Idioma:Español
NAC Breda v Heerenveen
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
NAC Breda (Local)
Predicción 38.58%2.59momio equitativo
EV +0.315%
Ventaja +0.121%
Kelly +0.197%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.68%38.40%38.57%39.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.452.452.6044.44%40.89%40.82%38.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Heerenveen (Visitante)
Predicción 36.29%2.76momio equitativo
EV -0.210%
Ventaja -0.077%
Kelly -0.120%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.05%36.31%36.25%38.13%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.302.572.602.7543.48%38.93%38.46%36.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.13%3.98momio equitativo
EV -1.99%
Ventaja -0.511%
Kelly -0.687%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.34%25.29%25.18%27.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.603.653.9032.26%27.78%27.40%25.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: NAC Breda (Local): 38.58%; Heerenveen (Visitante): 36.29%; Empate: 25.13%. Para NAC Breda (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.59. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.60, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.315%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.49%EV +0.315%E +0.121%K +0.197%G +0.001% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.44%EV -0.210%E -0.077%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.07%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.60%EV -0.456%E -0.177%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.47%EV -3.48%E -1.31%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.94%EV -6.01%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.16%EV -1.61%E -0.633%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -3.84%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -12.04%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.16%EV -1.61%E -0.633%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -3.84%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -12.04%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -1.61%E -0.633%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -11.10%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 09:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 09:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -4.56%E -1.74%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -13.30%E -3.86%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -4.56%E -1.74%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -13.30%E -3.86%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -9.28%E -3.71%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 06:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -13.30%E -3.86%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -3.54%E -1.42%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -13.30%E -3.86%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.37%EV -4.31%E -1.74%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -3.84%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.37%EV -4.31%E -1.74%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -3.84%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -4.31%E -1.74%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -14.56%E -4.28%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -4.31%E -1.74%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -14.56%E -4.28%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.33%EV -4.70%E -1.90%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.28%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.04%EV -3.11%E -1.17%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.68%EV -1.99%E -0.511%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.78%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.68%EV -3.25%E -0.844%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%EV -4.93%E -1.88%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.99%EV -4.51%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.92%EV -4.51%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.88%EV -4.93%E -1.88%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -8.28%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 14:31 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.88%EV -4.93%E -1.88%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -8.28%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.88%EV -4.93%E -1.88%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -8.28%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.75%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 14:33 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -15.81%E -4.72%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -15.81%E -4.72%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -15.81%E -4.72%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.28%E -3.71%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -14.56%E -4.28%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -5.47%E -2.23%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.28%E -3.71%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -14.56%E -4.28%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.49%EV -5.86%E -2.40%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.05%EV -2.75%E -1.03%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -10.79%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.49%EV -5.86%E -2.40%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.05%EV -2.75%E -1.03%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -10.79%E -3.04%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.68%EV -7.02%E -2.91%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 35.99%EV -6.02%E -2.32%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.33%EV -7.52%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -4.51%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.74%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.46%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.20%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.28%E -3.71%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -8.28%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.52%EV -7.40%E -3.08%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.75%EV -11.10%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -12.04%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.17%E -3.43%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -9.28%E -3.71%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -8.17%E -3.43%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -11.10%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -14.56%E -4.28%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 35.68%EV -8.17%E -3.43%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.92%EV -16.54%E -7.19%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.39%EV -22.10%E -7.13%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-05-10 14:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.55%EV -9.33%E -3.97%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.97%EV -11.10%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.48%EV -7.02%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.18%EV -10.49%E -4.52%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 35.92%EV -8.19%E -3.24%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -8.28%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-10 14:32 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -11.26%E -4.90%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -9.28%E -3.71%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.63%EV -11.26%E -4.90%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.02%EV -12.91%E -5.38%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.34%EV -8.28%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.02%EV -13.19%E -5.86%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.59%EV -12.91%E -5.38%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -9.53%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-10 14:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.77% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.66% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57% | 0.3% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.67% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.83% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50% | 0.6% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.67% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.83% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50% | 0.6% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.67% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.83% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50% | 0.6% | 2026-05-10 14:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.90% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.50% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60% | 1.5% | 2026-05-10 14:34 |