Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

NEC Nijmegen v Excelsior

Начало: 2026-09-08 16:45 UTC

Итог: NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Excelsior

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

56 букмекерских контор (21 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

NEC Nijmegen (Хозяева)

Прогноз 48.68%2.05справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.64%
Преимущество -1.32%
Kelly -2.64%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.00

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
47.07%48.95%48.50%54.36%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.741.901.912.0057.47%52.69%52.36%50.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Excelsior (Гости)

Прогноз 26.06%3.84справедливый коэффициент
EV +12.04%
Преимущество +2.80%
Kelly +3.65%
Рост +0.439%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.30

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
22.00%25.88%26.17%27.72%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.303.613.604.3030.30%27.68%27.78%23.26%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Ничья

Прогноз 25.27%3.96справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.06%
Преимущество +0.266%
Kelly +0.355%
Рост +0.004%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.00

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.65%25.17%25.32%27.24%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.303.713.754.0030.30%26.93%26.67%25.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: NEC Nijmegen (Хозяева): 48.68%; Excelsior (Гости): 26.06%; Ничья: 25.27%. Для исхода «Excelsior (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.84. 10 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.30, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +12.04%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (56 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.36%EV -15.30%E -8.79%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV +12.04%E +2.80%K +3.65%G +0.439%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV +1.06%E +0.266%K +0.355%G +0.004%5.7%2026-09-08 16:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.83%EV -7.03%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.89%EV +1.62%E +0.415%K +0.558%G +0.009%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27%EV +1.06%E +0.266%K +0.355%G +0.004%3.0%2026-09-08 16:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -5.08%E -2.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV +1.62%E +0.415%K +0.558%G +0.009%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -5.25%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-08 16:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -5.08%E -2.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV +1.62%E +0.415%K +0.558%G +0.009%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -5.25%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-08 16:15
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -5.08%E -2.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV +1.62%E +0.415%K +0.558%G +0.009%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -5.25%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-08 16:15
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -5.08%E -2.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV +1.62%E +0.415%K +0.558%G +0.009%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -5.25%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-08 16:15
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.89%EV -6.54%E -3.41%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +1.62%E +0.415%K +0.558%G +0.009%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.54%EV -5.25%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 16:30
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.81%EV -5.08%E -2.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.97%EV +1.36%E +0.349%K +0.470%G +0.006%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.23%EV -2.73%E -0.708%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-08 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -8.00%E -4.23%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93%EV +0.316%E +0.082%K +0.111%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.30%EV -0.199%E -0.050%K -0.068%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-08 16:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -8.00%E -4.23%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93%EV +0.316%E +0.082%K +0.111%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.30%EV -0.199%E -0.050%K -0.068%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-08 16:35
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.43%EV -8.49%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -0.987%E -0.260%K -0.352%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62%EV -2.73%E -0.708%K -0.956%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-08 16:35
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -5.08%E -2.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -0.987%E -0.260%K -0.352%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -11.57%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 16:19
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -5.08%E -2.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -2.29%E -0.610%K -0.832%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -11.57%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-08 16:20
Pinnacle🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.39%EV -2.64%E -1.32%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.01%EV -3.07%E -0.826%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.60%EV -4.49%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-08 16:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.51%E -3.95%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -3.59%E -0.971%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -6.52%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 16:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -8.49%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -3.59%E -0.971%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -6.52%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 16:40
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -9.95%E -5.38%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -3.59%E -0.971%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -3.99%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 16:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -9.95%E -5.38%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -3.59%E -0.971%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -3.99%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 16:35
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -9.95%E -5.38%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -3.59%E -0.971%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -3.99%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 16:35
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.95%E -5.38%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -4.89%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -5.25%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-08 16:35
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.07%EV -11.41%E -6.27%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -4.89%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -7.78%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-08 16:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.21%EV -4.59%E -2.34%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -6.52%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-08 16:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -5.08%E -2.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -6.52%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-08 16:20
Bovada🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -6.05%E -3.14%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -6.52%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-08 16:40
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.03%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.04%E -2.51%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-08 16:05
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.03%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -14.10%E -4.15%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-08 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.03%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -14.10%E -4.15%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-08 16:30
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.90%EV -11.41%E -6.27%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -7.78%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-08 16:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.90%EV -11.41%E -6.27%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -6.20%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -7.78%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-08 16:35
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.61%EV -3.62%E -1.83%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -7.50%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -7.78%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-08 16:25
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.61%EV -3.62%E -1.83%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -7.50%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -7.78%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-08 16:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.82%EV -12.38%E -6.88%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -7.50%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.91%EV -9.04%E -2.51%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-08 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.82%EV -12.38%E -6.88%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -7.50%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.91%EV -9.04%E -2.51%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-08 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.82%EV -12.38%E -6.88%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -7.50%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.91%EV -9.04%E -2.51%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-08 16:35
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -5.08%E -2.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.80%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -1.46%E -0.375%K -0.504%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-08 16:29
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -5.08%E -2.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.80%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -1.46%E -0.375%K -0.504%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-08 16:29
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -3.62%E -1.83%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -8.80%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.25%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-08 16:40
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -5.08%E -2.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -8.80%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.25%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-08 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -5.08%E -2.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -8.80%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.52%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 16:40
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.03%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.80%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -3.99%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 16:35
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -9.95%E -5.38%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.80%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -3.99%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-08 16:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -9.95%E -5.38%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.80%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -3.99%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-08 16:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -9.95%E -5.38%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.80%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -3.99%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-08 16:40
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -9.95%E -5.38%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.80%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -3.99%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-08 16:40
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -7.03%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.80%E -2.52%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -16.62%E -5.04%K -7.23%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-08 16:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.80%EV -7.51%E -3.95%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.10%EV -9.32%E -2.68%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.10%EV -12.07%E -3.47%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-08 16:18
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.01%EV -11.41%E -6.27%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.86%EV -10.11%E -2.93%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.13%EV -10.31%E -2.90%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 16:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -5.08%E -2.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.41%E -3.36%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -1.46%E -0.375%K -0.504%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 16:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -5.08%E -2.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -11.41%E -3.36%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -3.99%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 16:40
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -5.08%E -2.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -11.41%E -3.36%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -7.78%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-08 16:39
NetBet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.95%E -5.38%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.41%E -3.36%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.57%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-08 16:40
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -7.03%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -12.71%E -3.79%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.25%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-08 16:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.06%EV -7.51%E -3.95%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.26%EV -12.71%E -3.79%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -6.52%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-08 16:20
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -7.03%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -14.01%E -4.25%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -5.25%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-08 16:40
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -10.92%E -5.97%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -14.01%E -4.25%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -5.25%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-08 16:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.07%EV -9.46%E -5.09%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -14.01%E -4.25%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -9.04%E -2.51%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-08 16:20
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.48%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%1.1%2026-09-08 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.38%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.31%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%1.3%2026-09-08 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.62%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.18%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.19%1.8%2026-09-08 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.62%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.18%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.19%1.8%2026-09-08 16:40
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.03%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.82%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.15%2.0%2026-09-08 16:40
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.02%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51%2.0%2026-09-08 16:15