Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

NEC Nijmegen v SC Telstar

Начало: 2026-08-08 14:30 UTC

Итог: NEC Nijmegen 1–2 SC Telstar

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

56 букмекерских контор (21 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

NEC Nijmegen (Хозяева)

Прогноз 64.88%1.54справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.69%
Преимущество -1.79%
Kelly -5.37%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
63.21%64.79%64.94%66.25%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.351.431.441.5074.07%69.70%69.44%66.67%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

SC Telstar (Гости)

Прогноз 15.94%6.27справедливый коэффициент
EV +6.02%
Преимущество +0.905%
Kelly +1.06%
Рост +0.064%

при максимальном коэффициенте 6.65

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
14.57%15.95%15.96%17.83%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
5.005.825.756.6520.00%17.17%17.39%15.04%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Ничья

Прогноз 19.18%5.21справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.67%
Преимущество +0.314%
Kelly +0.387%
Рост +0.006%

при максимальном коэффициенте 5.30

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
18.34%19.27%19.10%20.40%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.504.844.865.3022.22%20.67%20.60%18.87%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: NEC Nijmegen (Хозяева): 64.88%; SC Telstar (Гости): 15.94%; Ничья: 19.18%. Для исхода «SC Telstar (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 6.27. 5 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 6.65, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +6.02%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (56 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
1xBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.48%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.57%EV +6.02%E +0.905%K +1.06%G +0.064%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.94%EV -6.77%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-08 14:23
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV +3.62%E +0.558%K +0.659%G +0.024%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -4.09%E -0.818%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 14:24
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV +3.62%E +0.558%K +0.659%G +0.024%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -4.09%E -0.818%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 14:24
Pinnacle🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.08%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.43I 15.55%NM 14.90%EV +2.51%E +0.390%K +0.462%G +0.012%5.04I 19.84%NM 19.01%EV -3.32%E -0.659%K -0.822%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-08 14:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.57%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.95%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV +2.03%E +0.317%K +0.376%G +0.008%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.67%EV -7.92%E -1.65%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 14:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.11%EV -4.63%E -3.15%K -9.86%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.55%EV -0.362%E -0.058%K -0.069%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.34%EV +1.67%E +0.314%K +0.387%G +0.006%2.9%2026-08-08 14:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.11%EV -4.63%E -3.15%K -9.86%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.55%EV -0.362%E -0.058%K -0.069%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.34%EV +1.67%E +0.314%K +0.387%G +0.006%2.9%2026-08-08 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.11%EV -4.63%E -3.15%K -9.86%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.55%EV -0.362%E -0.058%K -0.069%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.34%EV +1.67%E +0.314%K +0.387%G +0.006%2.9%2026-08-08 14:20
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.02%EV -7.23%E -5.05%K -16.81%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.10%EV -0.362%E -0.058%K -0.069%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -4.09%E -0.818%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 14:23
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.02%EV -7.23%E -5.05%K -16.81%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.10%EV -0.362%E -0.058%K -0.069%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -4.09%E -0.818%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.11%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.23%EV -1.16%E -0.187%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.67%EV -7.92%E -1.65%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 14:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.84%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.75%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.08%EV -1.16%E -0.187%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -6.01%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 14:24
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.98%EV -4.63%E -3.15%K -9.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -4.35%E -0.725%K -0.869%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%EV -4.09%E -0.818%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 14:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.04%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -4.35%E -0.725%K -0.869%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -6.01%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 14:25
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.04%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -4.35%E -0.725%K -0.869%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -6.01%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 14:25
BetAnything🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -4.35%E -0.725%K -0.869%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -4.09%E -0.818%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 14:25
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.84%EV -7.23%E -5.05%K -16.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -4.35%E -0.725%K -0.869%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.46%EV -2.17%E -0.426%K -0.529%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 14:20
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.19%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -4.35%E -0.725%K -0.869%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%EV -6.01%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 13:45
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -4.35%E -0.725%K -0.869%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -8.88%E -1.87%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 14:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.22%EV -7.23%E -5.05%K -16.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -4.35%E -0.725%K -0.869%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.23%EV -6.97%E -1.44%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 14:19
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.83%EV -9.17%E -6.55%K -22.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -4.35%E -0.725%K -0.869%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -6.01%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:45
Betsson🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.80%EV -3.34%E -2.24%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.98%EV -5.14%E -0.865%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.23%EV -9.84%E -2.09%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 14:20
NordicBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.80%EV -3.34%E -2.24%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.98%EV -5.14%E -0.865%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.23%EV -9.84%E -2.09%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 14:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.25%EV -7.23%E -5.05%K -16.81%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -7.54%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -4.09%E -0.818%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 14:20
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.25%EV -7.23%E -5.05%K -16.81%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -7.54%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -4.09%E -0.818%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 14:20
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.25%EV -7.23%E -5.05%K -16.81%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -7.54%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -4.09%E -0.818%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 14:20
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.76%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -7.54%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -13.68%E -3.04%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 14:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.38%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -8.33%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -4.09%E -0.818%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 14:24
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.00%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -8.33%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.09%E -0.818%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 14:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.21%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -8.33%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -8.88%E -1.87%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 14:25
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -7.23%E -5.05%K -16.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -8.33%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -6.01%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 14:19
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.80%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -8.33%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -11.76%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 14:19
Bet Right🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.69%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.75%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -8.33%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -8.88%E -1.87%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 13:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.33%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.68%E -3.04%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 14:14
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.33%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.68%E -3.04%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 14:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.33%E -1.45%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.68%E -3.04%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 14:14
NetBet (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 65.61%EV -12.42%E -9.20%K -35.48%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.54%EV -9.13%E -1.60%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.85%EV -9.84%E -2.09%K -2.66%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 14:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.00%EV -4.63%E -3.15%K -9.86%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -10.72%E -1.92%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -6.01%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 14:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.01%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.75%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -10.72%E -1.92%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -11.76%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 14:23
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.86%EV -9.17%E -6.55%K -22.94%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.22%EV -10.72%E -1.92%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -7.92%E -1.65%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 14:04
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.58%EV -2.69%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.34%EV -12.32%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -4.09%E -0.818%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 14:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -12.32%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -4.09%E -0.818%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 14:24
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -3.98%E -2.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -12.32%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -4.09%E -0.818%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 14:25
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -12.32%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -11.76%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 14:23
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.38%EV -8.53%E -6.05%K -20.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -12.32%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -8.88%E -1.87%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 14:19
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -9.17%E -6.55%K -22.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -12.32%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -8.88%E -1.87%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 13:49
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -9.17%E -6.55%K -22.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -12.32%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -13.68%E -3.04%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 07:59
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -9.17%E -6.55%K -22.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -12.32%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -13.68%E -3.04%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 13:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.21%EV -11.77%E -8.65%K -32.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -12.32%E -2.24%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.67%EV -8.88%E -1.87%K -2.37%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 14:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.22%EV -9.17%E -6.55%K -22.94%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.65%EV -13.91%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.13%EV -9.84%E -2.09%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 14:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.22%EV -9.17%E -6.55%K -22.94%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.65%EV -13.91%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.13%EV -9.84%E -2.09%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 14:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.22%EV -9.17%E -6.55%K -22.94%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.65%EV -13.91%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.13%EV -9.84%E -2.09%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 14:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.55%EV -10.47%E -7.59%K -27.56%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.50%EV -13.91%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.95%EV -9.84%E -2.09%K -2.66%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 14:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.55%EV -10.47%E -7.59%K -27.56%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.50%EV -13.91%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.95%EV -9.84%E -2.09%K -2.66%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 14:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.82%EV -7.23%E -5.05%K -16.81%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -17.10%E -3.29%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -6.01%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 14:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.21%EV -8.53%E -6.05%K -20.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -20.29%E -4.06%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.96%EV -9.84%E -2.09%K -2.66%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-08 14:25
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 66.12%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.20%0.2%2026-08-08 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 66.12%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.20%0.2%2026-08-08 14:25
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 66.12%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.20%0.2%2026-08-08 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.27%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12%0.6%2026-08-08 14:25
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.69%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.63%2.0%2026-08-08 14:00
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 65.58%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.27%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.16%2.3%2026-08-08 14:25