默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

NEC Nijmegen v Excelsior

开赛时间: 2026-09-08 16:45 UTC

最终结果: NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Excelsior

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

56 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

NEC Nijmegen (主队)

预测 48.68%2.05公平赔率
EV -2.64%
优势 -1.32%
Kelly -2.64%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.00

博彩公司预测分布
47.07%48.95%48.50%54.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.741.901.912.0057.47%52.69%52.36%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

Excelsior (客队)

预测 26.06%3.84公平赔率
EV +12.04%
优势 +2.80%
Kelly +3.65%
增长率 +0.439%

假设最高赔率为 4.30

博彩公司预测分布
22.00%25.88%26.17%27.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.613.604.3030.30%27.68%27.78%23.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.27%3.96公平赔率
EV +1.06%
优势 +0.266%
Kelly +0.355%
增长率 +0.004%

假设最高赔率为 4.00

博彩公司预测分布
23.65%25.17%25.32%27.24%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.713.754.0030.30%26.93%26.67%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:NEC Nijmegen (主队):48.68%;Excelsior (客队):26.06%;平局:25.27%。 对于“Excelsior (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.84。 当时有10家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.30,对应+12.04%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (56 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.36%EV -15.30%E -8.79%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV +12.04%E +2.80%K +3.65%G +0.439%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV +1.06%E +0.266%K +0.355%G +0.004%5.7%2026-09-08 16:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.83%EV -7.03%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.89%EV +1.62%E +0.415%K +0.558%G +0.009%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27%EV +1.06%E +0.266%K +0.355%G +0.004%3.0%2026-09-08 16:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -5.08%E -2.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV +1.62%E +0.415%K +0.558%G +0.009%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -5.25%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-08 16:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -5.08%E -2.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV +1.62%E +0.415%K +0.558%G +0.009%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -5.25%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-08 16:15
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -5.08%E -2.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV +1.62%E +0.415%K +0.558%G +0.009%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -5.25%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-08 16:15
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -5.08%E -2.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV +1.62%E +0.415%K +0.558%G +0.009%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -5.25%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-08 16:15
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.89%EV -6.54%E -3.41%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +1.62%E +0.415%K +0.558%G +0.009%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.54%EV -5.25%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 16:30
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.81%EV -5.08%E -2.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.97%EV +1.36%E +0.349%K +0.470%G +0.006%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.23%EV -2.73%E -0.708%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-08 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -8.00%E -4.23%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93%EV +0.316%E +0.082%K +0.111%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.30%EV -0.199%E -0.050%K -0.068%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-08 16:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -8.00%E -4.23%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93%EV +0.316%E +0.082%K +0.111%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.30%EV -0.199%E -0.050%K -0.068%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-08 16:35
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.43%EV -8.49%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -0.987%E -0.260%K -0.352%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62%EV -2.73%E -0.708%K -0.956%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-08 16:35
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -5.08%E -2.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -0.987%E -0.260%K -0.352%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -11.57%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 16:19
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -5.08%E -2.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -2.29%E -0.610%K -0.832%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -11.57%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-08 16:20
Pinnacle🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.39%EV -2.64%E -1.32%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.01%EV -3.07%E -0.826%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.60%EV -4.49%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-08 16:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.51%E -3.95%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -3.59%E -0.971%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -6.52%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 16:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -8.49%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -3.59%E -0.971%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.52%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 16:40
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -9.95%E -5.38%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -3.59%E -0.971%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -3.99%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 16:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -9.95%E -5.38%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -3.59%E -0.971%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -3.99%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 16:35
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -9.95%E -5.38%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -3.59%E -0.971%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -3.99%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 16:35
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.95%E -5.38%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -4.89%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -5.25%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-08 16:35
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.07%EV -11.41%E -6.27%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -4.89%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -7.78%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-08 16:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.21%EV -4.59%E -2.34%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -6.52%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-08 16:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -5.08%E -2.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -6.52%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-08 16:20
Bovada🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -6.05%E -3.14%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -6.52%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-08 16:40
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.03%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.04%E -2.51%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-08 16:05
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.03%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -14.10%E -4.15%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-08 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.03%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -14.10%E -4.15%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-08 16:30
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.90%EV -11.41%E -6.27%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -7.78%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-08 16:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.90%EV -11.41%E -6.27%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -7.78%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-08 16:35
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.61%EV -3.62%E -1.83%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -7.50%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -7.78%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-08 16:25
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.61%EV -3.62%E -1.83%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -7.50%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -7.78%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-08 16:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.82%EV -12.38%E -6.88%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -7.50%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.91%EV -9.04%E -2.51%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-08 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.82%EV -12.38%E -6.88%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -7.50%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.91%EV -9.04%E -2.51%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-08 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.82%EV -12.38%E -6.88%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -7.50%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.91%EV -9.04%E -2.51%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-08 16:35
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -5.08%E -2.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.80%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -1.46%E -0.375%K -0.504%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-08 16:29
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -5.08%E -2.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.80%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -1.46%E -0.375%K -0.504%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-08 16:29
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -3.62%E -1.83%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -8.80%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.25%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-08 16:40
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -5.08%E -2.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -8.80%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.25%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-08 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -5.08%E -2.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -8.80%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.52%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 16:40
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.03%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.80%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -3.99%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 16:35
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -9.95%E -5.38%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.80%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -3.99%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-08 16:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -9.95%E -5.38%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.80%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -3.99%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-08 16:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -9.95%E -5.38%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.80%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -3.99%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-08 16:40
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -9.95%E -5.38%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.80%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -3.99%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-08 16:40
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -7.03%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.80%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -16.62%E -5.04%K -7.23%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-08 16:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.80%EV -7.51%E -3.95%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.10%EV -9.32%E -2.68%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.10%EV -12.07%E -3.47%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-08 16:18
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.01%EV -11.41%E -6.27%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.86%EV -10.11%E -2.93%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.13%EV -10.31%E -2.90%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 16:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -5.08%E -2.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.41%E -3.36%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -1.46%E -0.375%K -0.504%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 16:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -5.08%E -2.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -11.41%E -3.36%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -3.99%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 16:40
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -5.08%E -2.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -11.41%E -3.36%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -7.78%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-08 16:39
NetBet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.95%E -5.38%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.41%E -3.36%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.57%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-08 16:40
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -7.03%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -12.71%E -3.79%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.25%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-08 16:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.06%EV -7.51%E -3.95%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.26%EV -12.71%E -3.79%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -6.52%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-08 16:20
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -7.03%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -14.01%E -4.25%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -5.25%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-08 16:40
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -10.92%E -5.97%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -14.01%E -4.25%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -5.25%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-08 16:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.07%EV -9.46%E -5.09%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -14.01%E -4.25%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -9.04%E -2.51%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-08 16:20
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.48%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%1.1%2026-09-08 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.38%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.31%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%1.3%2026-09-08 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.62%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.18%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.19%1.8%2026-09-08 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.62%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.18%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.19%1.8%2026-09-08 16:40
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.03%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.82%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.15%2.0%2026-09-08 16:40
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.02%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51%2.0%2026-09-08 16:15