默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Heracles Almelo v PSV Eindhoven

开赛时间: 2026-02-28 17:45 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

54 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Heracles Almelo (主队)

预测 11.32%8.84公平赔率
EV +13.18%
优势 +1.32%
Kelly +1.46%
增长率 +0.193%

假设最高赔率为 10.00

博彩公司预测分布
9.49%11.31%11.36%13.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.758.398.5010.0014.81%11.92%11.76%10.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

PSV Eindhoven (客队)

预测 73.34%1.36公平赔率
EV -3.92%
优势 -3.00%
Kelly -12.66%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.31

博彩公司预测分布
71.13%73.36%73.37%75.91%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.151.261.271.3186.96%79.13%78.74%76.34%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 15.34%6.52公平赔率
EV +3.56%
优势 +0.528%
Kelly +0.619%
增长率 +0.022%

假设最高赔率为 6.75

博彩公司预测分布
14.23%15.33%15.28%16.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.406.076.006.7518.52%16.46%16.67%14.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Heracles Almelo (主队):11.32%;PSV Eindhoven (客队):73.34%;平局:15.34%。 对于“Heracles Almelo (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为8.84。 当时有20家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为10.00,对应+13.18%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (54 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Bet Victor🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV +13.18%E +1.32%K +1.46%G +0.193%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -8.33%E -6.66%K -33.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -0.274%E -0.042%K -0.050%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 17:38
ATG (SE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.15%EV +7.52%E +0.791%K +0.884%G +0.066%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.77%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.07%EV -1.81%E -0.283%K -0.335%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 17:05
Svenska Spel🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.15%EV +7.52%E +0.791%K +0.884%G +0.066%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.77%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.07%EV -1.81%E -0.283%K -0.335%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 17:04
Unibet (NL)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.09%EV +7.52%E +0.791%K +0.884%G +0.066%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.92%EV -6.12%E -4.79%K -21.87%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.98%EV -1.81%E -0.283%K -0.335%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 17:04
Coolbet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.00%EV +7.52%E +0.791%K +0.884%G +0.066%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.80%EV -6.86%E -5.40%K -25.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 17:34
Betsson🎯9.30I 10.75%NM 10.22%EV +5.25%E +0.565%K +0.633%G +0.033%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.67%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.11%EV -9.48%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 13:55
NordicBet🎯9.30I 10.75%NM 10.22%EV +5.25%E +0.565%K +0.633%G +0.033%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.67%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.11%EV -9.48%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV +1.86%E +0.207%K +0.232%G +0.004%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.39%EV -6.86%E -5.40%K -25.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 17:20
Unibet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV +1.86%E +0.207%K +0.232%G +0.004%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.39%EV -6.86%E -5.40%K -25.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 17:19
LeoVegas🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV +1.86%E +0.207%K +0.232%G +0.004%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.54%EV -7.59%E -6.03%K -29.20%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 17:19
Casumo🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV +1.86%E +0.207%K +0.232%G +0.004%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.54%EV -7.59%E -6.03%K -29.20%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 17:20
betPARX🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV +1.86%E +0.207%K +0.232%G +0.004%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.54%EV -7.59%E -6.03%K -29.20%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 17:19
Betr (AU)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV +1.86%E +0.207%K +0.232%G +0.004%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.86%E -5.40%K -25.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 17:35
Bet Right🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV +1.86%E +0.207%K +0.232%G +0.004%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.59%E -6.03%K -29.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 17:34
TABtouch🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV +1.86%E +0.207%K +0.232%G +0.004%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.42%EV -8.33%E -6.66%K -33.30%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.25%EV -6.41%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 17:04
Grosvenor🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV +1.86%E +0.207%K +0.232%G +0.004%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.42%EV -8.33%E -6.66%K -33.30%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.25%EV -6.41%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 17:04
BetRivers🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV +1.86%E +0.207%K +0.232%G +0.004%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.42%EV -8.33%E -6.66%K -33.30%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.25%EV -6.41%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 17:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +1.86%E +0.207%K +0.232%G +0.004%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -9.06%E -7.31%K -37.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 17:30
Virgin Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV +1.86%E +0.207%K +0.232%G +0.004%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -10.53%E -8.63%K -47.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 17:05
LiveScore Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV +1.86%E +0.207%K +0.232%G +0.004%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -10.53%E -8.63%K -47.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 17:04
1xBet🎯8.69I 11.51%NM 11.14%EV -1.65%E -0.190%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.44%EV -4.66%E -3.58%K -15.53%G +0.000%6.71I 14.90%NM 14.42%EV +2.95%E +0.439%K +0.516%G +0.015%3.3%2026-02-28 17:39
Marathon Bet🎯8.60I 11.63%NM 10.84%EV -2.67%E -0.310%K -0.351%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.00%EV -7.59%E -6.03%K -29.20%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.16%EV -5.64%E -0.918%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 17:24
Pinnacle🎯8.56I 11.68%NM 11.20%EV -3.12%E -0.365%K -0.413%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.30%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.50%EV +1.41%E +0.214%K +0.252%G +0.004%4.3%2026-02-28 17:30
LowVig.ag🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.30%EV -3.80%E -0.447%K -0.507%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.47%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +3.56%E +0.528%K +0.619%G +0.022%4.1%2026-02-28 17:04
BetOnline.ag🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.30%EV -3.80%E -0.447%K -0.507%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.47%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +3.56%E +0.528%K +0.619%G +0.022%4.1%2026-02-28 17:10
Unibet (UK)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -3.80%E -0.447%K -0.507%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.17%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 17:35
DraftKings🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -3.80%E -0.447%K -0.507%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.17%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 17:34
Tipico (DE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -3.80%E -0.447%K -0.507%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.66%EV -8.33%E -6.66%K -33.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -0.274%E -0.042%K -0.050%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 17:34
SportsBet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -3.80%E -0.447%K -0.507%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -8.33%E -6.66%K -33.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 13:45
Bovada🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.34%EV -6.63%E -0.804%K -0.914%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.68%EV -6.86%E -5.40%K -25.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 17:29
BetUS🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.34%EV -6.63%E -0.804%K -0.914%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.68%EV -6.86%E -5.40%K -25.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 17:29
BetAnything🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.34%EV -6.63%E -0.804%K -0.914%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.68%EV -6.86%E -5.40%K -25.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 17:30
Codere (IT)🎯8.20I 12.20%NM 11.46%EV -7.19%E -0.877%K -0.999%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.39%EV -6.12%E -4.79%K -21.87%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.15%EV -4.88%E -0.787%K -0.938%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 17:39
Everygame🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -9.46%E -1.18%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.27%EV -6.12%E -4.79%K -21.87%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.01%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 16:00
Fanatics🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -9.46%E -1.18%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 15:59
Betway🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -9.46%E -1.18%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.17%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -11.78%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 17:05
Fliff🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -9.46%E -1.18%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.09%EV -8.33%E -6.66%K -33.30%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.49%EV -9.48%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 17:24
FanDuel🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -9.46%E -1.18%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.44%EV -9.06%E -7.31%K -37.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 17:14
Paddy Power🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -9.46%E -1.18%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -10.53%E -8.63%K -47.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.62%E -2.84%K -3.47%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-28 16:00
BetMGM🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.26%EV -12.29%E -1.59%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -3.92%E -3.00%K -12.66%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 17:24
Betclic (FR)🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 11.49%EV -12.29%E -1.59%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.01%EV -10.53%E -8.63%K -47.84%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.49%EV -11.78%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-28 17:38
Parions Sport (FR)🎯7.70I 12.99%NM 11.58%EV -12.85%E -1.67%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.06%EV -10.53%E -8.63%K -47.84%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.37%EV -11.01%E -1.90%K -2.29%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-28 17:35
Coral🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -15.12%E -2.02%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -4.66%E -3.58%K -15.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 17:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -15.12%E -2.02%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -4.66%E -3.58%K -15.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 17:19
William Hill🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -15.12%E -2.02%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.71%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.95%EV -11.01%E -1.90%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 17:39
888sport🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -15.12%E -2.02%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.62%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -11.78%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 17:39
888sport (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -15.12%E -2.02%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.62%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -11.78%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 17:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -15.12%E -2.02%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.62%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -11.78%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 17:40
Sky Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -15.12%E -2.02%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -8.33%E -6.66%K -33.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -15.62%E -2.84%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 16:45
NetBet (FR)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.60%EV -15.12%E -2.02%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 73.13%EV -12.73%E -10.69%K -66.98%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.27%EV -12.55%E -2.20%K -2.67%G +0.000%14.9%2026-02-28 17:04
PMU (FR)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.22%EV -15.12%E -2.02%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 73.19%EV -15.66%E -13.62%K -104.39%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 15.59%EV -17.15%E -3.18%K -3.90%G +0.000%18.8%2026-02-28 17:34
Winamax (DE)🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.56%EV -17.95%E -2.48%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.86%EV -8.33%E -6.66%K -33.30%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 17:35
BoyleSports🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -20.78%E -2.97%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.13%EV -8.33%E -6.66%K -33.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.17%EV -15.62%E -2.84%K -3.47%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-28 17:10
Winamax (FR)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.03%EV -23.61%E -3.50%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 71.53%EV -9.79%E -7.96%K -42.57%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.44%EV -12.55%E -2.20%K -2.67%G +0.000%13.7%2026-02-28 17:34
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.90%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.55%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.55%1.0%2026-02-28 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.90%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.55%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.55%1.0%2026-02-28 17:35
Smarkets9.60I 10.42%NM 10.27%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.24%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.49%1.5%2026-02-28 17:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.85%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.22%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.93%1.5%2026-02-28 17:40
Matchbook10.00I 10.00%NM 9.85%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.22%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.93%1.5%2026-02-28 17:40