Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

PSV Eindhoven v Fortuna Sittard

Início: 2026-08-08 18:00 UTC

Final: PSV Eindhoven 2–2 Fortuna Sittard

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

PSV Eindhoven (Local)

Previsão 81.51%1.23odd justa
EV -2.18%
Vantagem -1.82%
Kelly -10.92%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
79.07%81.49%81.55%84.01%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.081.141.141.2092.59%87.57%87.72%83.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Fortuna Sittard (Visitante)

Previsão 7.18%13.93odd justa
EV +22.02%
Vantagem +1.30%
Kelly +1.38%
Crescimento +0.303%

pressupondo odds máximas de 17.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
5.73%7.19%7.19%9.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
9.5013.3713.0017.0010.53%7.48%7.69%5.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 11.31%8.84odd justa
EV +13.09%
Vantagem +1.31%
Kelly +1.45%
Crescimento +0.190%

pressupondo odds máximas de 10.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
9.32%11.32%11.26%13.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
7.008.248.0010.0014.29%12.13%12.50%10.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: PSV Eindhoven (Local): 81.51%; Fortuna Sittard (Visitante): 7.18%; Empate: 11.31%. Para Fortuna Sittard (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 13.93. 19 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 17.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +22.02%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (NL)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 84.01%EV -5.44%E -4.69%K -34.03%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.73%EV +22.02%E +1.30%K +1.38%G +0.303%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.26%EV +7.43%E +0.782%K +0.874%G +0.065%2.6%2026-08-08 17:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 84.01%EV -5.44%E -4.69%K -34.03%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.73%EV +22.02%E +1.30%K +1.38%G +0.303%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.26%EV +7.43%E +0.782%K +0.874%G +0.065%2.6%2026-08-08 17:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 84.01%EV -5.44%E -4.69%K -34.03%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.73%EV +22.02%E +1.30%K +1.38%G +0.303%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.26%EV +7.43%E +0.782%K +0.874%G +0.065%2.6%2026-08-08 17:35
Betsson🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.22%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.23%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.76%EV +18.43%E +1.12%K +1.19%G +0.219%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.02%EV -17.45%E -2.39%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 17:39
NordicBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.22%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.23%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.76%EV +18.43%E +1.12%K +1.19%G +0.219%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.02%EV -17.45%E -2.39%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 17:40
Coolbet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.39%EV -5.44%E -4.69%K -34.03%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +7.67%E +0.511%K +0.548%G +0.042%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.24%EV -3.88%E -0.456%K -0.517%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 17:40
Fanatics🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.15%EV -7.07%E -6.21%K -50.53%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV +7.67%E +0.511%K +0.548%G +0.042%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.53%EV +1.78%E +0.198%K +0.222%G +0.004%5.5%2026-08-08 17:40
Grosvenor🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.15%EV -7.07%E -6.21%K -50.53%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV +7.67%E +0.511%K +0.548%G +0.042%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.53%EV +1.78%E +0.198%K +0.222%G +0.004%5.5%2026-08-08 17:35
Bet Victor🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.15%EV -7.07%E -6.21%K -50.53%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV +7.67%E +0.511%K +0.548%G +0.042%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.53%EV +1.78%E +0.198%K +0.222%G +0.004%5.5%2026-08-08 17:49
betano_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.15%EV -7.07%E -6.21%K -50.53%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV +7.67%E +0.511%K +0.548%G +0.042%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.53%EV +1.78%E +0.198%K +0.222%G +0.004%5.5%2026-08-08 17:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.76%EV -7.89%E -6.98%K -60.69%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +7.67%E +0.511%K +0.548%G +0.042%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -3.88%E -0.456%K -0.517%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 17:34
Casumo🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.76%EV -7.89%E -6.98%K -60.69%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +7.67%E +0.511%K +0.548%G +0.042%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -3.88%E -0.456%K -0.517%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 17:34
betPARX🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.76%EV -7.89%E -6.98%K -60.69%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +7.67%E +0.511%K +0.548%G +0.042%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -3.88%E -0.456%K -0.517%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 17:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.40%EV -8.70%E -7.77%K -72.54%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +7.67%E +0.511%K +0.548%G +0.042%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +1.78%E +0.198%K +0.222%G +0.004%7.1%2026-08-08 17:54
PlayUp🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.45%EV -5.44%E -4.69%K -34.03%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV +7.67%E +0.511%K +0.548%G +0.042%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -20.84%E -2.98%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 17:40
SportsBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.15%EV -8.70%E -7.77%K -72.54%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.21%EV +7.67%E +0.511%K +0.548%G +0.042%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.64%EV -1.05%E -0.120%K -0.135%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 17:24
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.46%EV -9.52%E -8.58%K -86.55%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV +7.67%E +0.511%K +0.548%G +0.042%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -9.53%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 17:23
Betr (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.86%EV -6.26%E -5.44%K -41.73%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.72%EV +0.490%E +0.035%K +0.038%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.41%EV -6.70%E -0.813%K -0.925%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 15:49
Unibet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.40%EV -7.89%E -6.98%K -60.69%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.65%EV +0.490%E +0.035%K +0.038%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -3.88%E -0.456%K -0.517%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 17:34
Pinnacle🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.83%EV -6.26%E -5.44%K -41.73%G +0.000%13.92I 7.18%NM 6.84%EV -0.084%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000%9.22I 10.85%NM 10.33%EV +4.27%E +0.463%K +0.519%G +0.022%5.0%2026-08-08 17:45
1xBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.81%EV -2.18%E -1.82%K -10.92%G +0.000%13.80I 7.25%NM 7.03%EV -0.945%E -0.069%K -0.074%G +0.000%7.97I 12.55%NM 12.17%EV -9.87%E -1.24%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-08 17:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.96%EV -7.07%E -6.21%K -50.53%G +0.000%13.25I 7.55%NM 7.05%EV -4.89%E -0.369%K -0.399%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -3.88%E -0.456%K -0.517%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 17:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.89%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.23%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.69%E -0.514%K -0.557%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -9.53%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 17:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.48%EV -5.44%E -4.69%K -34.03%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -6.69%E -0.514%K -0.557%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.25%EV -5.01%E -0.596%K -0.677%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 17:39
Bovada🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.10%EV -7.07%E -6.21%K -50.53%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.20%EV -6.69%E -0.514%K -0.557%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.70%EV -1.05%E -0.120%K -0.135%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 17:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -6.26%E -5.44%K -41.73%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -6.69%E -0.514%K -0.557%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -9.53%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 15:49
betfred_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -7.07%E -6.21%K -50.53%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -6.69%E -0.514%K -0.557%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -15.18%E -2.02%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 17:39
Bet Right🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -7.07%E -6.21%K -50.53%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -6.69%E -0.514%K -0.557%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -15.18%E -2.02%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 15:50
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.56%EV -8.70%E -7.77%K -72.54%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.03%EV -6.69%E -0.514%K -0.557%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -9.53%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 17:35
TABtouch🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.56%EV -8.70%E -7.77%K -72.54%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.03%EV -6.69%E -0.514%K -0.557%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -9.53%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 17:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.69%EV -9.52%E -8.58%K -86.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -6.69%E -0.514%K -0.557%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV -9.53%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 17:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.69%EV -9.52%E -8.58%K -86.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -6.69%E -0.514%K -0.557%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV -9.53%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.69%EV -9.52%E -8.58%K -86.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -6.69%E -0.514%K -0.557%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV -9.53%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 17:34
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 81.83%EV -10.34%E -9.40%K -103.35%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV -6.69%E -0.514%K -0.557%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.25%EV -9.53%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 17:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 81.83%EV -10.34%E -9.40%K -103.35%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV -6.69%E -0.514%K -0.557%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.25%EV -9.53%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 17:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 81.96%EV -11.15%E -10.23%K -123.89%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87%EV -6.69%E -0.514%K -0.557%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.17%EV -9.53%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 17:35
BetMGM🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.35%EV -3.81%E -3.23%K -21.19%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -10.28%E -0.822%K -0.894%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.97%EV -1.05%E -0.120%K -0.135%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 17:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 81.87%EV -11.97%E -11.08%K -149.57%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.07%EV -10.28%E -0.822%K -0.894%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.05%EV -9.53%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 17:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.91%EV -8.70%E -7.77%K -72.54%G +0.000%12.25I 8.16%NM 7.40%EV -12.07%E -0.985%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.69%EV -12.36%E -1.59%K -1.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 17:39
Coral🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.83%EV -3.81%E -3.23%K -21.19%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.95%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.22%EV -3.88%E -0.456%K -0.517%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 17:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.96%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.23%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.14%EV -3.88%E -0.456%K -0.517%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 14:20
DraftKings🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.96%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.23%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.14%EV -3.88%E -0.456%K -0.517%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 17:54
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.73%EV -6.26%E -5.44%K -41.73%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV +1.78%E +0.198%K +0.222%G +0.004%6.4%2026-08-08 17:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.44%E -4.69%K -34.03%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -9.53%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.44%E -4.69%K -34.03%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -9.53%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 17:54
BetAnything🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.44%E -4.69%K -34.03%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -9.53%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 17:54
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.78%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.23%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -15.18%E -2.02%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 17:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.78%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.23%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -15.18%E -2.02%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 17:50
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.78%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.23%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -15.18%E -2.02%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 17:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.78%EV -4.63%E -3.96%K -27.23%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -15.18%E -2.02%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 17:49
Sky Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 80.75%EV -10.34%E -9.40%K -103.35%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.40%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.84%EV -15.18%E -2.02%K -2.34%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-08 17:25
BoyleSports🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.50%EV -6.26%E -5.44%K -41.73%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.31%EV -21.04%E -1.91%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -15.18%E -2.02%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 17:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 80.07%EV -9.52%E -8.58%K -86.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.08%EV -21.04%E -1.91%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -15.18%E -2.02%K -2.34%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 17:55
BetUS🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.79%EV -7.07%E -6.21%K -50.53%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV -24.63%E -2.35%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV +13.09%E +1.31%K +1.45%G +0.190%7.2%2026-08-08 17:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.93%EV -7.07%E -6.21%K -50.53%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -24.63%E -2.35%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.39%EV -9.53%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 17:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 79.07%EV -7.89%E -6.98%K -60.69%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -31.81%E -3.35%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.53%EV -12.36%E -1.59%K -1.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 17:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.79%19.50I 5.13%NM 5.09%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.12%0.8%2026-08-08 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.79%19.50I 5.13%NM 5.09%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.12%0.8%2026-08-08 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.79%19.50I 5.13%NM 5.09%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.12%0.8%2026-08-08 17:50
Matchbook1.17I 85.47%NM 84.68%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.21%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.11%0.9%2026-08-08 17:55
Smarkets1.17I 85.47%NM 84.55%18.48I 5.41%NM 5.35%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.09%1.1%2026-08-08 17:55
Kalshi1.16I 86.21%NM 84.35%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.87%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.78%2.2%2026-08-08 17:30