Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

PSV Eindhoven v Fortuna Sittard

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-08 18:00 UTC

Score final : PSV Eindhoven 2–2 Fortuna Sittard

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

PSV Eindhoven (Local)

Prévision 81.51%1.23cote équitable
EV -2.18%
Avantage -1.82%
Kelly -10.92%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
79.07%81.49%81.55%84.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.081.141.141.2092.59%87.57%87.72%83.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Fortuna Sittard (Visiteur)

Prévision 7.18%13.93cote équitable
EV +22.02%
Avantage +1.30%
Kelly +1.38%
Croissance +0.303%

avec la cote maximale 17.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
5.73%7.19%7.19%9.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
9.5013.3713.0017.0010.53%7.48%7.69%5.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 11.31%8.84cote équitable
EV +13.09%
Avantage +1.31%
Kelly +1.45%
Croissance +0.190%

avec la cote maximale 10.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.32%11.32%11.26%13.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
7.008.248.0010.0014.29%12.13%12.50%10.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : PSV Eindhoven (Local) : 81.51% ; Fortuna Sittard (Visiteur) : 7.18% ; Match nul : 11.31%. Pour Fortuna Sittard (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 13.93. 19 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 17.00, soit une espérance positive de +22.02%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 84.01%EV -5.44%E -4.69%K -34.03%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.73%EV +22.02%E +1.30%K +1.38%G +0.303%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.26%EV +7.43%E +0.782%K +0.874%G +0.065%2.6%2026-08-08 17:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 84.01%EV -5.44%E -4.69%K -34.03%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.73%EV +22.02%E +1.30%K +1.38%G +0.303%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.26%EV +7.43%E +0.782%K +0.874%G +0.065%2.6%2026-08-08 17:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 84.01%EV -5.44%E -4.69%K -34.03%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.73%EV +22.02%E +1.30%K +1.38%G +0.303%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.26%EV +7.43%E +0.782%K +0.874%G +0.065%2.6%2026-08-08 17:35
Betsson🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.22%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.23%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.76%EV +18.43%E +1.12%K +1.19%G +0.219%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.02%EV -17.45%E -2.39%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 17:39
NordicBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.22%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.23%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.76%EV +18.43%E +1.12%K +1.19%G +0.219%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.02%EV -17.45%E -2.39%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 17:40
Coolbet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.39%EV -5.44%E -4.69%K -34.03%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +7.67%E +0.511%K +0.548%G +0.042%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.24%EV -3.88%E -0.456%K -0.517%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 17:40
Fanatics🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.15%EV -7.07%E -6.21%K -50.53%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV +7.67%E +0.511%K +0.548%G +0.042%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.53%EV +1.78%E +0.198%K +0.222%G +0.004%5.5%2026-08-08 17:40
Grosvenor🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.15%EV -7.07%E -6.21%K -50.53%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV +7.67%E +0.511%K +0.548%G +0.042%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.53%EV +1.78%E +0.198%K +0.222%G +0.004%5.5%2026-08-08 17:35
Bet Victor🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.15%EV -7.07%E -6.21%K -50.53%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV +7.67%E +0.511%K +0.548%G +0.042%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.53%EV +1.78%E +0.198%K +0.222%G +0.004%5.5%2026-08-08 17:49
betano_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.15%EV -7.07%E -6.21%K -50.53%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV +7.67%E +0.511%K +0.548%G +0.042%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.53%EV +1.78%E +0.198%K +0.222%G +0.004%5.5%2026-08-08 17:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.76%EV -7.89%E -6.98%K -60.69%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +7.67%E +0.511%K +0.548%G +0.042%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -3.88%E -0.456%K -0.517%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 17:34
Casumo🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.76%EV -7.89%E -6.98%K -60.69%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +7.67%E +0.511%K +0.548%G +0.042%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -3.88%E -0.456%K -0.517%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 17:34
betPARX🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.76%EV -7.89%E -6.98%K -60.69%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +7.67%E +0.511%K +0.548%G +0.042%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -3.88%E -0.456%K -0.517%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 17:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.40%EV -8.70%E -7.77%K -72.54%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +7.67%E +0.511%K +0.548%G +0.042%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +1.78%E +0.198%K +0.222%G +0.004%7.1%2026-08-08 17:54
PlayUp🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.45%EV -5.44%E -4.69%K -34.03%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV +7.67%E +0.511%K +0.548%G +0.042%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -20.84%E -2.98%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 17:40
SportsBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.15%EV -8.70%E -7.77%K -72.54%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.21%EV +7.67%E +0.511%K +0.548%G +0.042%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.64%EV -1.05%E -0.120%K -0.135%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 17:24
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.46%EV -9.52%E -8.58%K -86.55%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV +7.67%E +0.511%K +0.548%G +0.042%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -9.53%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 17:23
Betr (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.86%EV -6.26%E -5.44%K -41.73%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.72%EV +0.490%E +0.035%K +0.038%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.41%EV -6.70%E -0.813%K -0.925%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 15:49
Unibet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.40%EV -7.89%E -6.98%K -60.69%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.65%EV +0.490%E +0.035%K +0.038%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -3.88%E -0.456%K -0.517%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 17:34
Pinnacle🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.83%EV -6.26%E -5.44%K -41.73%G +0.000%13.92I 7.18%NM 6.84%EV -0.084%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000%9.22I 10.85%NM 10.33%EV +4.27%E +0.463%K +0.519%G +0.022%5.0%2026-08-08 17:45
1xBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.81%EV -2.18%E -1.82%K -10.92%G +0.000%13.80I 7.25%NM 7.03%EV -0.945%E -0.069%K -0.074%G +0.000%7.97I 12.55%NM 12.17%EV -9.87%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-08 17:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.96%EV -7.07%E -6.21%K -50.53%G +0.000%13.25I 7.55%NM 7.05%EV -4.89%E -0.369%K -0.399%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -3.88%E -0.456%K -0.517%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 17:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.89%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.23%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.69%E -0.514%K -0.557%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -9.53%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 17:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.48%EV -5.44%E -4.69%K -34.03%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -6.69%E -0.514%K -0.557%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.25%EV -5.01%E -0.596%K -0.677%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 17:39
Bovada🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.10%EV -7.07%E -6.21%K -50.53%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.20%EV -6.69%E -0.514%K -0.557%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.70%EV -1.05%E -0.120%K -0.135%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 17:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -6.26%E -5.44%K -41.73%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -6.69%E -0.514%K -0.557%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -9.53%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 15:49
betfred_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -7.07%E -6.21%K -50.53%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -6.69%E -0.514%K -0.557%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -15.18%E -2.02%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 17:39
Bet Right🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -7.07%E -6.21%K -50.53%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -6.69%E -0.514%K -0.557%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -15.18%E -2.02%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 15:50
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.56%EV -8.70%E -7.77%K -72.54%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.03%EV -6.69%E -0.514%K -0.557%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -9.53%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 17:35
TABtouch🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.56%EV -8.70%E -7.77%K -72.54%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.03%EV -6.69%E -0.514%K -0.557%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -9.53%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 17:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.69%EV -9.52%E -8.58%K -86.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -6.69%E -0.514%K -0.557%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV -9.53%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 17:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.69%EV -9.52%E -8.58%K -86.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -6.69%E -0.514%K -0.557%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV -9.53%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.69%EV -9.52%E -8.58%K -86.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -6.69%E -0.514%K -0.557%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV -9.53%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 17:34
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 81.83%EV -10.34%E -9.40%K -103.35%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV -6.69%E -0.514%K -0.557%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.25%EV -9.53%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 17:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 81.83%EV -10.34%E -9.40%K -103.35%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV -6.69%E -0.514%K -0.557%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.25%EV -9.53%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 17:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 81.96%EV -11.15%E -10.23%K -123.89%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87%EV -6.69%E -0.514%K -0.557%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.17%EV -9.53%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 17:35
BetMGM🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.35%EV -3.81%E -3.23%K -21.19%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -10.28%E -0.822%K -0.894%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.97%EV -1.05%E -0.120%K -0.135%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 17:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 81.87%EV -11.97%E -11.08%K -149.57%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.07%EV -10.28%E -0.822%K -0.894%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.05%EV -9.53%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 17:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.91%EV -8.70%E -7.77%K -72.54%G +0.000%12.25I 8.16%NM 7.40%EV -12.07%E -0.985%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.69%EV -12.36%E -1.59%K -1.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 17:39
Coral🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.83%EV -3.81%E -3.23%K -21.19%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.95%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.22%EV -3.88%E -0.456%K -0.517%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 17:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.96%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.23%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.14%EV -3.88%E -0.456%K -0.517%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 14:20
DraftKings🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.96%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.23%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.14%EV -3.88%E -0.456%K -0.517%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 17:54
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.73%EV -6.26%E -5.44%K -41.73%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV +1.78%E +0.198%K +0.222%G +0.004%6.4%2026-08-08 17:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.44%E -4.69%K -34.03%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -9.53%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.44%E -4.69%K -34.03%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -9.53%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 17:54
BetAnything🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.44%E -4.69%K -34.03%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -9.53%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 17:54
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.78%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.23%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -15.18%E -2.02%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 17:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.78%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.23%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -15.18%E -2.02%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 17:50
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.78%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.23%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -15.18%E -2.02%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 17:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.78%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.23%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -15.18%E -2.02%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 17:49
Sky Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 80.75%EV -10.34%E -9.40%K -103.35%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.40%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.84%EV -15.18%E -2.02%K -2.34%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-08 17:25
BoyleSports🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.50%EV -6.26%E -5.44%K -41.73%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.31%EV -21.04%E -1.91%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -15.18%E -2.02%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 17:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 80.07%EV -9.52%E -8.58%K -86.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.08%EV -21.04%E -1.91%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -15.18%E -2.02%K -2.34%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 17:55
BetUS🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.79%EV -7.07%E -6.21%K -50.53%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV -24.63%E -2.35%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV +13.09%E +1.31%K +1.45%G +0.190%7.2%2026-08-08 17:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.93%EV -7.07%E -6.21%K -50.53%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -24.63%E -2.35%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.39%EV -9.53%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 17:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 79.07%EV -7.89%E -6.98%K -60.69%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -31.81%E -3.35%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.53%EV -12.36%E -1.59%K -1.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 17:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.79%19.50I 5.13%NM 5.09%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.12%0.8%2026-08-08 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.79%19.50I 5.13%NM 5.09%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.12%0.8%2026-08-08 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.79%19.50I 5.13%NM 5.09%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.12%0.8%2026-08-08 17:50
Matchbook1.17I 85.47%NM 84.68%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.21%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.11%0.9%2026-08-08 17:55
Smarkets1.17I 85.47%NM 84.55%18.48I 5.41%NM 5.35%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.09%1.1%2026-08-08 17:55
Kalshi1.16I 86.21%NM 84.35%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.87%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.78%2.2%2026-08-08 17:30