Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

NEC Nijmegen v SC Telstar

Início: 2026-08-08 14:30 UTC

Final: NEC Nijmegen 1–2 SC Telstar

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

NEC Nijmegen (Local)

Previsão 64.88%1.54odd justa
EV -2.69%
Vantagem -1.79%
Kelly -5.37%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
63.21%64.79%64.94%66.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.351.431.441.5074.07%69.70%69.44%66.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

SC Telstar (Visitante)

Previsão 15.94%6.27odd justa
EV +6.02%
Vantagem +0.905%
Kelly +1.06%
Crescimento +0.064%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.57%15.95%15.96%17.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.005.825.756.6520.00%17.17%17.39%15.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 19.18%5.21odd justa
EV +1.67%
Vantagem +0.314%
Kelly +0.387%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.34%19.27%19.10%20.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.504.844.865.3022.22%20.67%20.60%18.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: NEC Nijmegen (Local): 64.88%; SC Telstar (Visitante): 15.94%; Empate: 19.18%. Para SC Telstar (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.27. 5 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.65, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +6.02%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.48%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.57%EV +6.02%E +0.905%K +1.06%G +0.064%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.94%EV -6.77%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-08 14:23
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV +3.62%E +0.558%K +0.659%G +0.024%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -4.09%E -0.818%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 14:24
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV +3.62%E +0.558%K +0.659%G +0.024%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -4.09%E -0.818%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 14:24
Pinnacle🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.08%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.43I 15.55%NM 14.90%EV +2.51%E +0.390%K +0.462%G +0.012%5.04I 19.84%NM 19.01%EV -3.32%E -0.659%K -0.822%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-08 14:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.57%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.95%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV +2.03%E +0.317%K +0.376%G +0.008%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.67%EV -7.92%E -1.65%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 14:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.11%EV -4.63%E -3.15%K -9.86%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.55%EV -0.362%E -0.058%K -0.069%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.34%EV +1.67%E +0.314%K +0.387%G +0.006%2.9%2026-08-08 14:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.11%EV -4.63%E -3.15%K -9.86%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.55%EV -0.362%E -0.058%K -0.069%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.34%EV +1.67%E +0.314%K +0.387%G +0.006%2.9%2026-08-08 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.11%EV -4.63%E -3.15%K -9.86%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.55%EV -0.362%E -0.058%K -0.069%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.34%EV +1.67%E +0.314%K +0.387%G +0.006%2.9%2026-08-08 14:20
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.02%EV -7.23%E -5.05%K -16.81%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.10%EV -0.362%E -0.058%K -0.069%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -4.09%E -0.818%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 14:23
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.02%EV -7.23%E -5.05%K -16.81%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.10%EV -0.362%E -0.058%K -0.069%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -4.09%E -0.818%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.11%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.23%EV -1.16%E -0.187%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.67%EV -7.92%E -1.65%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 14:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.84%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.75%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.08%EV -1.16%E -0.187%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -6.01%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 14:24
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.98%EV -4.63%E -3.15%K -9.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -4.35%E -0.725%K -0.869%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%EV -4.09%E -0.818%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 14:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.04%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -4.35%E -0.725%K -0.869%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -6.01%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 14:25
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.04%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -4.35%E -0.725%K -0.869%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -6.01%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 14:25
BetAnything🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -4.35%E -0.725%K -0.869%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -4.09%E -0.818%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 14:25
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.84%EV -7.23%E -5.05%K -16.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -4.35%E -0.725%K -0.869%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.46%EV -2.17%E -0.426%K -0.529%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 14:20
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.19%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -4.35%E -0.725%K -0.869%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%EV -6.01%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 13:45
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -4.35%E -0.725%K -0.869%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -8.88%E -1.87%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 14:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.22%EV -7.23%E -5.05%K -16.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -4.35%E -0.725%K -0.869%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.23%EV -6.97%E -1.44%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 14:19
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.83%EV -9.17%E -6.55%K -22.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -4.35%E -0.725%K -0.869%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -6.01%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:45
Betsson🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.80%EV -3.34%E -2.24%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.98%EV -5.14%E -0.865%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.23%EV -9.84%E -2.09%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 14:20
NordicBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.80%EV -3.34%E -2.24%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.98%EV -5.14%E -0.865%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.23%EV -9.84%E -2.09%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 14:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.25%EV -7.23%E -5.05%K -16.81%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -7.54%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -4.09%E -0.818%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 14:20
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.25%EV -7.23%E -5.05%K -16.81%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -7.54%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -4.09%E -0.818%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 14:20
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.25%EV -7.23%E -5.05%K -16.81%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -7.54%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -4.09%E -0.818%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 14:20
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.76%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -7.54%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -13.68%E -3.04%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 14:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.38%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -8.33%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -4.09%E -0.818%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 14:24
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.00%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -8.33%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.09%E -0.818%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 14:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.21%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -8.33%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -8.88%E -1.87%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 14:25
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -7.23%E -5.05%K -16.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -8.33%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -6.01%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 14:19
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.80%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -8.33%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -11.76%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 14:19
Bet Right🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.69%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.75%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -8.33%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -8.88%E -1.87%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 13:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.33%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.68%E -3.04%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 14:14
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.33%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.68%E -3.04%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 14:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.33%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.68%E -3.04%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 14:14
NetBet (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 65.61%EV -12.42%E -9.20%K -35.48%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.54%EV -9.13%E -1.60%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.85%EV -9.84%E -2.09%K -2.66%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 14:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.00%EV -4.63%E -3.15%K -9.86%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -10.72%E -1.92%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -6.01%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 14:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.01%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.75%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -10.72%E -1.92%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -11.76%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 14:23
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.86%EV -9.17%E -6.55%K -22.94%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.22%EV -10.72%E -1.92%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -7.92%E -1.65%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 14:04
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.58%EV -2.69%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.34%EV -12.32%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -4.09%E -0.818%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 14:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -12.32%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -4.09%E -0.818%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 14:24
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -12.32%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -4.09%E -0.818%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 14:25
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -12.32%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -11.76%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 14:23
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.38%EV -8.53%E -6.05%K -20.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -12.32%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -8.88%E -1.87%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 14:19
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -9.17%E -6.55%K -22.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -12.32%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -8.88%E -1.87%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 13:49
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -9.17%E -6.55%K -22.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -12.32%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -13.68%E -3.04%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 07:59
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -9.17%E -6.55%K -22.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -12.32%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -13.68%E -3.04%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 13:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.21%EV -11.77%E -8.65%K -32.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -12.32%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.67%EV -8.88%E -1.87%K -2.37%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 14:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.22%EV -9.17%E -6.55%K -22.94%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.65%EV -13.91%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.13%EV -9.84%E -2.09%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 14:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.22%EV -9.17%E -6.55%K -22.94%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.65%EV -13.91%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.13%EV -9.84%E -2.09%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 14:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.22%EV -9.17%E -6.55%K -22.94%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.65%EV -13.91%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.13%EV -9.84%E -2.09%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 14:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.55%EV -10.47%E -7.59%K -27.56%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.50%EV -13.91%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.95%EV -9.84%E -2.09%K -2.66%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 14:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.55%EV -10.47%E -7.59%K -27.56%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.50%EV -13.91%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.95%EV -9.84%E -2.09%K -2.66%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 14:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.82%EV -7.23%E -5.05%K -16.81%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -17.10%E -3.29%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -6.01%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 14:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.21%EV -8.53%E -6.05%K -20.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -20.29%E -4.06%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.96%EV -9.84%E -2.09%K -2.66%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-08 14:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 66.12%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.20%0.2%2026-08-08 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 66.12%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.20%0.2%2026-08-08 14:25
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 66.12%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.20%0.2%2026-08-08 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.27%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12%0.6%2026-08-08 14:25
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.69%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.63%2.0%2026-08-08 14:00
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 65.58%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.27%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.16%2.3%2026-08-08 14:25