Language:English
NAC Breda v Heerenveen
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
NAC Breda (Local)
Prediction 38.58%2.59fair odd
EV +0.315%
Edge +0.121%
Kelly +0.197%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.68%38.40%38.57%39.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.452.452.6044.44%40.89%40.82%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Heerenveen (Visit)
Prediction 36.29%2.76fair odd
EV -0.210%
Edge -0.077%
Kelly -0.120%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.05%36.31%36.25%38.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.572.602.7543.48%38.93%38.46%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.13%3.98fair odd
EV -1.99%
Edge -0.511%
Kelly -0.687%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.34%25.29%25.18%27.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.603.653.9032.26%27.78%27.40%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: NAC Breda (Local): 38.58%; Heerenveen (Visit): 36.29%; Draw: 25.13%. For NAC Breda (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.59. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.315%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.49%EV +0.315%E +0.121%K +0.197%G +0.001% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.44%EV -0.210%E -0.077%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.07%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.60%EV -0.456%E -0.177%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.47%EV -3.48%E -1.31%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.94%EV -6.01%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.16%EV -1.61%E -0.633%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -3.84%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -12.04%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.16%EV -1.61%E -0.633%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -3.84%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -12.04%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -1.61%E -0.633%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -11.10%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 09:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 09:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -4.56%E -1.74%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -13.30%E -3.86%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -4.56%E -1.74%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -13.30%E -3.86%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -9.28%E -3.71%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 06:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -13.30%E -3.86%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -13.30%E -3.86%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.37%EV -4.31%E -1.74%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -3.84%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.37%EV -4.31%E -1.74%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -3.84%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -4.31%E -1.74%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -14.56%E -4.28%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -4.31%E -1.74%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -14.56%E -4.28%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.33%EV -4.70%E -1.90%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.28%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.04%EV -3.11%E -1.17%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.68%EV -1.99%E -0.511%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.78%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.68%EV -3.25%E -0.844%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%EV -4.93%E -1.88%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.99%EV -4.51%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.92%EV -4.51%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.88%EV -4.93%E -1.88%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -8.28%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 14:31 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.88%EV -4.93%E -1.88%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -8.28%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.88%EV -4.93%E -1.88%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -8.28%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.75%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 14:33 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -15.81%E -4.72%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -15.81%E -4.72%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -15.81%E -4.72%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.28%E -3.71%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -14.56%E -4.28%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.28%E -3.71%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -14.56%E -4.28%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.49%EV -5.86%E -2.40%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.05%EV -2.75%E -1.03%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -10.79%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.49%EV -5.86%E -2.40%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.05%EV -2.75%E -1.03%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -10.79%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.68%EV -7.02%E -2.91%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 35.99%EV -6.02%E -2.32%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.33%EV -7.52%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -4.51%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.74%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.46%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.20%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.28%E -3.71%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -8.28%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.52%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.75%EV -11.10%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -12.04%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.17%E -3.43%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -9.28%E -3.71%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -8.17%E -3.43%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -11.10%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -14.56%E -4.28%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 35.68%EV -8.17%E -3.43%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.92%EV -16.54%E -7.19%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.39%EV -22.10%E -7.13%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.55%EV -9.33%E -3.97%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.97%EV -11.10%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.48%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.18%EV -10.49%E -4.52%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 35.92%EV -8.19%E -3.24%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -8.28%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-10 14:32 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -11.26%E -4.90%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -9.28%E -3.71%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.63%EV -11.26%E -4.90%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.02%EV -12.91%E -5.38%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.34%EV -8.28%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.02%EV -13.19%E -5.86%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.59%EV -12.91%E -5.38%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.77% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.66% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57% | 0.3% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.67% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.83% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50% | 0.6% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.67% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.83% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50% | 0.6% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.67% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.83% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50% | 0.6% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.90% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.50% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60% | 1.5% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |