La escuela de los momios

NEC Nijmegen v SC Telstar

2026-08-08 14:30 UTC — Dutch Eredivisie

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

NEC Nijmegen (Local)

Predicción 66.37%1.51momio equitativo
EV -1.78%
Ventaja -1.20%
Kelly -3.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.51%66.29%66.44%68.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.271.411.401.4878.74%70.90%71.43%67.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

SC Telstar (Visitante)

Predicción 14.76%6.78momio equitativo
EV +0.940%
Ventaja +0.137%
Kelly +0.161%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.84

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.93%14.81%14.72%17.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.006.006.006.8420.00%16.66%16.67%14.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 18.88%5.30momio equitativo
EV +0.042%
Ventaja +0.008%
Kelly +0.010%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.59%18.90%18.84%21.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.104.744.675.3024.39%21.12%21.39%18.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.43I 69.93%NM 67.11%EV -5.10%E -3.56%K -11.85%G +0.000%6.84I 14.62%NM 14.03%EV +0.940%E +0.137%K +0.161%G +0.002%5.09I 19.65%NM 18.86%EV -3.92%E -0.771%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-22 12:14
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 66.73%EV -5.76%E -4.06%K -13.71%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.93%EV +0.349%E +0.051%K +0.060%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.34%EV -7.51%E -1.53%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-23 19:04
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.73%EV -5.76%E -4.06%K -13.71%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.93%EV +0.349%E +0.051%K +0.060%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.34%EV -7.51%E -1.53%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-23 19:05
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.84%EV -7.09%E -5.06%K -17.72%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.07%EV -0.388%E -0.058%K -0.068%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -0.902%E -0.172%K -0.212%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 18:10
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.23%EV -7.09%E -5.06%K -17.72%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -0.388%E -0.058%K -0.068%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 18:10
Marathon Bet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.12%EV -7.75%E -5.58%K -19.87%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.03%EV -1.86%E -0.280%K -0.330%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -6.56%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-22 12:14
Pinnacle1.41I 70.92%NM 67.08%EV -6.42%E -4.56%K -15.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -4.08%E -0.627%K -0.741%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.37%EV -2.79%E -0.542%K -0.672%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 12:15
Fanatics1.42I 70.42%NM 66.56%EV -5.76%E -4.06%K -13.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -4.08%E -0.627%K -0.741%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-21 16:20
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -7.09%E -5.06%K -17.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -4.08%E -0.627%K -0.741%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 14:45
betano_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -7.09%E -5.06%K -17.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -4.08%E -0.627%K -0.741%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 14:44
SportsBet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.79%EV -8.41%E -6.10%K -22.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -4.08%E -0.627%K -0.741%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -0.902%E -0.172%K -0.212%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-21 18:10
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.06%EV -9.08%E -6.63%K -24.53%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV -4.08%E -0.627%K -0.741%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV +0.042%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-23 15:19
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 67.83%EV -9.08%E -6.63%K -24.53%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -4.08%E -0.627%K -0.741%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.87%EV -1.85%E -0.355%K -0.439%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-21 18:09
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 66.61%EV -5.10%E -3.56%K -11.85%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.24%EV -7.77%E -1.24%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.14%EV -0.902%E -0.172%K -0.212%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 21:39
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 66.73%EV -7.09%E -5.06%K -17.72%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -7.77%E -1.24%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -3.73%E -0.732%K -0.911%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 12:12
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 67.13%EV -9.74%E -7.16%K -27.06%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.61%EV -7.77%E -1.24%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-22 16:58
Codere (IT)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.74%EV -6.42%E -4.56%K -15.67%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.95%EV -8.50%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 05:00
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.43%E -3.08%K -10.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -11.46%E -1.91%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -0.902%E -0.172%K -0.212%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 21:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -4.43%E -3.08%K -10.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -11.46%E -1.91%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-22 21:39
DraftKings1.40I 71.43%NM 65.83%EV -7.09%E -5.06%K -17.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -11.46%E -1.91%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -7.51%E -1.53%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-21 14:34
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -7.09%E -5.06%K -17.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -11.46%E -1.91%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 04:55
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -7.09%E -5.06%K -17.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -11.46%E -1.91%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -13.17%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-21 16:20
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -7.09%E -5.06%K -17.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -11.46%E -1.91%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -13.17%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-21 16:20
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -7.09%E -5.06%K -17.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -11.46%E -1.91%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -13.17%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-21 16:20
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -7.09%E -5.06%K -17.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -11.46%E -1.91%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -13.17%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-21 16:20
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -9.74%E -7.16%K -27.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -11.46%E -1.91%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-22 07:35
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -11.73%E -8.82%K -35.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -11.46%E -1.91%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-21 18:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -11.73%E -8.82%K -35.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -11.46%E -1.91%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-21 18:10
NetBet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 66.04%EV -15.71%E -12.37%K -58.20%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 14.46%EV -14.41%E -2.48%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.50%EV -18.83%E -4.38%K -5.71%G +0.000%19.2%2026-07-22 21:40
BetRivers1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -1.78%E -1.20%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -15.15%E -2.63%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 11:30
TABtouch1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -1.78%E -1.20%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -15.15%E -2.63%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 12:05
Unibet (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -1.78%E -1.20%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -15.15%E -2.63%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 14:15
Unibet (NL)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -1.78%E -1.20%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -15.15%E -2.63%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 14:14
Casumo1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -1.78%E -1.20%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -15.15%E -2.63%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 14:19
Grosvenor1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -1.78%E -1.20%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -15.15%E -2.63%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 14:20
Svenska Spel1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -1.78%E -1.20%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -15.15%E -2.63%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 14:19
ATG (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -1.78%E -1.20%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -15.15%E -2.63%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 14:19
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -1.78%E -1.20%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -15.15%E -2.63%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 14:40
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -1.78%E -1.20%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -15.15%E -2.63%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-06 16:29
Betclic (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 64.75%EV -10.40%E -7.71%K -29.73%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.61%EV -17.36%E -3.10%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.64%EV -16.00%E -3.60%K -4.64%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-25 05:00
Unibet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 64.11%EV -9.74%E -7.16%K -27.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.85%EV -18.84%E -3.42%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.04%EV -17.89%E -4.11%K -5.34%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-25 04:55
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 65.05%EV -11.73%E -8.82%K -35.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.73%EV -18.84%E -3.42%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.22%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%15.6%2026-07-21 18:10
Winamax (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 64.32%EV -10.40%E -7.71%K -29.73%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.38%EV -21.79%E -4.11%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.30%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-25 04:55
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 61.51%EV -3.10%E -2.13%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -22.52%E -4.29%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -20.72%E -4.93%K -6.48%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-06 14:14
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 61.51%EV -3.10%E -2.13%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -22.52%E -4.29%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -20.72%E -4.93%K -6.48%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-06 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 61.67%EV -3.77%E -2.60%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.03%EV -22.52%E -4.29%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -20.72%E -4.93%K -6.48%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-06 14:20
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.58%EV -5.10%E -3.56%K -11.85%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.94%EV -23.26%E -4.47%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.48%EV -22.61%E -5.51%K -7.29%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-22 06:25
Winamax (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 63.48%EV -11.73%E -8.82%K -35.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.89%EV -26.21%E -5.24%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.63%EV -18.83%E -4.38%K -5.71%G +0.000%18.4%2026-07-25 04:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.71%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.32%3.0%2026-07-26 01:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.71%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.32%3.0%2026-07-25 22:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.71%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.32%3.0%2026-07-26 02:00
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 66.81%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.72%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%6.2%2026-07-26 02:25