.85%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +16.06%E +1.34%K +1.46%G +0.235%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +0.570%E +0.076%K +0.088%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 14:14
Casumo1.17I 85.47%NM 79.78%EV -10.01%E -8.55%K -58.85%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +16.06%E +1.34%K +1.46%G +0.235%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +0.570%E +0.076%K +0.088%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 14:19
Grosvenor1.17I 85.47%NM 79.78%EV -10.01%E -8.55%K -58.85%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +16.06%E +1.34%K +1.46%G +0.235%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +0.570%E +0.076%K +0.088%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 14:20
Svenska Spel1.17I 85.47%NM 79.78%EV -10.01%E -8.55%K -58.85%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +16.06%E +1.34%K +1.46%G +0.235%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +0.570%E +0.076%K +0.088%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 14:19
ATG (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.78%EV -10.01%E -8.55%K -58.85%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +16.06%E +1.34%K +1.46%G +0.235%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +0.570%E +0.076%K +0.088%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 14:19
Unibet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.78%EV -10.01%E -8.55%K -58.85%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +16.06%E +1.34%K +1.46%G +0.235%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +0.570%E +0.076%K +0.088%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 14:40
betPARX1.17I 85.47%NM 79.78%EV -10.01%E -8.55%K -58.85%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV +16.06%E +1.34%K +1.46%G +0.235%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +0.570%E +0.076%K +0.088%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 16:29
Betr (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -6.16%E -5.05%K -28.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV +6.39%E +0.581%K +0.639%G +0.041%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -6.13%E -0.876%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 07:19
SportsBet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.24%EV -8.47%E -7.11%K -44.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.46%EV +6.39%E +0.581%K +0.639%G +0.041%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -6.13%E -0.876%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 18:14
FanDuel1.18I 84.75%NM 78.38%EV -9.24%E -7.83%K -51.31%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +6.39%E +0.581%K +0.639%G +0.041%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -6.13%E -0.876%K -1.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-11 18:19
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 76.08%EV -3.85%E -3.08%K -15.41%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.06%EV +1.56%E +0.148%K +0.164%G +0.003%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.86%EV -14.18%E -2.22%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 01:34
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.08%EV -3.85%E -3.08%K -15.41%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.06%EV +1.56%E +0.148%K +0.164%G +0.003%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.86%EV -14.18%E -2.22%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 01:34
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.70%E -6.41%K -38.49%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV +1.56%E +0.148%K +0.164%G +0.003%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -6.13%E -0.876%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 18:09
betano_uk1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.70%E -6.41%K -38.49%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV +1.56%E +0.148%K +0.164%G +0.003%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -6.13%E -0.876%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 18:10
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.99%EV -5.39%E -4.38%K -23.43%G +0.000%10.40I 9.62%NM 9.22%EV +0.589%E +0.057%K +0.063%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +0.570%E +0.076%K +0.088%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-21 18:10
BoyleSports1.18I 84.75%NM 76.95%EV -9.24%E -7.83%K -51.31%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -3.28%E -0.328%K -0.364%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-21 18:10
TABtouch1.17I 85.47%NM 77.50%EV -10.01%E -8.55%K -58.85%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.07%EV -3.28%E -0.328%K -0.364%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.43%EV -9.49%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-06 12:05
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 77.10%EV -10.01%E -8.55%K -58.85%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -3.28%E -0.328%K -0.364%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.88%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-11 18:18
LiveScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 77.65%EV -10.77%E -9.29%K -67.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.01%EV -3.28%E -0.328%K -0.364%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.34%EV -9.49%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-06 14:14
Virgin Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 77.65%EV -10.77%E -9.29%K -67.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.01%EV -3.28%E -0.328%K -0.364%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.34%EV -9.49%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-06 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 77.65%EV -10.77%E -9.29%K -67.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.01%EV -3.28%E -0.328%K -0.364%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.34%EV -9.49%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-06 14:20
PMU (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 77.80%EV -11.54%E -10.04%K -76.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.95%EV -3.28%E -0.328%K -0.364%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.25%EV -9.49%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-06 14:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 77.40%EV -11.54%E -10.04%K -76.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.90%EV -3.28%E -0.328%K -0.364%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.69%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-11 18:20
Marathon Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.07%EV -6.93%E -5.73%K -32.99%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.61%EV -6.18%E -0.637%K -0.711%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -6.13%E -0.876%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 18:10
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 76.33%EV -3.85%E -3.08%K -15.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.63%EV -6.13%E -0.876%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 18:20
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 76.83%EV -4.62%E -3.73%K -19.25%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.03%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.14%EV -2.78%E -0.384%K -0.445%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 18:30
Fanatics1.22I 81.97%NM 76.76%EV -6.16%E -5.05%K -28.00%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -6.13%E -0.876%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.76%EV -6.16%E -5.05%K -28.00%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -6.13%E -0.876%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 18:20
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.74%EV -7.70%E -6.41%K -38.49%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV +0.570%E +0.076%K +0.088%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-23 02:15
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 75.98%EV -6.16%E -5.05%K -28.00%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 18:20
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.98%EV -6.16%E -5.05%K -28.00%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 18:20
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 75.98%EV -6.16%E -5.05%K -28.00%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 18:20
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.98%EV -6.16%E -5.05%K -28.00%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -8.12%E -0.854%K -0.955%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 18:20
Codere (IT)1.21I 82.64%NM 76.37%EV -6.93%E -5.73%K -32.99%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.04%EV -11.02%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.59%EV -8.82%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-23 09:34
Unibet (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.88%EV -7.70%E -6.41%K -38.49%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -12.95%E -1.44%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -12.84%E -1.98%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-23 09:34
Bovada1.23I 81.30%NM 76.65%EV -5.39%E -4.38%K -23.43%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.78%EV -15.37%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV +0.570%E +0.076%K +0.088%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-21 18:09
NetBet (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 77.39%EV -16.93%E -15.67%K -211.60%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 9.55%EV -15.37%E -1.76%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.06%EV -14.18%E -2.22%K -2.63%G +0.000%19.6%2026-07-25 09:10
Pinnacle1.23I 81.30%NM 76.62%EV -5.39%E -4.38%K -23.43%G +0.000%8.74I 11.44%NM 10.78%EV -15.47%E -1.77%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.48I 13.37%NM 12.60%EV +0.302%E +0.040%K +0.047%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-21 18:20
DraftKings1.21I 82.64%NM 76.03%EV -6.93%E -5.73%K -32.99%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -17.79%E -2.09%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -6.13%E -0.876%K -1.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-21 18:10
Betclic (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 75.24%EV -10.01%E -8.55%K -58.85%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.67%EV -20.21%E -2.45%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.09%EV -16.19%E -2.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-24 18:13
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 75.68%EV -7.70%E -6.41%K -38.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -22.62%E -2.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.97%EV -6.13%E -0.876%K -1.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-21 18:10
Sky Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 74.09%EV -10.01%E -8.55%K -58.85%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.84%EV -22.62%E -2.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.08%EV -22.90%E -3.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-11 18:19
Unibet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 74.27%EV -10.01%E -8.55%K -58.85%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.00%EV -23.59%E -2.99%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.73%EV -20.89%E -3.54%K -4.26%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-24 18:05
Winamax (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 74.45%EV -10.01%E -8.55%K -58.85%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.61%EV -27.46%E -3.66%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 13.94%EV -16.19%E -2.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-23 09:34
Winamax (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 73.39%EV -11.54%E -10.04%K -76.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.06%EV -32.30%E -4.61%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 14.55%EV -22.23%E -3.83%K -4.63%G +0.000%18.5%2026-07-23 09:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 78.38%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.84%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.79%2.9%2026-07-25 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 78.38%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.84%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.79%2.9%2026-07-25 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 78.38%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.84%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.79%2.9%2026-07-25 12:50
Smarkets1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.13%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.95%4.3%2026-07-25 12:50