StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

NEC Nijmegen v Excelsior

Matchstart: 2026-09-08 16:45 UTC

Slutresultat: NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Excelsior

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

56 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

NEC Nijmegen (Hemma)

Prognos 48.68%2.05rättvist odds
EV -2.64%
Fördel -1.32%
Kelly -2.64%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
47.07%48.95%48.50%54.36%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.741.901.912.0057.47%52.69%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Excelsior (Borta)

Prognos 26.06%3.84rättvist odds
EV +12.04%
Fördel +2.80%
Kelly +3.65%
Tillväxt +0.439%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.30

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
22.00%25.88%26.17%27.72%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.303.613.604.3030.30%27.68%27.78%23.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 25.27%3.96rättvist odds
EV +1.06%
Fördel +0.266%
Kelly +0.355%
Tillväxt +0.004%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.65%25.17%25.32%27.24%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.303.713.754.0030.30%26.93%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: NEC Nijmegen (Hemma): 48.68%; Excelsior (Borta): 26.06%; Oavgjort: 25.27%. För Excelsior (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.84. 10 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.30, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +12.04%.

Spelbolagsodds (56 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.36%EV -15.30%E -8.79%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV +12.04%E +2.80%K +3.65%G +0.439%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV +1.06%E +0.266%K +0.355%G +0.004%5.7%2026-09-08 16:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.83%EV -7.03%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.89%EV +1.62%E +0.415%K +0.558%G +0.009%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27%EV +1.06%E +0.266%K +0.355%G +0.004%3.0%2026-09-08 16:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -5.08%E -2.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV +1.62%E +0.415%K +0.558%G +0.009%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -5.25%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-08 16:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -5.08%E -2.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV +1.62%E +0.415%K +0.558%G +0.009%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -5.25%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-08 16:15
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -5.08%E -2.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV +1.62%E +0.415%K +0.558%G +0.009%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -5.25%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-08 16:15
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -5.08%E -2.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV +1.62%E +0.415%K +0.558%G +0.009%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -5.25%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-08 16:15
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.89%EV -6.54%E -3.41%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +1.62%E +0.415%K +0.558%G +0.009%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.54%EV -5.25%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 16:30
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.81%EV -5.08%E -2.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.97%EV +1.36%E +0.349%K +0.470%G +0.006%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.23%EV -2.73%E -0.708%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-08 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -8.00%E -4.23%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93%EV +0.316%E +0.082%K +0.111%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.30%EV -0.199%E -0.050%K -0.068%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-08 16:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -8.00%E -4.23%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93%EV +0.316%E +0.082%K +0.111%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.30%EV -0.199%E -0.050%K -0.068%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-08 16:35
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.43%EV -8.49%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -0.987%E -0.260%K -0.352%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62%EV -2.73%E -0.708%K -0.956%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-08 16:35
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -5.08%E -2.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -0.987%E -0.260%K -0.352%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -11.57%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 16:19
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -5.08%E -2.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -2.29%E -0.610%K -0.832%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -11.57%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-08 16:20
Pinnacle🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.39%EV -2.64%E -1.32%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.01%EV -3.07%E -0.826%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.60%EV -4.49%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-08 16:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.51%E -3.95%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -3.59%E -0.971%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -6.52%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 16:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -8.49%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -3.59%E -0.971%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.52%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 16:40
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -9.95%E -5.38%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -3.59%E -0.971%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -3.99%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 16:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -9.95%E -5.38%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -3.59%E -0.971%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -3.99%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 16:35
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -9.95%E -5.38%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -3.59%E -0.971%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -3.99%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 16:35
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.95%E -5.38%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -4.89%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -5.25%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-08 16:35
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.07%EV -11.41%E -6.27%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -4.89%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -7.78%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-08 16:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.21%EV -4.59%E -2.34%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -6.52%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-08 16:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -5.08%E -2.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -6.52%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-08 16:20
Bovada🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -6.05%E -3.14%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -6.52%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-08 16:40
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.03%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.04%E -2.51%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-08 16:05
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.03%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -14.10%E -4.15%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-08 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.03%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -14.10%E -4.15%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-08 16:30
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.90%EV -11.41%E -6.27%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -7.78%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-08 16:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.90%EV -11.41%E -6.27%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -7.78%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-08 16:35
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.61%EV -3.62%E -1.83%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -7.50%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -7.78%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-08 16:25
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.61%EV -3.62%E -1.83%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -7.50%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -7.78%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-08 16:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.82%EV -12.38%E -6.88%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -7.50%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.91%EV -9.04%E -2.51%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-08 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.82%EV -12.38%E -6.88%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -7.50%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.91%EV -9.04%E -2.51%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-08 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.82%EV -12.38%E -6.88%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -7.50%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.91%EV -9.04%E -2.51%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-08 16:35
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -5.08%E -2.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.80%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -1.46%E -0.375%K -0.504%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-08 16:29
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -5.08%E -2.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.80%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -1.46%E -0.375%K -0.504%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-08 16:29
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -3.62%E -1.83%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -8.80%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.25%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-08 16:40
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -5.08%E -2.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -8.80%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.25%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-08 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -5.08%E -2.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -8.80%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.52%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 16:40
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.03%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.80%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -3.99%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 16:35
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -9.95%E -5.38%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.80%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -3.99%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-08 16:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -9.95%E -5.38%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.80%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -3.99%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-08 16:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -9.95%E -5.38%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.80%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -3.99%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-08 16:40
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -9.95%E -5.38%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.80%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -3.99%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-08 16:40
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -7.03%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.80%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -16.62%E -5.04%K -7.23%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-08 16:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.80%EV -7.51%E -3.95%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.10%EV -9.32%E -2.68%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.10%EV -12.07%E -3.47%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-08 16:18
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.01%EV -11.41%E -6.27%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.86%EV -10.11%E -2.93%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.13%EV -10.31%E -2.90%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 16:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -5.08%E -2.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.41%E -3.36%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -1.46%E -0.375%K -0.504%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 16:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -5.08%E -2.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -11.41%E -3.36%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -3.99%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 16:40
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -5.08%E -2.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -11.41%E -3.36%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -7.78%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-08 16:39
NetBet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.95%E -5.38%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.41%E -3.36%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.57%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-08 16:40
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -7.03%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -12.71%E -3.79%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.25%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-08 16:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.06%EV -7.51%E -3.95%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.26%EV -12.71%E -3.79%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -6.52%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-08 16:20
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -7.03%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -14.01%E -4.25%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -5.25%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-08 16:40
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -10.92%E -5.97%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -14.01%E -4.25%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -5.25%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-08 16:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.07%EV -9.46%E -5.09%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -14.01%E -4.25%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -9.04%E -2.51%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-08 16:20
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.48%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%1.1%2026-09-08 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.38%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.31%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%1.3%2026-09-08 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.62%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.18%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.19%1.8%2026-09-08 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.62%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.18%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.19%1.8%2026-09-08 16:40
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.03%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.82%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.15%2.0%2026-09-08 16:40
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.02%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51%2.0%2026-09-08 16:15