StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

NAC Breda v Heerenveen

Matchstart: 2026-05-10 14:45 UTC

Slutresultat: NAC Breda 2–0 Heerenveen

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

51 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

NAC Breda (Hemma)

Prognos 38.58%2.59rättvist odds
EV +0.315%
Fördel +0.121%
Kelly +0.197%
Tillväxt +0.001%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
35.68%38.40%38.57%39.28%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.252.452.452.6044.44%40.89%40.82%38.46%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Heerenveen (Borta)

Prognos 36.29%2.76rättvist odds
EV -0.210%
Fördel -0.077%
Kelly -0.120%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
35.05%36.31%36.25%38.13%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.302.572.602.7543.48%38.93%38.46%36.36%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 25.13%3.98rättvist odds
EV -1.99%
Fördel -0.511%
Kelly -0.687%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.90

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.34%25.29%25.18%27.39%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.103.603.653.9032.26%27.78%27.40%25.64%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: NAC Breda (Hemma): 38.58%; Heerenveen (Borta): 36.29%; Oavgjort: 25.13%. För NAC Breda (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.59. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.60, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.315%.

Spelbolagsodds (51 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.49%EV +0.315%E +0.121%K +0.197%G +0.001%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.44%EV -0.210%E -0.077%K -0.120%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.07%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-10 14:34
1xBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.60%EV -0.456%E -0.177%K -0.289%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.47%EV -3.48%E -1.31%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.94%EV -6.01%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-10 14:34
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.16%EV -1.61%E -0.633%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -3.84%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -12.04%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 14:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.16%EV -1.61%E -0.633%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -3.84%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -12.04%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 14:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -1.61%E -0.633%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -11.10%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 14:34
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 09:49
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 09:49
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -4.56%E -1.74%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -13.30%E -3.86%K -5.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 14:34
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -4.56%E -1.74%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -13.30%E -3.86%K -5.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 14:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -9.28%E -3.71%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 06:00
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -13.30%E -3.86%K -5.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 14:35
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -13.30%E -3.86%K -5.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 14:35
NordicBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.37%EV -4.31%E -1.74%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -3.84%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 14:34
Betsson🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.37%EV -4.31%E -1.74%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -3.84%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 14:34
LeoVegas🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -4.31%E -1.74%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -14.56%E -4.28%K -6.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 14:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -4.31%E -1.74%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -14.56%E -4.28%K -6.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 14:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.33%EV -4.70%E -1.90%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 14:24
Pinnacle🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.28%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.04%EV -3.11%E -1.17%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.68%EV -1.99%E -0.511%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-10 14:25
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.78%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.68%EV -3.25%E -0.844%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 14:25
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%EV -4.93%E -1.88%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.99%EV -4.51%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 14:35
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.92%EV -4.51%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 14:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 14:24
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.88%EV -4.93%E -1.88%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -8.28%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 14:31
BetUS🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.88%EV -4.93%E -1.88%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -8.28%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 14:34
BetAnything🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.88%EV -4.93%E -1.88%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -8.28%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 14:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.75%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 14:24
Everygame🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 14:34
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 14:33
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 14:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -15.81%E -4.72%K -6.73%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 14:34
PMU (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -15.81%E -4.72%K -6.73%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 14:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -15.81%E -4.72%K -6.73%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 14:34
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.28%E -3.71%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -14.56%E -4.28%K -6.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-10 14:34
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.28%E -3.71%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -14.56%E -4.28%K -6.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-10 14:34
BetOnline.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.49%EV -5.86%E -2.40%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.05%EV -2.75%E -1.03%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -10.79%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 14:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.49%EV -5.86%E -2.40%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.05%EV -2.75%E -1.03%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -10.79%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 14:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 38.68%EV -7.02%E -2.91%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 35.99%EV -6.02%E -2.32%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.33%EV -7.52%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 14:24
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -4.51%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 14:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.74%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.46%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 14:24
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 14:34
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 14:34
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.20%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.28%E -3.71%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -8.28%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-10 14:24
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.52%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.75%EV -11.10%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -12.04%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 14:35
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.17%E -3.43%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -9.28%E -3.71%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 14:24
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -8.17%E -3.43%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -11.10%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -14.56%E -4.28%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-10 14:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 35.68%EV -8.17%E -3.43%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.92%EV -16.54%E -7.19%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.39%EV -22.10%E -7.13%K -10.52%G +0.000%17.8%2026-05-10 14:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.55%EV -9.33%E -3.97%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.97%EV -11.10%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.48%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-10 14:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.18%EV -10.49%E -4.52%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 35.92%EV -8.19%E -3.24%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -8.28%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 14:32
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -11.26%E -4.90%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -9.28%E -3.71%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-10 14:24
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.63%EV -11.26%E -4.90%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.02%EV -12.91%E -5.38%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.34%EV -8.28%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-10 14:24
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.02%EV -13.19%E -5.86%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.59%EV -12.91%E -5.38%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-10 14:24
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook2.64I 37.88%NM 37.77%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.66%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%0.3%2026-05-10 14:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.67%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.83%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50%0.6%2026-05-10 14:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.67%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.83%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50%0.6%2026-05-10 14:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.67%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.83%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50%0.6%2026-05-10 14:35
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.90%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.50%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60%1.5%2026-05-10 14:34