مدرسة الاحتمالات

Heracles Almelo v PSV Eindhoven

البداية: 2026-02-28 17:45 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

54 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Heracles Almelo (المضيف)

التنبؤ 11.32%8.84السعر العادل
EV +13.18%
الأفضلية +1.32%
Kelly +1.46%
النمو +0.193%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 10.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
9.49%11.31%11.36%13.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
6.758.398.5010.0014.81%11.92%11.76%10.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

PSV Eindhoven (الضيف)

التنبؤ 73.34%1.36السعر العادل
EV -3.92%
الأفضلية -3.00%
Kelly -12.66%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.31

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
71.13%73.36%73.37%75.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.151.261.271.3186.96%79.13%78.74%76.34%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 15.34%6.52السعر العادل
EV +3.56%
الأفضلية +0.528%
Kelly +0.619%
النمو +0.022%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
14.23%15.33%15.28%16.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.406.076.006.7518.52%16.46%16.67%14.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (54 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Bet Victor10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV +13.18%E +1.32%K +1.46%G +0.193%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -8.33%E -6.66%K -33.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -0.274%E -0.042%K -0.050%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 17:38
ATG (SE)9.50I 10.53%NM 10.15%EV +7.52%E +0.791%K +0.884%G +0.066%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.77%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.07%EV -1.81%E -0.283%K -0.335%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 17:05
Svenska Spel9.50I 10.53%NM 10.15%EV +7.52%E +0.791%K +0.884%G +0.066%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.77%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.07%EV -1.81%E -0.283%K -0.335%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 17:04
Unibet (NL)9.50I 10.53%NM 10.09%EV +7.52%E +0.791%K +0.884%G +0.066%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.92%EV -6.12%E -4.79%K -21.87%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.98%EV -1.81%E -0.283%K -0.335%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 17:04
Coolbet9.50I 10.53%NM 10.00%EV +7.52%E +0.791%K +0.884%G +0.066%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.80%EV -6.86%E -5.40%K -25.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 17:34
Betsson9.30I 10.75%NM 10.22%EV +5.25%E +0.565%K +0.633%G +0.033%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.67%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.11%EV -9.48%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 13:55
NordicBet9.30I 10.75%NM 10.22%EV +5.25%E +0.565%K +0.633%G +0.033%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.67%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.11%EV -9.48%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 13:55
Unibet (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV +1.86%E +0.207%K +0.232%G +0.004%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.39%EV -6.86%E -5.40%K -25.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 17:20
Unibet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV +1.86%E +0.207%K +0.232%G +0.004%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.39%EV -6.86%E -5.40%K -25.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 17:19
LeoVegas9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV +1.86%E +0.207%K +0.232%G +0.004%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.54%EV -7.59%E -6.03%K -29.20%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 17:19
Casumo9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV +1.86%E +0.207%K +0.232%G +0.004%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.54%EV -7.59%E -6.03%K -29.20%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 17:20
betPARX9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV +1.86%E +0.207%K +0.232%G +0.004%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.54%EV -7.59%E -6.03%K -29.20%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 17:19
Betr (AU)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV +1.86%E +0.207%K +0.232%G +0.004%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.86%E -5.40%K -25.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 17:35
Bet Right9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV +1.86%E +0.207%K +0.232%G +0.004%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.59%E -6.03%K -29.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 17:34
TABtouch9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV +1.86%E +0.207%K +0.232%G +0.004%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.42%EV -8.33%E -6.66%K -33.30%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.25%EV -6.41%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 17:04
Grosvenor9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV +1.86%E +0.207%K +0.232%G +0.004%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.42%EV -8.33%E -6.66%K -33.30%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.25%EV -6.41%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 17:04
BetRivers9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV +1.86%E +0.207%K +0.232%G +0.004%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.42%EV -8.33%E -6.66%K -33.30%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.25%EV -6.41%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 17:19
LeoVegas (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +1.86%E +0.207%K +0.232%G +0.004%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -9.06%E -7.31%K -37.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 17:30
Virgin Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV +1.86%E +0.207%K +0.232%G +0.004%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -10.53%E -8.63%K -47.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 17:05
LiveScore Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV +1.86%E +0.207%K +0.232%G +0.004%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -10.53%E -8.63%K -47.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 17:04
1xBet8.69I 11.51%NM 11.14%EV -1.65%E -0.190%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.44%EV -4.66%E -3.58%K -15.53%G +0.000%6.71I 14.90%NM 14.42%EV +2.95%E +0.439%K +0.516%G +0.015%3.3%2026-02-28 17:39
Marathon Bet8.60I 11.63%NM 10.84%EV -2.67%E -0.310%K -0.351%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.00%EV -7.59%E -6.03%K -29.20%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.16%EV -5.64%E -0.918%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 17:24
Pinnacle8.56I 11.68%NM 11.20%EV -3.12%E -0.365%K -0.413%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.30%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.50%EV +1.41%E +0.214%K +0.252%G +0.004%4.3%2026-02-28 17:30
LowVig.ag8.50I 11.76%NM 11.30%EV -3.80%E -0.447%K -0.507%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.47%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +3.56%E +0.528%K +0.619%G +0.022%4.1%2026-02-28 17:04
BetOnline.ag8.50I 11.76%NM 11.30%EV -3.80%E -0.447%K -0.507%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.47%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +3.56%E +0.528%K +0.619%G +0.022%4.1%2026-02-28 17:10
Unibet (UK)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -3.80%E -0.447%K -0.507%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.17%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 17:35
DraftKings8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -3.80%E -0.447%K -0.507%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.17%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 17:34
Tipico (DE)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -3.80%E -0.447%K -0.507%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.66%EV -8.33%E -6.66%K -33.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -0.274%E -0.042%K -0.050%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 17:34
SportsBet8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -3.80%E -0.447%K -0.507%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -8.33%E -6.66%K -33.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 13:45
Bovada8.25I 12.12%NM 11.34%EV -6.63%E -0.804%K -0.914%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.68%EV -6.86%E -5.40%K -25.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 17:29
BetUS8.25I 12.12%NM 11.34%EV -6.63%E -0.804%K -0.914%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.68%EV -6.86%E -5.40%K -25.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 17:29
BetAnything8.25I 12.12%NM 11.34%EV -6.63%E -0.804%K -0.914%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.68%EV -6.86%E -5.40%K -25.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 17:30
Codere (IT)8.20I 12.20%NM 11.46%EV -7.19%E -0.877%K -0.999%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.39%EV -6.12%E -4.79%K -21.87%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.15%EV -4.88%E -0.787%K -0.938%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 17:39
Everygame8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -9.46%E -1.18%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.27%EV -6.12%E -4.79%K -21.87%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.01%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 16:00
Fanatics8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -9.46%E -1.18%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 15:59
Betway8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -9.46%E -1.18%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.17%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -11.78%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 17:05
Fliff8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -9.46%E -1.18%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.09%EV -8.33%E -6.66%K -33.30%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.49%EV -9.48%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 17:24
FanDuel8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -9.46%E -1.18%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.44%EV -9.06%E -7.31%K -37.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 17:14
Paddy Power8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -9.46%E -1.18%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -10.53%E -8.63%K -47.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.62%E -2.84%K -3.47%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-28 16:00
BetMGM7.75I 12.90%NM 12.26%EV -12.29%E -1.59%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -3.92%E -3.00%K -12.66%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 17:24
Betclic (FR)7.75I 12.90%NM 11.49%EV -12.29%E -1.59%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.01%EV -10.53%E -8.63%K -47.84%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.49%EV -11.78%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-28 17:38
Parions Sport (FR)7.70I 12.99%NM 11.58%EV -12.85%E -1.67%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.06%EV -10.53%E -8.63%K -47.84%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.37%EV -11.01%E -1.90%K -2.29%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-28 17:35
Coral7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -15.12%E -2.02%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -4.66%E -3.58%K -15.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 17:19
Ladbrokes (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -15.12%E -2.02%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -4.66%E -3.58%K -15.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 17:19
William Hill7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -15.12%E -2.02%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.71%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.95%EV -11.01%E -1.90%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 17:39
888sport7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -15.12%E -2.02%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.62%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -11.78%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 17:39
888sport (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -15.12%E -2.02%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.62%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -11.78%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 17:39
Mr Green (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -15.12%E -2.02%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.62%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -11.78%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 17:40
Sky Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -15.12%E -2.02%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -8.33%E -6.66%K -33.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -15.62%E -2.84%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 16:45
NetBet (FR)7.50I 13.33%NM 11.60%EV -15.12%E -2.02%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 73.13%EV -12.73%E -10.69%K -66.98%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.27%EV -12.55%E -2.20%K -2.67%G +0.000%14.9%2026-02-28 17:04
PMU (FR)7.50I 13.33%NM 11.22%EV -15.12%E -2.02%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 73.19%EV -15.66%E -13.62%K -104.39%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 15.59%EV -17.15%E -3.18%K -3.90%G +0.000%18.8%2026-02-28 17:34
Winamax (DE)7.25I 13.79%NM 12.56%EV -17.95%E -2.48%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.86%EV -8.33%E -6.66%K -33.30%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 17:35
BoyleSports7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -20.78%E -2.97%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.13%EV -8.33%E -6.66%K -33.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.17%EV -15.62%E -2.84%K -3.47%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-28 17:10
Winamax (FR)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.03%EV -23.61%E -3.50%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 71.53%EV -9.79%E -7.96%K -42.57%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.44%EV -12.55%E -2.20%K -2.67%G +0.000%13.7%2026-02-28 17:34
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.90%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.55%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.55%1.0%2026-02-28 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.90%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.55%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.55%1.0%2026-02-28 17:35
Smarkets9.60I 10.42%NM 10.27%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.24%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.49%1.5%2026-02-28 17:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.85%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.22%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.93%1.5%2026-02-28 17:40
Matchbook10.00I 10.00%NM 9.85%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.22%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.93%1.5%2026-02-28 17:40