Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.50
assuming max odds 6.65
assuming max odds 5.30
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: NEC Nijmegen (Local): 64.88%; SC Telstar (Visit): 15.94%; Draw: 19.18%. For SC Telstar (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.27. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.02%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.48%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.57%EV +6.02%E +0.905%K +1.06%G +0.064% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.94%EV -6.77%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-08 14:23 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV +3.62%E +0.558%K +0.659%G +0.024% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -4.09%E -0.818%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV +3.62%E +0.558%K +0.659%G +0.024% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -4.09%E -0.818%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.08%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.43I 15.55%NM 14.90%EV +2.51%E +0.390%K +0.462%G +0.012% | 5.04I 19.84%NM 19.01%EV -3.32%E -0.659%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-08 14:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.57%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV +2.03%E +0.317%K +0.376%G +0.008% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.67%EV -7.92%E -1.65%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.11%EV -4.63%E -3.15%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.55%EV -0.362%E -0.058%K -0.069%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.34%EV +1.67%E +0.314%K +0.387%G +0.006% | 2.9% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.11%EV -4.63%E -3.15%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.55%EV -0.362%E -0.058%K -0.069%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.34%EV +1.67%E +0.314%K +0.387%G +0.006% | 2.9% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.11%EV -4.63%E -3.15%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.55%EV -0.362%E -0.058%K -0.069%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.34%EV +1.67%E +0.314%K +0.387%G +0.006% | 2.9% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.02%EV -7.23%E -5.05%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.10%EV -0.362%E -0.058%K -0.069%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -4.09%E -0.818%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 14:23 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.02%EV -7.23%E -5.05%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.10%EV -0.362%E -0.058%K -0.069%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -4.09%E -0.818%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.11%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.23%EV -1.16%E -0.187%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.67%EV -7.92%E -1.65%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.84%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.08%EV -1.16%E -0.187%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -6.01%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.98%EV -4.63%E -3.15%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -4.35%E -0.725%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%EV -4.09%E -0.818%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.04%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -4.35%E -0.725%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -6.01%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.04%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -4.35%E -0.725%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -6.01%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -4.35%E -0.725%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -4.09%E -0.818%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.84%EV -7.23%E -5.05%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -4.35%E -0.725%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.46%EV -2.17%E -0.426%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.19%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -4.35%E -0.725%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%EV -6.01%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -4.35%E -0.725%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -8.88%E -1.87%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.22%EV -7.23%E -5.05%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -4.35%E -0.725%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.23%EV -6.97%E -1.44%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.83%EV -9.17%E -6.55%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -4.35%E -0.725%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -6.01%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.80%EV -3.34%E -2.24%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.98%EV -5.14%E -0.865%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.23%EV -9.84%E -2.09%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.80%EV -3.34%E -2.24%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.98%EV -5.14%E -0.865%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.23%EV -9.84%E -2.09%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.25%EV -7.23%E -5.05%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -7.54%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -4.09%E -0.818%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.25%EV -7.23%E -5.05%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -7.54%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -4.09%E -0.818%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.25%EV -7.23%E -5.05%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -7.54%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -4.09%E -0.818%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.76%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -7.54%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -13.68%E -3.04%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 14:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.38%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -8.33%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -4.09%E -0.818%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.00%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -8.33%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.09%E -0.818%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 14:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.21%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -8.33%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -8.88%E -1.87%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -7.23%E -5.05%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -8.33%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -6.01%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.80%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -8.33%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -11.76%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.69%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -8.33%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -8.88%E -1.87%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.33%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.68%E -3.04%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 14:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.33%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.68%E -3.04%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 14:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.33%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.68%E -3.04%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 14:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.61%EV -12.42%E -9.20%K -35.48%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.54%EV -9.13%E -1.60%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.85%EV -9.84%E -2.09%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.00%EV -4.63%E -3.15%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -10.72%E -1.92%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -6.01%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.01%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -10.72%E -1.92%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -11.76%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-08 14:23 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.86%EV -9.17%E -6.55%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.22%EV -10.72%E -1.92%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -7.92%E -1.65%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 14:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.58%EV -2.69%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.34%EV -12.32%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -4.09%E -0.818%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -12.32%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -4.09%E -0.818%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -12.32%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -4.09%E -0.818%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -12.32%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -11.76%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-08 14:23 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.38%EV -8.53%E -6.05%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -12.32%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -8.88%E -1.87%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -9.17%E -6.55%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -12.32%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -8.88%E -1.87%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -9.17%E -6.55%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -12.32%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -13.68%E -3.04%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-08 07:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -9.17%E -6.55%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -12.32%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -13.68%E -3.04%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.21%EV -11.77%E -8.65%K -32.69%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -12.32%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.67%EV -8.88%E -1.87%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.22%EV -9.17%E -6.55%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.65%EV -13.91%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.13%EV -9.84%E -2.09%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.22%EV -9.17%E -6.55%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.65%EV -13.91%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.13%EV -9.84%E -2.09%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.22%EV -9.17%E -6.55%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.65%EV -13.91%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.13%EV -9.84%E -2.09%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-08 14:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.55%EV -10.47%E -7.59%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.50%EV -13.91%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.95%EV -9.84%E -2.09%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.55%EV -10.47%E -7.59%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.50%EV -13.91%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.95%EV -9.84%E -2.09%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-08 14:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.82%EV -7.23%E -5.05%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -17.10%E -3.29%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -6.01%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-08 14:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.21%EV -8.53%E -6.05%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -20.29%E -4.06%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.96%EV -9.84%E -2.09%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 66.12% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.20% | 0.2% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 66.12% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.20% | 0.2% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 66.12% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.20% | 0.2% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.27% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.69% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.63% | 2.0% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.58% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.27% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.16% | 2.3% | 2026-08-08 14:25 |
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