La scuola delle quote

NAC Breda v Heerenveen

Inizio: 2026-05-10 14:45 UTC

Finale: NAC Breda 2–0 Heerenveen

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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51 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

NAC Breda (Casa)

Previsione 38.58%2.59quota equa
EV +0.315%
Vantaggio +0.121%
Kelly +0.197%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.68%38.40%38.57%39.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.252.452.452.6044.44%40.89%40.82%38.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Heerenveen (Trasferta)

Previsione 36.29%2.76quota equa
EV -0.210%
Vantaggio -0.077%
Kelly -0.120%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.05%36.31%36.25%38.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.572.602.7543.48%38.93%38.46%36.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.13%3.98quota equa
EV -1.99%
Vantaggio -0.511%
Kelly -0.687%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.34%25.29%25.18%27.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.603.653.9032.26%27.78%27.40%25.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.49%EV +0.315%E +0.121%K +0.197%G +0.001%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.44%EV -0.210%E -0.077%K -0.120%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.07%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-10 14:34
1xBet2.58I 38.76%NM 37.60%EV -0.456%E -0.177%K -0.289%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.47%EV -3.48%E -1.31%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.94%EV -6.01%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-10 14:34
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.16%EV -1.61%E -0.633%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -3.84%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -12.04%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 14:34
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.16%EV -1.61%E -0.633%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -3.84%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -12.04%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 14:34
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -1.61%E -0.633%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -11.10%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 14:34
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 09:49
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 09:49
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -4.56%E -1.74%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -13.30%E -3.86%K -5.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 14:34
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -4.56%E -1.74%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -13.30%E -3.86%K -5.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 14:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -9.28%E -3.71%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 06:00
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -13.30%E -3.86%K -5.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 14:35
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -13.30%E -3.86%K -5.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 14:35
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.37%EV -4.31%E -1.74%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -3.84%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 14:34
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 38.37%EV -4.31%E -1.74%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -3.84%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 14:34
LeoVegas2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -4.31%E -1.74%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -14.56%E -4.28%K -6.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 14:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -4.31%E -1.74%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -14.56%E -4.28%K -6.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 14:34
Codere (IT)2.47I 40.49%NM 38.33%EV -4.70%E -1.90%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 14:24
Pinnacle2.45I 40.82%NM 39.28%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.04%EV -3.11%E -1.17%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.68%EV -1.99%E -0.511%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-10 14:25
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.78%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.68%EV -3.25%E -0.844%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 14:25
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%EV -4.93%E -1.88%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.99%EV -4.51%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 14:35
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.92%EV -4.51%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 14:24
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 14:24
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.88%EV -4.93%E -1.88%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -8.28%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 14:31
BetUS2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.88%EV -4.93%E -1.88%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -8.28%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 14:34
BetAnything2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.88%EV -4.93%E -1.88%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -8.28%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 14:35
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.75%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 14:24
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 14:34
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 14:33
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 14:34
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -15.81%E -4.72%K -6.73%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 14:34
PMU (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -15.81%E -4.72%K -6.73%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 14:35
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -15.81%E -4.72%K -6.73%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 14:34
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.28%E -3.71%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -14.56%E -4.28%K -6.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-10 14:34
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.28%E -3.71%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -14.56%E -4.28%K -6.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-10 14:34
BetOnline.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.49%EV -5.86%E -2.40%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.05%EV -2.75%E -1.03%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -10.79%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 14:35
LowVig.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.49%EV -5.86%E -2.40%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.05%EV -2.75%E -1.03%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -10.79%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 14:35
Marathon Bet2.41I 41.49%NM 38.68%EV -7.02%E -2.91%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 35.99%EV -6.02%E -2.32%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.33%EV -7.52%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 14:24
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -4.51%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 14:24
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.74%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.46%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 14:24
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 14:34
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 14:34
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.20%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.28%E -3.71%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -8.28%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-10 14:24
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.52%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.75%EV -11.10%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -12.04%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 14:35
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.17%E -3.43%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -9.28%E -3.71%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 14:24
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -8.17%E -3.43%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -11.10%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -14.56%E -4.28%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-10 14:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 35.68%EV -8.17%E -3.43%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.92%EV -16.54%E -7.19%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.39%EV -22.10%E -7.13%K -10.52%G +0.000%17.8%2026-05-10 14:25
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.55%EV -9.33%E -3.97%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.97%EV -11.10%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.48%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-10 14:24
Betclic (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.18%EV -10.49%E -4.52%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 35.92%EV -8.19%E -3.24%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -8.28%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 14:32
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -11.26%E -4.90%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -9.28%E -3.71%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-10 14:24
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.63%EV -11.26%E -4.90%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.02%EV -12.91%E -5.38%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.34%EV -8.28%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-10 14:24
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 39.02%EV -13.19%E -5.86%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.59%EV -12.91%E -5.38%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-10 14:24
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.64I 37.88%NM 37.77%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.66%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%0.3%2026-05-10 14:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.67%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.83%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50%0.6%2026-05-10 14:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.67%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.83%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50%0.6%2026-05-10 14:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.67%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.83%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50%0.6%2026-05-10 14:35
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.90%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.50%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60%1.5%2026-05-10 14:34